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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Dow Inc. (DOW)

Materials · Commodity Chemicals · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$29.93
52-week range$19.95 – $41.82
Market cap$21.6B
P/E (trailing)–
EV / EBITDA30.1×
Free-cash-flow yield−1.1%
Dividend yield4.7%
Revenue (last 12 months)$39.3B
Revenue growth (3y a year)−11.1%
Operating margin−4.2%
Return on invested capital−4.5%
Net debt / EBITDA11.8×

Fair value

Fair value is not shown for this company.

X-Ray Score

20/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 0% of sector peers
Valuation18
Growth5
Profitability27
Financial health17
Dividends37

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

17.4927.4037.3147.2257.132021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Plastics, chemicals and specialty materials are made by Dow, a materials science company. Its range includes polyethylene for packaging, polyurethane and chemical intermediates, silicones, coatings and materials for infrastructure. Customers are manufacturers in packaging, consumer goods, construction, transportation and industrial markets. The business is organised into packaging and specialty plastics, industrial intermediates and infrastructure, and performance materials and coatings segments.

Dow earns its revenue by producing materials in large volumes and supplying them to manufacturers, so its income follows industrial demand and chemical prices. Revenue was $39.3 billion over the last twelve months, having changed at -11.1% a year across the last three years, a steep decline. The operating margin is -4.2%, and the business earns -4% on the capital invested in it. Net debt is 11.8 times EBITDA, and the dividend yield is 4.7%.

StocksXray gives Dow Inc. an X-Ray Score of 20 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 0% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is dividends (37) and its weakest is growth (5).

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Dow Inc. (DOW)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$43.67$40.76$46.77$36.11$22.61$29.93
Market cap$32.7B$29.6B$33.2B$25.5B$16.1B$21.6B
P/E5.2×6.5×57.0×23.0×––
EV / revenue0.8×0.7×1.0×0.9×0.8×0.9×
EV / EBITDA3.8×4.3×11.4×7.5×26.8×31.4×
Price / free cash flow5.9×5.2×11.7×–––
Free-cash-flow yield16.8%19.1%8.6%−0.1%−9.0%−1.1%
Price / book1.8×1.4×1.8×1.5×1.0×1.4×
Dividend yield6.41%6.87%5.99%7.75%9.29%4.68%

Fundamentals checklist ● 1 Good · ● 1 Average · ● 11 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−7.9%Good
Free-cash-flow yield−1.1%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score2.0×Bad
Piotroski F-Score3 of 9Bad

Growth

Revenue growth (3y)−11.1%Bad
Growth consistency10%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.8×Average
Net debt / EBITDA11.8×Bad
Interest cover-1.9×Bad

Valuation

EBIT / EV yield−4.5%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital−4.5%Bad
Operating margin−4.2%Bad
Gross profitability4.2%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Dow Inc. (DOW)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue54,96856,90244,62242,96439,96839,331
Gross profit10,7778,5644,8804,6062,5332,502
Operating income8,8766,7521,4022,411-1,646-1,659
Net income6,4054,6406601,201-2,444-2,670
Diluted EPS ($)8.386.280.821.57-3.70-3.74
Free cash flow5,5085,6522,840-26-1,447-232
Gross margin19.6%15.1%10.9%10.7%6.3%6.4%
Operating margin16.1%11.9%3.1%5.6%−4.1%−4.2%
Net margin11.7%8.2%1.5%2.8%−6.1%−6.8%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets62,99060,60357,96757,31258,53859,780
Cash2,9883,8862,9872,1893,8164,110
Total debt14,67215,42215,08616,20818,07118,047
Equity18,16520,71818,60717,35516,00815,249
Dividend per share ($)2.802.802.802.802.101.75

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

-6%2%11%20%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026
Revenue ($M)10,40510,43110,1049,9739,4609,794
Growth vs a year earlier−2.0%−3.1%−7.4%−8.3%−9.1%−6.1%
Net income ($M)32-307-83562-1,364-533
Diluted EPS ($)–-0.44-1.180.08–-0.74
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
Dow Inc. (DOW)

Peers in Commodity Chemicals

CompanyX-Ray
DOW · Dow Inc.20

Market Compass outlook for Materials: Neutral (50/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+5.3%
1 month+1.5%
3 months−0.3%
6 months−14.1%
1 year+41.4%
3 years−30.1%
5 years−33.0%

Technical summary

DailyNeutral7 bullish · 1 neutral · 8 bearish
WeeklyNeutral5 bullish · 1 neutral · 6 bearish
MonthlyBearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$29.47 / $31.73
52-week low / high$19.95 / $41.82
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 29.50 · S1 29.72 · P – · R1 30.15 · R2 30.36

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
30 Nov 2026$0.3500
31 Aug 2026$0.3500
29 May 2026$0.3500
27 Feb 2026$0.3500
28 Nov 2025$0.3500
29 Aug 2025$0.3500
stocksxray.com · page 4
XStocksXray
Dow Inc. (DOW)

Strengths

No check stands out as a clear strength against its sector.

Risks and weak spots

  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Materials peers (−1.1%).
  • Altman Z score is weak against Materials peers (2.0×).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Materials peers (3 of 9).
  • Revenue growth (3y) is weak against Materials peers (−11.1%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Materials peers (10%).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Materials peers (11.8×).
  • Interest cover is weak against Materials peers (-1.9×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Materials peers (−4.5%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
24 Jul 202610-Q
23 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
10 Jul 20268-K8.01,9.01
10 Jul 2026424B5
24 Apr 202610-Q
23 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01
14 Apr 20268-K5.02,5.07,7.01,8.01,9.01
27 Feb 2026DEF 14A

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026