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Union Pacific Corp (UNP)

Industrials · Rail Transportation · US stock · S&P 500 component
$289.04 ▲ +0.33 (0.11%)
At close 16 Oct 2026 · USD · Volume 2,657,700
Fair valueFair
$285 −1.3% to fair value
$143fair band $200–$371$428
Day's range
$286.46 – $291.93
52-week range
$211.08 – $314.53

About Union Pacific Corp

Union Pacific runs a freight railroad network across the western United States, linking ports, mines, farms, factories and cities, and connecting with railroads in Canada and Mexico. It moves bulk commodities such as grain, coal and chemicals, industrial goods such as lumber and metals, and premium traffic including containers and automobiles. Customers are shippers, from agricultural producers and chemical firms to retailers and automakers, who pay to move their goods by rail.

Revenue comes from freight charges per shipment, with fuel surcharges added. Sales were $25.4 billion over the last twelve months, with growth of -0.5% a year over the last three years. The operating margin is 40.0%, and the business earns a profit of 16% on the capital invested in it. Net debt is 2.8 times EBITDA. The dividend yield is 1.9%. On the site's X-Ray Score it receives 49 out of 100.

Written with AI from public information and the filing figures on this page, then checked automatically for unsupported numbers. It can contain mistakes: read the company's own filings below before relying on it.
52-wk range $211.08 – $314.53Volume 2,657,700Daily, split-adjusted

Vitals

Market cap$171.7B
52-week range$211.08 – $314.53
Volume (last day)2,657,700
P/E (TTM)23.4
EBIT / EV yield5.1%
Free-cash-flow yield3.8%
Dividend yield1.9%
Revenue (TTM)$25.4B
Net income (TTM)$7.3B
Operating margin40.0%
Return on capital15.9%
Debt incl. leases$30.3B
Cash & securities$1.6B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies like Apple). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$285model spread $266 – $309
Fair −1.3% to fair value
Equal blend of three models: peer multiples, a fundamentals-adjusted multiple (growth, ROIC and margin) and a 10-year DCF scaled to the market's average. Earnings-power value (no growth) is a floor and not part of the blend. Model uncertainty is Medium, so the safety margin is 30%.
Price $289
Undervalued < $200Fair $200 – $371Overvalued > $371
10-year DCF (market-scaled)
$274
Peer multiples
$325
Earnings power floor (not blended)
$111
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple
$258
Growth the price implies
15.2%/yr
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.09%, equity risk premium 4.23% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means

Average business, fairly priced

The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.

Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.

The five-lens scan

Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Industrials peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.

Valuation Fair
54/100
Priced about in line with its sector.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield5.1%
Free-cash-flow yield3.8%
Fair value vs price1.0×
Growth Weak
24/100
Growing slower than most of its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)-0.5%
EPS growth (3y)2.2%
Growth consistency60%
Profitability Fair
65/100
Returns on capital are typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital15.9%
Operating margin40.0%
Financial health Weak
50/100
Balance sheet is more stretched than most peers.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score8 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA2.8×
Interest cover7.9×
Dividends Weak
43/100
Dividend is modest or less certain than peers.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield1.9%
Dividends vs free cash flow51%
Dividend growth0.8%

Quarterly results: last 6 quarters

-0.1%
Mar '25
+2.4%
Jun '25
+2.5%
Sep '25
-0.6%
Dec '25
+3.2%
Mar '26
+11.5%
Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $6.9B, diluted EPS $3.36.

Compare with peers

CSX Csx Corp32 NSC Norfolk Southern Corp31
Other Rail Transportation companies by X-Ray Score.

Fundamentals checklist

● 3 Good · ● 6 Average · ● 6 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashAverage
Free-cash-flow yieldAverage
Risk models
Altman Z''Good
Piotroski F-ScoreGood
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)Bad
Revenue growth (3y)Bad
Growth consistencyBad
Balance sheet
Current ratioBad
Net debt / EBITDABad
Interest coverBad
Valuation
Fair value vs priceAverage
EBIT / EV yieldAverage
Profitability
Return on invested capitalAverage
Operating marginGood
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 48/100.

Financials

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$21.8B$24.9B$24.1B$24.3B$24.5B
Operating income$9.3B$9.9B$9.1B$9.7B$9.8B
Net income$6.5B$7.0B$6.4B$6.7B$7.1B
Operating cash flow$9.0B$9.4B$8.4B$9.3B$9.3B
Operating margin42.8%39.9%37.7%40.1%40.2%
Free cash flow$6.1B$5.7B$4.8B$5.9B$5.5B
Diluted EPS$9.95$11.21$10.45$11.09$11.98
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.

Technical summary

Daily
Strongly bullish
12 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bullish
10 bullish · 1 neutral · 1 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bullish
7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10281.3Bullish
EMA 10282.9Bullish
SMA 20277.6Bullish
EMA 20281.5Bullish
SMA 50287.3Bullish
EMA 50283.1Bullish
SMA 100282.8Bullish
EMA 100279.5Bullish
SMA 200265.2Bullish
EMA 200267.8Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)63.13Neutral
MACD (12, 26)0.34Bullish
Momentum (12)6.21Bullish
Stochastic %K (14)87.57Bearish
Williams %R (14)-12.43Bearish
CCI (20)201.3Bearish
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
280.9
S2
283.7
S1
286.4
Pivot
289.1
R1
291.8
R2
294.6
R3
297.3
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.

Dividends

Paid, last 12 months
5.56 USD
Yield on today's price
1.92%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
31 Aug 20261.4200
29 May 20261.3800
27 Feb 20261.3800
5 Dec 20251.3800
29 Aug 20251.3800
30 May 20251.3400
28 Feb 20251.3400
9 Dec 20241.3400
30 Aug 20241.3400
31 May 20241.3000
28 Feb 20241.3000
7 Dec 20231.3000
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.

UNP SEC filings

16 Oct 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change; Regulation FD disclosure
23 Jul 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
23 Jul 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations
18 May 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Shareholder vote results
23 Apr 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
23 Apr 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations
25 Mar 2026
DEF 14ASEC EDGAR
Proxy statement
6 Feb 2026
10-KSEC EDGAR
Annual report

Where the numbers come from

Statements SEC EDGAR filings (10-K, 10-Q), quarters derived from year-to-date figures.
Prices end-of-day closes, split-adjusted.
Industry inputs beta, multiples and equity risk premium from Damodaran Online (NYU Stern).
Read the full methodology →

StocksXray is for education only and is not financial advice. Scores and fair values are model estimates from public filings and carry uncertainty.