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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Align Technology Inc (ALGN)

Health Care · Health Care Supplies · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$147.31
52-week range$128.65 – $200.44
Market cap$10.5B
P/E (trailing)25.7×
EV / EBITDA11.8×
Free-cash-flow yield6.0%
Dividend yield–
Revenue (last 12 months)$4.1B
Revenue growth (3y a year)2.6%
Operating margin13.2%
Return on invested capital12.7%
Net debt / EBITDA–

Fair value

Blended fair value$186.53 range $180 – $195
Versus priceFair+27% to fair value
Peer multiples$193.59
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$181.43
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$184.56
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$99.70
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

61/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 75% of sector peers
Valuation75
Growth41
Profitability57
Financial health68
Dividends–

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

89.71254418582746Fair value $1872021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Align Technology makes the Invisalign system of clear aligners used to straighten teeth, along with digital scanners and software that dentists and orthodontists use to plan treatment. The company sells aligners and scanners to dental practices, which in turn treat patients. Revenue is earned from the number of aligner cases shipped and from sales of scanning equipment and related services. Its results depend on consumer spending on elective dental care.

Revenue for the last twelve months was $4.1 billion, and it grew by 2.6% a year over three years. The operating margin is 13.2%, and return on invested capital reached 13%. It does not pay a dividend.

StocksXray gives Align Technology Inc an X-Ray Score of 61 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 75% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (75) and its weakest is growth (41).

Our fair value blend is $186.53 (range $179.91 to $194.79). At $147.31 the stock trades 21% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Align Technology Inc (ALGN)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$657.18$210.90$274.00$208.51$156.15$147.31
Market cap$52.4B$16.5B$21.0B$15.6B$11.3B$10.5B
P/E67.8×45.7×47.2×37.1×27.6×25.7×
EV / revenue13.0×4.2×5.2×3.6×2.5×2.3×
EV / EBITDA47.2×20.2×25.5×19.4×13.1×11.8×
Price / free cash flow67.9×59.7×34.5×25.1×23.1×16.6×
Free-cash-flow yield1.5%1.7%2.9%4.0%4.3%6.0%
Price / book14.5×4.6×5.8×4.1×2.8×2.5×
Dividend yield––––––

Fundamentals checklist ● 7 Good · ● 7 Average · ● 1 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−5.3%Good
Free-cash-flow yield6.0%Average

Risk models

Altman Z score4.7×Good
Piotroski F-Score7 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)7.0%Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)21.0%Good
Revenue growth (3y)2.6%Average
Growth consistency80%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.4×Average
Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.3×Good
EBIT / EV yield5.8%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital12.7%Average
Operating margin13.2%Average
Gross profitability43.9%Good
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Align Technology Inc (ALGN)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue3,9533,7353,8623,9994,0354,140
Gross profit2,9352,6342,7072,7992,7112,817
Operating income976643643608546548
Net income772362445421410413
Diluted EPS ($)9.694.615.815.625.655.74
Free cash flow771277608623491634
Gross margin74.3%70.5%70.1%70.0%67.2%68.0%
Operating margin24.7%17.2%16.7%15.2%13.5%13.2%
Net margin19.5%9.7%11.5%10.5%10.2%10.0%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets5,9425,9486,0846,2156,2346,418
Cash1,0999429371,0441,0951,103
Total debt––––––
Equity3,6233,6013,6303,8524,0494,232
Dividend per share ($)––––––

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%25%50%74%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)9791,0129961,0481,0401,056
Growth vs a year earlier−1.8%−1.6%+1.8%+5.3%+6.2%+4.3%
Net income ($M)9312557135113108
Diluted EPS ($)1.271.720.78–1.571.51
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
Align Technology Inc (ALGN)

Peers in Health Care Supplies

CompanyX-Ray
ALGN · Align Technology Inc61
COO · Cooper Companies, Inc.46
WST · West Pharmaceutical Servic...44

Market Compass outlook for Health Care: Neutral (51/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+3.2%
1 month−1.6%
3 months−15.8%
6 months−22.5%
1 year+14.7%
3 years−46.9%
5 years−77.1%

Technical summary

DailyBearish5 bullish · 3 neutral · 8 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 1 neutral · 11 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bearish1 bullish · 1 neutral · 6 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$154.31 / $169.51
52-week low / high$128.65 / $200.44
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 142.44 · S1 144.88 · P – · R1 151.01 · R2 154.70
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Align Technology Inc (ALGN)

Strengths

  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 82% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Growth consistency is weak against Health Care peers (80%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
31 Aug 20268-K5.02,9.01
5 Aug 202610-Q
29 Jul 20268-K7.01,9.01
29 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
9 Jul 20268-K5.02
22 Jun 20268-K5.02,7.01,9.01
20 May 20268-K5.07,9.01
6 May 202610-Q

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026