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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL)

Industrials · Passenger Airlines · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$75.37
52-week range$54.45 – $95.18
Market cap$49.7B
P/E (trailing)15.0×
EV / EBITDA7.4×
Free-cash-flow yield16.1%
Dividend yield1.3%
Revenue (last 12 months)$71.8B
Revenue growth (3y a year)7.8%
Operating margin7.4%
Return on invested capital12.9%
Net debt / EBITDA1.1×

Fair value

Blended fair value$210.66 range $185 – $233
Versus priceData under review+0% to fair value
Peer multiples$150.72
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$179.56
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$301.69
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)n/m
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

61/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 80% of sector peers
Valuation97
Growth63
Profitability47
Financial health42
Dividends37

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

14.6072.34130188246Fair value $2112021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Delta Air Lines is a major global airline that carries passengers and cargo on a network spanning the Americas, Europe, Asia and elsewhere, with hubs in cities such as Atlanta, Detroit and Minneapolis. It is a member of the SkyTeam alliance. Revenue comes mainly from ticket sales, with additional income from cargo, loyalty program and co-branded credit card partnerships, and maintenance and refinery operations.

Revenue has grown 7.8% a year over three years, leaving the last twelve months at $71.8 billion. Operating margin is 7.4%. Return on invested capital comes to 13%. On leverage, net debt to EBITDA is 1.1 times. A dividend is paid, with a yield of 1.3%.

StocksXray gives Delta Air Lines, Inc. an X-Ray Score of 61 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 80% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (97) and its weakest is dividends (37).

Our fair value blend is $210.66 (range $184.83 to $233.20). At $75.37 the stock trades 64% below that blend, so the label is "Data under review" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$37.62$31.63$38.91$59.15$68.67$75.37
Market cap$24.1B$20.3B$25.0B$38.3B$44.9B$49.7B
P/E85.5×15.4×5.4×11.1×9.0×15.0×
EV / revenue1.3×0.7×0.7×0.8×0.9×0.8×
EV / EBITDA9.8×6.1×5.1×5.9×6.5×7.4×
Price / free cash flow1,418.5×–21.9×13.3×11.7×6.2×
Free-cash-flow yield0.1%−0.0%4.6%7.5%8.6%16.1%
Price / book6.2×3.1×2.3×2.5×2.2×2.2×
Dividend yield––0.51%0.85%0.98%1.32%

Fundamentals checklist ● 6 Good · ● 4 Average · ● 3 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−5.5%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score-0.2×Bad
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)54.9%Good
Revenue growth (3y)7.8%Average
Growth consistency90%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio0.4×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA1.1×Good
Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price2.8×Good
EBIT / EV yield9.1%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital12.9%Average
Operating margin7.4%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue29,89950,58258,04861,64363,36471,800
Gross profit––––––
Operating income1,8863,6615,5215,9955,8225,286
Net income2801,3184,6093,4575,0053,290
Diluted EPS ($)0.442.067.175.337.665.02
Free cash flow17-31,1412,8853,8438,000
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin6.3%7.2%9.5%9.7%9.2%7.4%
Net margin0.9%2.6%7.9%5.6%7.9%4.6%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets72,45972,28873,64475,37281,31786,048
Cash7,9333,2662,7413,0694,3103,787
Total debt25,08421,38118,61015,34713,30812,105
Equity3,8876,58211,10515,29320,85322,513
Dividend per share ($)0.000.000.200.500.68–

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%3%6%10%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026Sep 2026
Revenue ($M)16,64816,67316,00315,85419,75720,186
Growth vs a year earlier−0.1%+6.4%+2.9%+12.9%+18.7%+21.1%
Net income ($M)2,1301,4171,219-2891,604756
Diluted EPS ($)3.272.17–-0.442.441.15
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL)

Peers in Passenger Airlines

CompanyX-Ray
DAL · Delta Air Lines, Inc.61
UAL · United Airlines Holdings,...64
LUV · Southwest Airlines Co40

Market Compass outlook for Industrials: Neutral (45/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−8.0%
1 month−4.8%
3 months−10.6%
6 months+5.9%
1 year+23.8%
3 years+116.6%
5 years+80.5%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bearish3 bullish · 1 neutral · 12 bearish
WeeklyNeutral6 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
MonthlyBullish5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$82.08 / $75.85
52-week low / high$54.45 / $95.18
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 72.53 · S1 73.95 · P – · R1 77.90 · R2 80.42

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
15 Oct 2026$0.2150
9 Jul 2026$0.2150
14 May 2026$0.1880
26 Feb 2026$0.1880
16 Oct 2025$0.1880
31 Jul 2025$0.1880
stocksxray.com · page 4
XStocksXray
Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL)

Strengths

  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 76% of its sector peers.
  • Net debt is only 1.1× EBITDA, ahead of 70% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Altman Z score is weak against Industrials peers (-0.2×).
  • Current ratio is weak against Industrials peers (0.4×).
  • Operating margin is weak against Industrials peers (7.4%).
  • The Altman Z score of -0.2× is in the distress zone.

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
9 Oct 202610-Q
9 Oct 20268-K2.02,9.01
10 Jul 202610-Q
10 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
22 Jun 20268-K5.07
12 Jun 20268-K1.01,2.03
24 Apr 2026DEF 14A
8 Apr 202610-Q

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026