Is Walt Disney Co (DIS) undervalued or overvalued?

Our model estimates a fair value of about $151 against a price of $110.59 (Fair, +37% to fair value). It blends a 10-year DCF, sector multiples and earnings-power value and is a model estimate, not advice.

What is the X-Ray Score for DIS?

Walt Disney Co has an X-Ray Score of 55 out of 100, built from valuation, growth, profitability, financial health and dividend lenses ranked against Communication Services peers.

Where does the data for DIS come from?

Financial statements come from SEC EDGAR filings, prices from exchange price feeds, and industry betas and equity risk premium from Damodaran Online (NYU Stern).

Walt Disney Co (DIS)

Communication Services · Movies & Entertainment · US stock · S&P 500 component

$110.59 ▼ -0.09 (0.08%)

At close 16 Oct 2026 · USD · Volume 8,639,100

Compare with NFLX Historical data Research report SEC filings

Fair valueFair

$151 +37.0% to fair value

$76fair band $106–$197$227

Day's range

$110.01 – $112.69

52-week range

$91.49 – $115.42

About Walt Disney Co

Disney is an entertainment company with film and television studios, streaming services, cable and broadcast channels, theme parks, cruise ships and consumer products. It earns money from subscriptions to Disney+ and other streaming services, advertising, fees from channel distributors, theme park admissions and hotel stays, film releases and merchandise licensing. Its content franchises feed several of these businesses at once.

Revenue over the last twelve months came to $98.9 billion. The three-year revenue growth rate is 4.5% a year. Profitability shows an operating margin of 18.4% and a return on invested capital of 9%. Net debt stands at 1.7 times EBITDA. Shareholders receive a dividend, yielding 1.4%. This gives an X-Ray Score of 54 out of 100. These figures describe past results as reported and are a factual snapshot, not a forecast. Some measures, such as margins for real estate trusts and banks, are defined differently from those of industrial firms, so comparisons should be made with care.

Written with AI from public information and the filing figures on this page, then checked automatically for unsupported numbers. It can contain mistakes: read the company's own filings below before relying on it.

Price chart

Historical data & CSV

52-wk range $91.49 – $115.42Volume 8,639,100Daily, split-adjusted

Vitals

Market cap$192.8B

52-week range$91.49 – $115.42

Volume (last day)8,639,100

P/E (TTM)22.9

EBIT / EV yield7.6%

Free-cash-flow yield4.3%

Dividend yield1.4%

Revenue (TTM)$98.9B

Net income (TTM)$8.6B

Operating margin18.4%

Return on capital8.8%

Debt incl. leases$46.0B

Cash & securities$5.2B

Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies like Apple). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.

Fair value estimate

$151model spread $143 – $161

Fair +37.0% to fair value

Equal blend of three models: peer multiples, a fundamentals-adjusted multiple (growth, ROIC and margin) and a 10-year DCF scaled to the market's average. Earnings-power value (no growth) is a floor and not part of the blend. Model uncertainty is Medium, so the safety margin is 30%.

Price $111

Undervalued < $106Fair $106 – $197Overvalued > $197

10-year DCF (market-scaled)

$160

Peer multiples

$119

Earnings power floor (not blended)

$50

Fundamentals-adjusted multiple

$175

Growth the price implies

6.8%/yr

A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.09%, equity risk premium 4.23% (Damodaran). How it works.

What this means

Average business, fairly priced

The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.

Before you invest · decision checklist

I understand how this company makes money Business quality is average or better ✓ 55 The price is not above fair value $151 fair value Debt looks manageable 1.7× EBITDA Revenue has been growing 4.5% a year Profits are backed by cash There are no red flags none raised I know what share of my savings this would be

Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.

The five-lens scan

Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Communication Services peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.

Valuation Fair

64/100

Priced about in line with its sector.

See the numbers →

EBIT / EV yield7.6%

Free-cash-flow yield4.3%

Fair value vs price1.4×

Growth Fair

55/100

Growing at a typical pace for its sector.

See the numbers →

Revenue growth (3y)4.5%

EPS growth (3y)58.5%

Growth consistency90%

Profitability Weak

47/100

Earns lower returns on its capital than most peers.

See the numbers →

Return on invested capital8.8%

Operating margin18.4%

Financial health Fair

64/100

Balance sheet is in typical shape for its sector.

See the numbers →

Piotroski F-Score8 / 9

Net debt / EBITDA1.7×

Dividends Weak

38/100

Dividend is modest or less certain than peers.

See the numbers →

Dividend yield1.4%

Dividends vs free cash flow32%

Quarterly results: last 6 quarters

+7.0%

Mar '25

+2.1%

Jun '25

-0.5%

Sep '25

+5.2%

Dec '25

+6.5%

Mar '26

+6.8%

Jun '26

Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $25.2B, diluted EPS $1.51.

Compare with peers

NFLX Netflix Inc58 TKO TKO Group Holdings, In...45 LYV Live Nation Entertainm...41

Other Movies & Entertainment companies by X-Ray Score.

Fundamentals checklist

● 3 Good · ● 9 Average · ● 1 Bad

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cashAverage

Free-cash-flow yieldAverage

Risk models

Altman Z''Average

Piotroski F-ScoreGood

Growth

EPS growth (3y)Good

Revenue growth (3y)Average

Growth consistencyAverage

Balance sheet

Current ratioBad

Net debt / EBITDAAverage

Valuation

Fair value vs priceAverage

EBIT / EV yieldGood

Profitability

Return on invested capitalAverage

Operating marginAverage

Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 50/100.

Financials

	FY21	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25
Revenue	$67.4B	$82.7B	$88.9B	$91.4B	$94.4B
Operating income	$7.8B	$12.1B	$12.9B	$15.6B	$17.6B
Net income	$2.0B	$3.1B	$2.4B	$5.0B	$12.4B
Operating cash flow	–	–	$9.9B	$14.0B	$18.1B
Operating margin	11.5%	14.7%	14.5%	17.1%	18.6%
Free cash flow	–	–	$4.9B	$8.6B	$10.1B
Diluted EPS	$1.09	$1.72	$1.29	$2.72	$6.85

Fiscal years, from SEC filings.

Technical summary

Daily

Strongly bullish

12 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish

Weekly

Strongly bullish

11 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish

Monthly

Bullish

5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish

Moving averages (daily)

SMA 10	107.5	Bullish
EMA 10	108.1	Bullish
SMA 20	105.9	Bullish
EMA 20	106.9	Bullish
SMA 50	106.1	Bullish
EMA 50	105.3	Bullish
SMA 100	102.3	Bullish
EMA 100	104.0	Bullish
SMA 200	103.1	Bullish
EMA 200	103.9	Bullish

Oscillators (daily)

RSI (14)	65.41	Neutral
MACD (12, 26)	1.25	Bullish
Momentum (12)	5.42	Bullish
Stochastic %K (14)	81.80	Bearish
Williams %R (14)	-18.20	Bearish
CCI (20)	167.7	Bearish

Pivot points (classic, last session)

106.8

108.4

109.5

Pivot

111.1

112.2

113.8

114.9

Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.