S&P 5007,659▼ 1.09%Nasdaq26,140▼ 2.15%Dow Jones52,002▼ 0.34%Nasdaq 10029,188▼ 2.50%VIX19.99▲ 21.45%US Dollar101.84▼ 0.21%Gold (GLD)382.01▼ 0.18%Oil (USO)161.76▲ 2.83%
Home › FANG › Research report
← FANG page
XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG)

Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$203.95
52-week range$133.81 – $216.90
Market cap$57.4B
P/E (trailing)43.1×
EV / EBITDA11.0×
Free-cash-flow yield17.7%
Dividend yield2.1%
Revenue (last 12 months)$17.1B
Revenue growth (3y a year)15.9%
Operating margin6.3%
Return on invested capital1.8%
Net debt / EBITDA1.9×

Fair value

Blended fair value$118.66 range $100 – $142
Versus priceOvervalued−42% to fair value
Peer multiples$99.90
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$127.60
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$128.48
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)n/m
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

33/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 0% of sector peers
Valuation18
Growth69
Profitability24
Financial health31
Dividends28

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

72.70109146183219Fair value $1192021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Focused on the Permian Basin in West Texas, Diamondback Energy is an independent oil and natural gas company. It drills and operates wells that produce crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. It also owns a publicly traded subsidiary, Viper Energy, which holds mineral and royalty interests. Its output is delivered to refiners, marketers and midstream companies, and the business is organised around its upstream operations in the basin.

Income depends on the oil, natural gas and liquids Diamondback produces, so it moves with output volumes and commodity prices. Revenue was $17.1 billion over the last twelve months and has grown at 15.9% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 6.3%, and the business earns 2% on the capital invested in it. Net debt is 1.9 times EBITDA, and the dividend yield is 2.1%.

StocksXray gives Diamondback Energy, Inc. an X-Ray Score of 33 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 0% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is growth (69) and its weakest is valuation (18).

Our fair value blend is $118.66 (range $99.95 to $142.24). At $203.95 the stock trades 72% above that blend, so the label is "Overvalued" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$87.65$118.62$141.95$156.63$147.81$203.95
Market cap$15.5B$20.9B$25.6B$33.4B$42.7B$57.4B
P/E7.2×4.8×8.2×10.1×25.8×43.1×
EV / revenue3.3×2.9×3.9×4.4×4.2×4.4×
EV / EBITDA4.3×3.5×5.1×6.7×10.0×12.0×
Price / free cash flow3.9×3.3×4.3×5.2×4.9×5.7×
Free-cash-flow yield25.5%30.2%23.2%19.2%20.5%17.7%
Price / book1.3×1.4×1.5×0.9×1.2×1.5×
Dividend yield2.22%9.53%5.63%5.29%2.71%2.08%

Fundamentals checklist ● 4 Good · ● 0 Average · ● 9 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−12.5%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score1.6×Bad
Piotroski F-Score4 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−38.5%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)15.9%Good
Growth consistency90%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio0.5×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA1.9×Bad
Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.6×Bad
EBIT / EV yield1.4%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital1.8%Bad
Operating margin6.3%Bad

Red flags

  • Heavy dilution — Share count up more than 5% year on year
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue6,7979,6438,41211,06615,02617,102
Gross profit––––––
Operating income4,0016,5084,5704,3961,2661,082
Net income2,2764,5623,3363,7011,5471,350
Diluted EPS ($)12.2424.6117.3415.535.734.73
Free cash flow3,9446,3255,9206,4138,75810,143
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin58.9%67.5%54.3%39.7%8.4%6.3%
Net margin33.5%47.3%39.7%33.4%10.3%7.9%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets22,89826,20929,00167,29271,05970,218
Cash654157582161104462
Total debt6,6876,2486,64112,97514,48912,614
Equity12,08815,00916,62537,73636,97237,900
Dividend per share ($)1.9511.317.998.294.004.15

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%22%45%67%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)4,0483,6783,9243,3764,2405,562
Growth vs a year earlier+81.8%+48.1%+48.4%−9.0%+4.7%+51.2%
Net income ($M)1,4056991,018-1,575251,882
Diluted EPS ($)4.832.383.51–0.086.65
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG)

Peers in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

CompanyX-Ray
FANG · Diamondback Energy, Inc.33
APA · APA Corp69
EXE · EXPAND ENERGY Corp68
EOG · Eog Resources Inc66
COP · Conocophillips59

Market Compass outlook for Energy: Favourable (87/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+6.2%
1 month+3.6%
3 months+5.0%
6 months+14.4%
1 year+47.2%
3 years+43.3%
5 years+129.3%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bullish12 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish11 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$196.93 / $185.40
52-week low / high$133.81 / $216.90
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 194.60 · S1 199.27 · P – · R1 206.36 · R2 208.78

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
13 Aug 2026$1.1000
14 May 2026$1.1000
5 Mar 2026$1.0500
13 Nov 2025$1.0000
14 Aug 2025$1.0000
15 May 2025$1.0000
stocksxray.com · page 4
XStocksXray
Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG)

Strengths

  • Revenue growth of 15.9% a year over three years is ahead of 97% of its sector peers.
  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 76% of its sector peers.

Risks and weak spots

  • Altman Z score is weak against Energy peers (1.6×).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Energy peers (4 of 9).
  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Energy peers (−38.5%).
  • Current ratio is weak against Energy peers (0.5×).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Energy peers (1.9×).
  • Fair value vs price is weak against Energy peers (0.6×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Energy peers (1.4%).
  • Return on invested capital is weak against Energy peers (1.8%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
8 Oct 20268-K2.02
30 Sep 20268-K1.01,5.02,9.01
5 Aug 202610-Q
3 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
13 Jul 20268-K2.02
15 Jun 20268-K1.01,2.03,9.01
20 May 20268-K5.02,5.07
6 May 202610-Q

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026