Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR)
Consumer Staples · Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail · US stock · S&P 500 component
$124.18
▼ -0.23 (0.18%)
Fair valueUndervalued
$221 +78.3% to fair value
$111fair band $155–$288$332
Day's range
$123.50 – $126.33
52-week range
$85.88 – $142.40
About Dollar Tree, Inc.
Dollar Tree operates a large chain of discount variety stores across the United States and Canada, selling consumables, seasonal goods, household items and party supplies at low fixed price points. It earns money from the margin between what it pays suppliers and the prices charged at the register. The company also owns the Family Dollar banner, which serves lower-income neighborhoods with a broader range of food and everyday necessities.
Over the last twelve months Dollar Tree, Inc. reported revenue of $20.1 billion, which grew 8.0% a year over the past three years. Its operating margin is 11.0% and its return on invested capital is 31%. Net debt to EBITDA is 0.9 times. The company does not pay a dividend. The X-Ray Score is 75 out of 100, a summary of these measures.
Written with AI from public information and the filing figures on this page, then checked automatically for unsupported numbers. It can contain mistakes: read the company's own filings below before relying on it.
Price chart
52-wk range $85.88 – $142.40Volume 2,142,900Daily, split-adjusted
Vitals
Market cap$23.7B
52-week range$85.88 – $142.40
Volume (last day)2,142,900
P/E (TTM)15.4
EBIT / EV yield8.6%
Free-cash-flow yield–
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Revenue (TTM)$20.1B
Net income (TTM)$1.6B
Operating margin11.0%
Return on capital31.3%
Debt incl. leases$2.9B
Cash & securities$1.1B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies like Apple). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$221model spread $213 – $230
Undervalued
+78.3% to fair value
Equal blend of three models: peer multiples, a fundamentals-adjusted multiple (growth, ROIC and margin) and a 10-year DCF scaled to the market's average. Earnings-power value (no growth) is a floor and not part of the blend. Model uncertainty is Medium, so the safety margin is 30%.
Price $124
Undervalued < $155Fair $155 – $288Overvalued > $288
10-year DCF (market-scaled)
$173
Peer multiples
$217
Earnings power floor (not blended)
$82
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple
$274
Growth the price implies
1.9%/yr
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.09%, equity risk premium 4.23% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means
Strong business at an attractive price
Our models put fair value above today's price, but models can be wrong, so check the business first. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.
Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.
The five-lens scan
Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Consumer Staples peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.
Valuation
Strong
96/100
Cheap against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield8.6%
Fair value vs price1.8×
Growth
Fair
66/100
Growing at a typical pace for its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)8.0%
EPS growth (3y)-4.8%
Growth consistency70%
Profitability
Fair
67/100
Returns on capital are typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital31.3%
Operating margin11.0%
Gross profitability55.3%
Financial health
Strong
75/100
Balance sheet looks strong: debt is well covered.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score9 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA0.9×
Interest coverNo interest cost
Dividends
None
–/100
Pays no dividend.
See the numbers →
Quarterly results: last 6 quarters
+11.3%
May '25
+12.3%
Aug '25
+9.4%
Nov '25
+9.1%
Jan '26
+7.2%
May '26
+7.0%
Aug '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $4.9B, diluted EPS $2.70.
Compare with peers
DG Dollar General Corp66 TGT Target Corp58 COST Costco Wholesale Corp57 WMT Walmart Inc.52Other Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail companies by X-Ray Score.
Fundamentals checklist
● 8 Good · ● 4 Average · ● 1 BadCash quality
Risk models
Altman Z''Average
Piotroski F-ScoreGood
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Bad
Revenue growth (3y)Good
Growth consistencyAverage
Balance sheet
Current ratioAverage
Net debt / EBITDAGood
Interest coverGood
Valuation
Fair value vs priceGood
EBIT / EV yieldGood
Profitability
Return on invested capitalGood
Operating marginAverage
Gross profitabilityGood
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 73/100.
Financials
| FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $26.3B | $15.4B | $16.8B | $17.6B | $19.4B |
| Operating income | $1.8B | $2.1B | $1.8B | $1.5B | $1.7B |
| Net income | $1.3B | $1.6B | −$998M | −$3.0B | $1.3B |
| Operating cash flow | $1.4B | $1.6B | $2.7B | – | – |
| Operating margin | 6.9% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Free cash flow | $410M | $976M | $1.5B | – | – |
| Diluted EPS | $5.80 | $7.21 | $-4.54 | $-14.03 | $6.22 |
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.
Technical summary
Daily
Strongly bullish
12 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bullish
11 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bullish
7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
| SMA 10 | 118.7 | Bullish |
| EMA 10 | 119.6 | Bullish |
| SMA 20 | 116.3 | Bullish |
| EMA 20 | 118.5 | Bullish |
| SMA 50 | 122.3 | Bullish |
| EMA 50 | 119.7 | Bullish |
| SMA 100 | 120.8 | Bullish |
| EMA 100 | 118.9 | Bullish |
| SMA 200 | 117.0 | Bullish |
| EMA 200 | 115.7 | Bullish |
Oscillators (daily)
| RSI (14) | 61.50 | Neutral |
| MACD (12, 26) | 0.43 | Bullish |
| Momentum (12) | 8.91 | Bullish |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 82.24 | Bearish |
| Williams %R (14) | -17.76 | Bearish |
| CCI (20) | 208.0 | Bearish |
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3 120.2 | S2 121.8 | S1 123.0 | Pivot 124.7 | R1 125.8 | R2 127.5 | R3 128.7 |
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.
DLTR SEC filings
25 Sep 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Current report
27 Aug 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
27 Aug 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations; Regulation FD disclosure
6 Aug 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Regulation FD disclosure
2 Jul 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Other events
23 Jun 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Shareholder vote results
28 May 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
28 May 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations; Regulation FD disclosure
Where the numbers come from
Statements SEC EDGAR filings (10-K, 10-Q), quarters derived from year-to-date figures.
Prices end-of-day closes, split-adjusted.
Industry inputs beta, multiples and equity risk premium from Damodaran Online (NYU Stern).
StocksXray is for education only and is not financial advice. Scores and fair values are model estimates from public filings and carry uncertainty.