S&P 5007,659▼ 1.09%Nasdaq26,140▼ 2.15%Dow Jones52,002▼ 0.34%Nasdaq 10029,188▼ 2.50%VIX19.99▲ 21.45%US Dollar101.84▼ 0.21%Gold (GLD)382.01▼ 0.18%Oil (USO)161.76▲ 2.83%
Home › CIEN › Research report
← CIEN page
XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Ciena Corp (CIEN)

Information Technology · Communications Equipment · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$332.73
52-week range$159.56 – $637.51
Market cap$48.6B
P/E (trailing)74.1×
EV / EBITDA66.5×
Free-cash-flow yield1.7%
Dividend yield–
Revenue (last 12 months)$6.0B
Revenue growth (3y a year)9.5%
Operating margin12.3%
Return on invested capital18.2%
Net debt / EBITDA0.8×

Fair value

Blended fair value$132.36 range $127 – $138
Versus priceData under review+0% to fair value
Peer multiples$153.21
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$132.23
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$111.64
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$26.41
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

39/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 20% of sector peers
Valuation20
Growth39
Profitability47
Financial health55
Dividends–

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

3.89168333498662Fair value $1322021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Ciena builds networking equipment and software that carry data over optical fibre. Its products include optical transport systems, routing and switching, network automation software and related services. Customers are telecom service providers, cloud and content companies, submarine network operators, governments and large enterprises. The company is organised around networking platforms, platform software and services, automation software and global services.

Revenue comes from hardware, software licences and ongoing services, and customer spending follows network build-out cycles. It totals $6.0 billion over the last twelve months, rising 9.5% a year across three years. The operating margin is 12.3%, and the business earns a profit of 18% on the capital invested in it. Ciena has net debt of 0.8 times EBITDA and pays no dividend.

StocksXray gives Ciena Corp an X-Ray Score of 39 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 20% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is financial health (55) and its weakest is valuation (20).

Our fair value blend is $132.36 (range $127.22 to $137.67). At $332.73 the stock trades 151% above that blend, so the label is "Data under review" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Ciena Corp (CIEN)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$54.29$48.25$41.02$63.97$189.92$332.73
Market cap$8.5B$7.3B$6.1B$9.3B$27.6B$48.6B
P/E17.0×48.3×24.0×110.3×223.4×74.1×
EV / revenue2.1×2.0×1.5×2.4×5.8×8.2×
EV / EBITDA15.3×32.6×18.4×57.8×140.8×66.5×
Price / free cash flow18.4×–98.6×24.7×41.5×59.6×
Free-cash-flow yield5.4%−3.5%1.0%4.0%2.4%1.7%
Price / book2.8×2.7×2.2×3.3×10.1×15.9×
Dividend yield––––––

Fundamentals checklist ● 2 Good · ● 6 Average · ● 7 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−5.0%Average
Free-cash-flow yield1.7%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score3.4×Average
Piotroski F-Score7 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−5.3%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)9.5%Average
Growth consistency70%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio3.8×Good
Net debt / EBITDA0.8×Average
Interest cover10.6×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.4×Bad
EBIT / EV yield1.5%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital18.2%Average
Operating margin12.3%Bad
Gross profitability33.2%Average
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Ciena Corp (CIEN)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue3,6213,6334,3874,0154,7706,021
Gross profit1,7221,5601,8791,7202,0052,654
Operating income495223358167198739
Net income50015325584123654
Diluted EPS ($)3.191.001.710.580.854.49
Free cash flow462-25962378665814
Gross margin47.6%43.0%42.8%42.8%42.0%44.1%
Operating margin13.7%6.1%8.2%4.1%4.1%12.3%
Net margin13.8%4.2%5.8%2.1%2.6%10.9%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets4,8655,0705,6015,6415,8657,997
Cash1,4239941,0119351,0922,446
Total debt6771,0681,5551,5451,5363,230
Equity3,0202,7132,8482,8162,7293,057
Dividend per share ($)––––––

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%16%32%48%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

May 2025Aug 2025Nov 2025Jan 2026May 2026Aug 2026
Revenue ($M)1,1261,2191,3521,4271,5711,671
Growth vs a year earlier+23.6%+29.4%+20.3%+33.1%+39.5%+37.0%
Net income ($M)95019150218266
Diluted EPS ($)0.060.35–1.031.491.83
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
Ciena Corp (CIEN)

Peers in Communications Equipment

CompanyX-Ray
CIEN · Ciena Corp39
ANET · Arista Networks, Inc.62
FFIV · F5, Inc.60
MSI · Motorola Solutions, Inc.49
CSCO · Cisco Systems, Inc.44

Market Compass outlook for Information Technology: Favourable (75/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−26.0%
1 month−3.3%
3 months−12.2%
6 months−34.4%
1 year+97.2%
3 years+649.2%
5 years+532.6%

Technical summary

DailyBearish3 bullish · 2 neutral · 11 bearish
WeeklyBearish3 bullish · 1 neutral · 8 bearish
MonthlyBullish5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$377.90 / $399.92
52-week low / high$159.56 / $637.51
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 315.83 · S1 324.28 · P – · R1 347.89 · R2 363.05
stocksxray.com · page 4
XStocksXray
Ciena Corp (CIEN)

Strengths

  • Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Information Technology peers (1.7%).
  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Information Technology peers (−5.3%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Information Technology peers (70%).
  • Interest cover is weak against Information Technology peers (10.6×).
  • Fair value vs price is weak against Information Technology peers (0.4×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Information Technology peers (1.5%).
  • Operating margin is weak against Information Technology peers (12.3%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
3 Sep 202610-Q
3 Sep 20268-K2.02,9.01
11 Jun 20268-K1.01,2.03,3.02,8.01,9.01
8 Jun 20268-K8.01,9.01
4 Jun 202610-Q
4 Jun 20268-K2.02,9.01
31 Mar 20268-K5.07
5 Mar 202610-Q

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026