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South Africa: economy, interest rate and stock market

The central bank's policy rate is 7.25% (up 0.25 points over 12 months). Inflation was 3.2% in 2025 and GDP grew 1.1% (World Bank).

Policy rate7.25%
Inflation · 20253.2%
GDP growth · 20251.1%
Unemployment · 202532.4%

Interest rate

7.25%   set by South African Reserve Bank. Last change: +0.25 pt on 25 Sep 2026. Over 12 months: +0.25 pt. As of 12 Oct 2026.

Took effectRateChange
25 Sep 20267.25%+0.25 pt
29 May 20267.00%+0.25 pt
21 Nov 20256.75%−0.25 pt
1 Aug 20257.00%−0.25 pt
30 May 20257.25%−0.25 pt
31 Jan 20257.50%−0.25 pt
22 Nov 20247.75%−0.25 pt
20 Sep 20248.00%−0.25 pt
26 May 20238.25%start of our data

All countries: central bank interest rates. Rates move stocks through borrowing costs and the currency: rising rates usually weigh on rate-sensitive stocks and help banks, falling rates the opposite.

Stock market

Economy at a glance

MeasureLatestYear
Economy size (GDP)$427.2 billion2025
GDP per person$6,5982025
GDP growth1.1%2025
Inflation (consumer prices)3.2%2025
Unemployment32.4%2025
Population64.7 million2025
Current account balance, % of GDP-0.4%2025
Central government debt, % of GDP82.8%2024
Exports of goods and services, % of GDP31.4%2025
Imports of goods and services, % of GDP29.5%2025

GDP growth by year (blue growth, red contraction)

−9−6−303620142016201920222024

Inflation by year

0246820142016201920222024

Unemployment by year

0918273620142016201920222024

Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, annual figures. The latest year is usually the previous calendar year, so these numbers are not live and are revised later by the World Bank.

Trade structure

Share of merchandise exports and imports by product group. ■ exports   ■ imports.

Fuels
8.2%
17.7%
Food
12.8%
7.2%
Agricultural raw materials
2.0%
1.0%
Ores and metals
30.4%
2.5%
Manufactured goods
38.3%
62.1%

High-technology products are 5.7% of manufactured exports (2024).

What the trade mix suggests to watch

  • Fuels are 17.7% of South Africa's merchandise imports against 8.2% of its exports. A rise in oil and gas prices raises its import bill and tends to press on its currency and on fuel-heavy industries; a fall does the reverse.
  • Ores and metals are 30.4% of merchandise exports, so metal prices matter for export earnings.
  • Exports plus imports equal 61% of GDP, so the economy is moderately open to trade.
  • The current account was a deficit of 0.4% of GDP (2025): the country spends more abroad than it earns and relies on foreign capital to fill the gap.

These describe the structure of trade, using the figures above. They are not forecasts and not investment advice. Latest available year differs by group (usually 2024 or 2025).

More on South Africa

Sources: Bank for International Settlements and central bank decisions (policy rates), World Bank (economy and trade), StocksXray price history (index). Educational only, not financial advice.