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Research report · 16 October 2026

Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON)

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$390.29
52-week range$339.01 – $764.02
Market cap$32.2B
P/E (trailing)159.5×
EV / EBITDA249.9×
Free-cash-flow yield0.4%
Dividend yield–
Revenue (last 12 months)$3.2B
Revenue growth (3y a year)32.8%
Operating margin0.7%
Return on invested capital0.5%
Net debt / EBITDA7.9×

Fair value

Blended fair value$79.25 range $79 – $79
Versus priceData under review+0% to fair value
Peer multiples$54.30
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$104.20
10-year DCF (market-scaled)n/m
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)n/m
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

25/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 1% of sector peers
Valuation3
Growth58
Profitability14
Financial health31
Dividends–

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

31.75253475697918Fair value $792021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Law enforcement and public safety are the focus of Axon Enterprise, which makes technology and weapons for them. Its products include TASER conducted energy devices, body-worn and in-car cameras, drones and a cloud platform for storing and managing digital evidence and records. Customers are police departments, other public safety agencies, military and corrections bodies, and some consumers and businesses. The company pairs hardware with software subscriptions that it supplies to agencies.

Revenue comes from devices such as TASER weapons and cameras, and from recurring subscriptions to its cloud and software services. Revenue was $3.2 billion over the last twelve months and has grown at 32.8% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 0.7%, the business earns 0% on the capital invested in it, and net debt is 7.9 times EBITDA. No dividend is paid.

StocksXray gives Axon Enterprise, Inc. an X-Ray Score of 25 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 1% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is growth (58) and its weakest is valuation (3).

Our fair value blend is $79.25 (range $79.25 to $79.25). At $390.29 the stock trades 392% above that blend, so the label is "Data under review" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$157.00$165.93$258.33$594.32$567.93$390.29
Market cap$10.4B$12.0B$19.5B$46.7B$46.8B$32.2B
P/E–81.7×110.9×123.8×376.1×159.5×
EV / revenue11.6×9.4×12.1×22.7×16.9×10.3×
EV / EBITDA–95.6×107.4×441.8×2,227.4×249.9×
Price / free cash flow139.3×67.0×150.4×141.7×623.1×241.9×
Free-cash-flow yield0.7%1.5%0.7%0.7%0.2%0.4%
Price / book9.9×9.5×12.1×20.1×14.4×8.8×
Dividend yield––––––

Fundamentals checklist ● 3 Good · ● 3 Average · ● 10 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−0.9%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield0.4%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score2.9×Average
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−9.4%Bad
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)−25.2%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)32.8%Good
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio2.1×Good
Net debt / EBITDA7.9×Bad
Interest cover0.2×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.2×Bad
EBIT / EV yield0.1%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital0.5%Bad
Operating margin0.7%Bad
Gross profitability25.6%Average
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue8661,1871,5612,0832,7803,219
Gross profit5467269551,2411,6581,912
Operating income-1639315759-6224
Net income-56147176377125199
Diluted EPS ($)-0.912.032.334.801.512.45
Free cash flow7518013033075133
Gross margin63.0%61.2%61.2%59.6%59.7%59.4%
Operating margin−18.8%7.8%10.0%2.8%−2.2%0.7%
Net margin−6.5%12.4%11.3%18.1%4.5%6.2%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets1,6882,8523,4094,4757,0007,481
Cash3563545994551,201598
Total debt––6771,3611,8911,732
Equity1,0501,2711,6162,3283,2433,675
Dividend per share ($)––––––

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

-19%8%36%63%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)604669711797807904
Growth vs a year earlier+31.3%+32.8%+30.6%+38.5%+33.7%+35.3%
Net income ($M)8836-2316929
Diluted EPS ($)1.080.44-0.03–2.050.36
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON)

Peers in Aerospace & Defense

CompanyX-Ray
AXON · Axon Enterprise, Inc.25
GD · General Dynamics Corp69
TXT · Textron Inc65
LHX · L3harris Technologies, Inc...59
LMT · Lockheed Martin Corp57

Market Compass outlook for Industrials: Neutral (45/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−7.7%
1 month−13.9%
3 months−26.0%
6 months−3.1%
1 year−39.5%
3 years+77.4%
5 years+137.2%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bearish3 bullish · 1 neutral · 12 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 1 neutral · 11 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bearish1 bullish · 1 neutral · 6 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$502.70 / $488.66
52-week low / high$339.01 / $764.02
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 366.30 · S1 378.30 · P – · R1 412.55 · R2 434.80
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON)

Strengths

  • Revenue growth of 32.8% a year over three years is ahead of 98% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Industrials peers (−0.9%).
  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Industrials peers (0.4%).
  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Industrials peers (−9.4%).
  • Free-cash-flow growth (3y) is weak against Industrials peers (−25.2%).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Industrials peers (7.9×).
  • Interest cover is weak against Industrials peers (0.2×).
  • Fair value vs price is weak against Industrials peers (0.2×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Industrials peers (0.1%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
21 Sep 20268-K1.01,2.03,7.01,9.01
17 Sep 2026424B5
15 Sep 2026424B5
15 Sep 20268-K1.01,2.03,7.01,9.01
6 Aug 202610-Q
5 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
10 Jul 20268-K5.02
1 Jun 20268-K5.07,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026