Commitments of Traders
Every week the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission publishes who holds the futures contracts behind gold, oil, the grain markets, the big equity indices, the major currencies and US Treasuries. This is that report for 31 markets. Click a column header to sort.
How to read the net figure
Non-commercial traders are the speculators: funds and managed money with no underlying business in the commodity. Commercial traders are the producers, refiners and merchants who do. Their nets are mirror images by construction, because every futures contract has a buyer and a seller, so a large speculative long is also a large commercial short and neither side is "the smart money". The figure shows how the market was positioned on the Tuesday of that week. It is not a forecast, and this page does not publish one.
What changed in the week to 13 October 2026
4 things worth noticing in this week's figures, across 4 markets. These describe what the positions did; they are not calls on what to do about it.
| Market | What happened |
|---|---|
| Sugar | Most net long in two years. Net long 292,362 contracts, the highest in the 104 weeks held. |
| Euro | Most net short in two years. Net short 162,986 contracts, the lowest in the 104 weeks held. |
| Australian dollar | Most net short in two years. Net short 121,908 contracts, the lowest in the 104 weeks held. |
| Russell 2000 | Unusually large weekly move. The net rose 27,312 contracts in the week. This market's typical weekly move is 11,142 either way, so this is 2.5 times that. |
"Most net long in two years" means exactly that and nothing more: the highest reading in the weeks we hold, which is a short window. A position can sit at its extreme for months, and a market that looks crowded has no obligation to turn. An unusually large move is measured against that market's own weekly standard deviation, so each is judged on its own scale rather than against corn.
Where the "smart money" sits right now
In classic COT analysis the commercial traders (producers, refiners, merchants and other hedgers) are nicknamed the "smart money", because they know their physical market first-hand, and the small non-reportable traders the "dumb money". The tables below rank every market by where each group stands inside its own last 52 weeks: 100 means its most net long of the year, 0 its most net short, 50 the middle. That is the standard "COT index" arithmetic, on the CFTC's own figures.
Read this before using it. "Smart money" is a label, not a finding. Commercials hedge a business; they are not forecasting price, and their position can stay at an extreme for months. Nothing on this page is a buy or sell signal, and we have not tested whether any of these readings predicts price.
| Market | Commercial net | Commercial index |
|---|---|---|
| Palladium | +7,392 | 100 |
| Euro | +135,961 | 100 |
| Australian dollar | +110,351 | 100 |
| Natural gas | +217,758 | 99 |
| US 10-year Treasury | +933,877 | 97 |
| Silver | −38,124 | 96 |
| British pound | +120,614 | 96 |
| Platinum | −16,029 | 94 |
| Market | Commercial net | Commercial index |
|---|---|---|
| Sugar | −353,283 | 0 |
| Nasdaq 100 | −61,351 | 11 |
| Soybeans | −223,272 | 12 |
| US 2-year Treasury | +883,514 | 14 |
| US 5-year Treasury | +1,108,653 | 17 |
| Bitcoin | −2,734 | 19 |
| Cotton | −96,325 | 23 |
| US dollar index | −14,805 | 24 |
The "smart money versus dumb money" comparison: the gap between the two indices, largest first. Positive means commercials sit higher in their range than small traders do.
| Market | Commercials | Small traders | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar | 0 | 100 | −100 |
| Platinum | 94 | 1 | +93 |
| Euro | 100 | 15 | +85 |
| British pound | 96 | 14 | +82 |
| Australian dollar | 100 | 19 | +81 |
| US 10-year Treasury | 97 | 22 | +75 |
| Palladium | 100 | 37 | +63 |
| Silver | 96 | 38 | +58 |
Index = (this week's net minus the lowest net in the last 52 weeks) divided by the highest minus the lowest, times 100, for each group separately. "Speculators" are the non-commercial traders (funds and managed money). Updated every week after the CFTC's Friday release.
Bar charts: every market on one scale
All 31 markets
| Market | Speculative net | Week change |
|---|---|---|
| Gold | +199,733 | −1,846 |
| Silver | +20,544 | −817 |
| Copper | +68,388 | −1,195 |
| Platinum | +12,613 | −1,028 |
| Palladium | −8,398 | −1,133 |
| WTI crude oil | +6,643 | −10,159 |
| Natural gas | −232,878 | +4,177 |
| RBOB gasoline | +75,323 | +4,924 |
| Corn | +259,130 | −91,725 |
| Wheat | −30,308 | −4,209 |
| Soybeans | +251,649 | −17,953 |
| Sugar | +292,362 | +11,844 |
| Coffee | +11,308 | −2,762 |
| Cocoa | −20,915 | +1,433 |
| Cotton | +88,493 | −1,575 |
| Live cattle | +46,562 | −2,166 |
| S&P 500 | −115,841 | +12,113 |
| Nasdaq 100 | +50,776 | −10,235 |
| Russell 2000 | −61,011 | +27,313 |
| VIX | −96,455 | −5,161 |
| US dollar index | +12,896 | +947 |
| Euro | −162,986 | −11,800 |
| Japanese yen | +49,493 | −13,306 |
| British pound | −106,162 | +1,831 |
| Swiss franc | −25,088 | +3,740 |
| Canadian dollar | −92,816 | −2,809 |
| Australian dollar | −121,908 | −18,644 |
| US 2-year Treasury | −919,940 | −55,359 |
| US 5-year Treasury | −1,144,285 | +34,292 |
| US 10-year Treasury | −987,276 | −145,165 |
| Bitcoin | +2,546 | +15 |
Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders, legacy futures-only report, read from the Commission's public reporting API. Positions are as of the close on the Tuesday shown; the CFTC releases them the following Friday afternoon. Blue means net long and red net short. "2-year rank" is where that week's net sits among the weeks we hold for that market: our own arithmetic on the Commission's numbers, not a CFTC figure. Educational only, not financial advice.