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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Ford Motor Co (F)

Consumer Discretionary · Automobile Manufacturers · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$12.43
52-week range$10.85 – $17.59
Market cap$50.6B
P/E (trailing)–
EV / EBITDA2.3×
Free-cash-flow yield18.9%
Dividend yield4.8%
Revenue (last 12 months)$189.9B
Revenue growth (3y a year)5.8%
Operating margin−3.8%
Return on invested capital−81.2%
Net debt / EBITDA–

Fair value

Blended fair value$51.91 book-value models
Versus priceData under review+0% to fair value
Peer multiples$51.91
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

40/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 13% of sector peers
Valuation70
Growth34
Profitability23
Financial health18
Dividends60

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

5.4517.7230.0042.2754.54Fair value $522021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Ford Motor Company designs, builds and services cars, trucks, SUVs and commercial vehicles under the Ford and Lincoln brands. Products include the F-Series pickup, Mustang and Bronco, along with electric and commercial models. Customers are individual car owners, commercial and fleet operators, and dealers. Its operations include Ford Pro for commercial customers, Ford Blue for combustion and hybrid vehicles, Ford Model e for electric vehicles, and Ford Credit for financing.

Ford earns money from vehicle supply to dealers and fleets, from parts and services, and from the financing and leasing of its vehicles. Revenue is $189.9 billion over the last twelve months, with growth of 5.8% a year across three years. However, the operating margin is -3.8%, meaning the business records an operating loss, and it earns -81% on the capital invested in it, which is a loss. The dividend yield is 4.8%.

StocksXray gives Ford Motor Co an X-Ray Score of 40 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 13% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (70) and its weakest is financial health (18).

Our fair value blend is $51.91. At $12.43 the stock trades 76% below that blend, so the label is "Data under review" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

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Ford Motor Co (F)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$15.30$8.85$10.25$8.91$12.68$12.43
Market cap$61.7B$35.5B$41.4B$35.8B$50.5B$50.6B
P/E3.4×–9.5×6.1×––
EV / revenue0.1×-0.1×0.0×0.0×0.1×0.1×
EV / EBITDA1.0×-0.6×0.1×-0.2×1.8×2.3×
Price / free cash flow6.5×–6.2×5.3×4.0×5.3×
Free-cash-flow yield15.5%−0.0%16.1%18.8%24.7%18.9%
Price / book1.3×0.8×1.0×0.8×1.4×1.4×
Dividend yield0.65%5.65%12.20%8.75%5.91%4.83%

Fundamentals checklist ● 3 Good · ● 3 Average · ● 6 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−8.9%Good
Free-cash-flow yield18.9%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score0.5×Bad
Piotroski F-Score3 of 9Bad

Growth

Revenue growth (3y)5.8%Average
Growth consistency80%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.1×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price4.2×Good
EBIT / EV yield−35.5%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital−81.2%Bad
Operating margin−3.8%Bad
Gross profitability5.4%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Ford Motor Co (F)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue136,341158,057176,191184,992187,267189,861
Gross profit21,69023,66025,64126,55812,80115,272
Operating income4,5236,2765,4585,219-9,169-7,159
Net income17,937-1,9814,3475,879-8,162-6,091
Diluted EPS ($)4.45-0.491.081.46-2.06-1.52
Free cash flow9,560-136,6826,73912,4679,546
Gross margin15.9%15.0%14.6%14.4%6.8%8.0%
Operating margin3.3%4.0%3.1%2.8%−4.9%−3.8%
Net margin13.2%−1.3%2.5%3.2%−4.4%−3.2%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets257,035255,884273,310285,196289,160282,434
Cash20,54025,13424,86222,93523,35617,649
Total debt––––––
Equity48,51943,24242,77344,83535,95237,453
Dividend per share ($)0.100.501.250.780.75–

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

-5%2%9%16%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026
Revenue ($M)48,21140,65950,18450,53445,89043,253
Growth vs a year earlier+4.9%−5.0%+5.0%+9.4%−4.8%+6.4%
Net income ($M)1,816471-362,448-11,0542,551
Diluted EPS ($)–0.12-0.010.60–0.63
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Ford Motor Co (F)

Peers in Automobile Manufacturers

CompanyX-Ray
F · Ford Motor Co40
GM · General Motors Co50
TSLA · Tesla, Inc.28

Market Compass outlook for Consumer Discretionary: Neutral (53/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+2.1%
1 month−8.7%
3 months−10.2%
6 months−1.1%
1 year+10.6%
3 years+22.6%
5 years+12.1%

Technical summary

DailyBearish4 bullish · 4 neutral · 8 bearish
WeeklyBearish3 bullish · 1 neutral · 8 bearish
MonthlyNeutral4 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$13.31 / $13.23
52-week low / high$10.85 / $17.59
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 12.16 · S1 12.29 · P – · R1 12.67 · R2 12.92

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
11 Aug 2026$0.1500
12 May 2026$0.1500
13 Feb 2026$0.1500
7 Nov 2025$0.1500
11 Aug 2025$0.1500
12 May 2025$0.1500
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Ford Motor Co (F)

Strengths

  • Free-cash-flow yield of 18.9% is ahead of 97% of its sector peers.

Risks and weak spots

  • Altman Z score is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (0.5×).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (3 of 9).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−35.5%).
  • Return on invested capital is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−81.2%).
  • Operating margin is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−3.8%).
  • Gross profitability is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (5.4%).
  • The Altman Z score of 0.5× is in the distress zone.

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
2 Oct 20268-K7.01,8.01,9.01
29 Jul 202610-Q
28 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
2 Jul 20268-K8.01,9.01
21 May 20268-K1.01,2.03,8.01,9.01
19 May 20268-K5.07
30 Apr 202610-Q
29 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026