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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP)

Industrials · Human Resource & Employment Services · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$288.90
52-week range$185.56 – $290.12
Market cap$116.5B
P/E (trailing)26.5×
EV / EBITDA17.3×
Free-cash-flow yield4.7%
Dividend yield2.4%
Revenue (last 12 months)$21.9B
Revenue growth (3y a year)6.8%
Operating margin28.2%
Return on invested capital66.4%
Net debt / EBITDA0.2×

Fair value

Blended fair value$400.14 range $352 – $431
Versus priceFair+39% to fair value
Peer multiples$318.45
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$306.23
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$575.76
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$129.46
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

65/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 90% of sector peers
Valuation72
Growth67
Profitability58
Financial health56
Dividends76

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

161232303375446Fair value $4002021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Automatic Data Processing provides cloud-based human capital management software and outsourcing services, covering payroll, tax filing, benefits administration, time tracking and talent management. It serves businesses of all sizes around the world. Revenue comes from recurring fees for these services and from interest earned on client funds held before payroll and tax payments are made, which links results to interest rates.

Revenue at Automatic Data Processing Inc was $21.9 billion across the last twelve months. Across three years, sales expanded by 6.8% a year. Operating profit was 28.2% of revenue. It earned a return on invested capital of 66%. Debt after cash comes to 0.2 times EBITDA. Shareholders receive a dividend yielding 2.4%.

StocksXray gives Automatic Data Processing Inc an X-Ray Score of 65 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 90% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is dividends (76) and its weakest is financial health (56).

Our fair value blend is $400.14 (range $352.25 to $430.53). At $288.90 the stock trades 28% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Now
Price$190.54$203.53$226.08$298.15$222.53$288.90
Market cap$80.2B$84.6B$93.2B$121.9B$89.7B$116.5B
P/E27.2×24.8×24.8×29.9×20.3×26.5×
EV / revenue5.0×4.7×4.8×6.0×4.1×5.3×
EV / EBITDA18.6×16.3×16.0×19.3×13.4×17.3×
Price / free cash flow25.9×20.1×22.4×24.7×16.5×21.4×
Free-cash-flow yield3.9%5.0%4.5%4.1%6.1%4.7%
Price / book24.9×24.1×20.5×19.7×14.9×19.3×
Dividend yield2.13%2.35%2.41%2.02%2.98%2.35%

Fundamentals checklist ● 7 Good · ● 3 Average · ● 4 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−1.6%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score2.4×Bad
Piotroski F-Score7 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)10.0%Average
Revenue growth (3y)6.8%Average
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.1×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA0.2×Good
Interest cover13.5×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.4×Good
EBIT / EV yield5.3%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital66.4%Good
Operating margin28.2%Good
Gross profitability16.1%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Revenue16,49818,01219,20320,56121,94721,948
Gross profit7,0368,0598,7269,46410,18710,187
Operating income3,8864,6915,2345,7666,1906,190
Net income2,9493,4123,7524,0804,4144,413
Diluted EPS ($)7.008.219.109.9810.9410.92
Free cash flow3,1004,2084,1584,9405,4415,441
Gross margin42.6%44.7%45.4%46.0%46.4%46.4%
Operating margin23.6%26.0%27.3%28.0%28.2%28.2%
Net margin17.9%18.9%19.5%19.8%20.1%20.1%
Balance sheetFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Total assets63,06850,97154,36353,36963,19363,193
Cash1,4362,0842,9133,3484,2304,230
Total debt2,9882,9902,9928,7454,9654,965
Equity3,2253,5094,5486,1886,0316,031
Dividend per share ($)4.054.795.456.026.646.64

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%15%31%46%FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)5,5535,1275,1755,3595,9395,474
Growth vs a year earlier+5.7%+7.5%+7.1%+6.2%+7.0%+6.8%
Net income ($M)1,2509111,0131,0621,360979
Diluted EPS ($)3.06–2.492.623.38–
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP)

Peers in Human Resource & Employment Services

CompanyX-Ray
ADP · Automatic Data Processing...65
PAYX · Paychex Inc67

Market Compass outlook for Industrials: Neutral (45/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+6.7%
1 month+6.1%
3 months+13.9%
6 months+46.1%
1 year+4.6%
3 years+24.4%
5 years+56.7%

Technical summary

DailyBullish12 bullish · 0 neutral · 4 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish11 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$272.02 / $235.95
52-week low / high$185.56 / $290.12
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 283.81 · S1 286.35 · P – · R1 290.78 · R2 292.67

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
11 Sep 2026$1.7000
12 Jun 2026$1.7000
13 Mar 2026$1.7000
12 Dec 2025$1.7000
12 Sep 2025$1.5400
13 Jun 2025$1.5400
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 66.4% is ahead of 96% of its sector peers.
  • Operating margin of 28.2% is ahead of 91% of its sector peers.
  • Net debt is only 0.2× EBITDA, ahead of 91% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Industrials peers (−1.6%).
  • Altman Z score is weak against Industrials peers (2.4×).
  • Current ratio is weak against Industrials peers (1.1×).
  • Gross profitability is weak against Industrials peers (16.1%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
24 Sep 2026DEF 14A
5 Aug 202610-K
29 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
26 Jun 20268-K1.01,2.03,9.01
7 May 20268-K1.01,8.01,9.01
30 Apr 202610-Q
29 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01
29 Jan 202610-Q

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026