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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

International Business Machines Corp (IBM)

Information Technology · IT Consulting & Other Services · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$232.14
52-week range$197.77 – $330.09
Market cap$221.3B
P/E (trailing)20.6×
EV / EBITDA22.8×
Free-cash-flow yield6.2%
Dividend yield2.9%
Revenue (last 12 months)$69.1B
Revenue growth (3y a year)3.7%
Operating margin17.9%
Return on invested capital11.7%
Net debt / EBITDA4.9×

Fair value

Blended fair value$194.88 range $185 – $204
Versus priceFair−16% to fair value
Peer multiples$254.52
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$181.97
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$148.15
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$23.64
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

46/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 36% of sector peers
Valuation68
Growth54
Profitability35
Financial health20
Dividends51

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

83.12148212276341Fair value $1952021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Known as IBM, International Business Machines provides hybrid cloud software, artificial intelligence tools, consulting services and computing infrastructure. Its customers are mainly large companies and public sector bodies, which use IBM to modernise software, run critical systems and move to the cloud. The business is organised into software, consulting and infrastructure divisions, and it owns the Red Hat open-source software business.

IBM earns revenue from software licences and subscriptions, consulting projects, and infrastructure systems with related support. Revenue over the last twelve months was $69.1 billion, and it has grown at 3.7% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 17.9%, and the business earns a profit of 12% on the capital invested in it. It carries net debt of 4.9 times EBITDA. A dividend is paid, with a yield of 2.9%.

StocksXray gives International Business Machines Corp an X-Ray Score of 46 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 36% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (68) and its weakest is financial health (20).

Our fair value blend is $194.88 (range $184.97 to $204.13). At $232.14 the stock trades 19% above that blend, so the label is "Fair" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
International Business Machines Corp (IBM)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$111.86$123.76$150.80$210.02$290.30$232.14
Market cap$101.2B$112.9B$139.0B$196.8B$275.4B$221.3B
P/E17.6×68.8×18.5×32.7×26.0×20.6×
EV / revenue2.7×2.7×3.1×3.9×4.9×4.1×
EV / EBITDA25.6×67.8×18.4×32.4×26.9×22.8×
Price / free cash flow9.4×12.4×11.0×15.9×22.8×16.0×
Free-cash-flow yield10.6%8.1%9.1%6.3%4.4%6.2%
Price / book5.4×5.1×6.2×7.2×8.4×6.4×
Dividend yield5.86%5.32%4.40%3.18%2.31%2.90%

Fundamentals checklist ● 3 Good · ● 7 Average · ● 6 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−2.7%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield6.2%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score3.9×Average
Piotroski F-Score5 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)83.8%Good
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)10.0%Average
Revenue growth (3y)3.7%Average
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio0.8×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA4.9×Bad
Interest cover6.4×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.8×Average
EBIT / EV yield4.4%Average

Profitability

Return on invested capital11.7%Bad
Operating margin17.9%Average
Gross profitability26.4%Average
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
International Business Machines Corp (IBM)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue57,35060,53061,86062,75367,53569,096
Gross profit31,48632,68734,30035,55139,29740,145
Operating income5,9922,37210,2977,50912,26312,368
Net income5,7431,6397,5026,02310,59310,725
Diluted EPS ($)6.351.808.146.4311.1711.28
Free cash flow10,7349,08912,68612,39712,10213,790
Gross margin54.9%54.0%55.4%56.7%58.2%58.1%
Operating margin10.4%3.9%16.6%12.0%18.2%17.9%
Net margin10.0%2.7%12.1%9.6%15.7%15.5%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets132,001127,243135,241137,175151,880152,099
Cash6,6507,88613,06813,94713,5877,172
Total debt58,46855,70062,97260,03267,68467,759
Equity18,90121,94422,53327,30732,64834,452
Dividend per share ($)6.556.596.636.676.716.73

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%19%39%58%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)14,54116,97716,33119,68615,91717,162
Growth vs a year earlier+0.5%+7.7%+9.1%+12.1%+9.5%+1.1%
Net income ($M)1,0552,1941,7445,6001,2162,165
Diluted EPS ($)1.122.311.84–1.282.27
stocksxray.com · page 3
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International Business Machines Corp (IBM)

Peers in IT Consulting & Other Services

CompanyX-Ray
IBM · International Business Mac...46
CTSH · Cognizant Technology Solut...64
ACN · Accenture plc63
IT · Gartner Inc60

Market Compass outlook for Information Technology: Favourable (75/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+2.2%
1 month−2.4%
3 months+9.8%
6 months−7.1%
1 year−15.2%
3 years+77.8%
5 years+105.5%

Technical summary

DailyNeutral7 bullish · 3 neutral · 6 bearish
WeeklyBearish4 bullish · 1 neutral · 7 bearish
MonthlyBearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$232.00 / $249.24
52-week low / high$197.77 / $330.09
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 226.39 · S1 229.27 · P – · R1 236.00 · R2 239.85

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
10 Aug 2026$1.6900
8 May 2026$1.6900
10 Feb 2026$1.6800
10 Nov 2025$1.6800
8 Aug 2025$1.6800
9 May 2025$1.6800
stocksxray.com · page 4
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International Business Machines Corp (IBM)

Strengths

  • Free-cash-flow yield of 6.2% is ahead of 85% of its sector peers.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Information Technology peers (−2.7%).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Information Technology peers (5 of 9).
  • Current ratio is weak against Information Technology peers (0.8×).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Information Technology peers (4.9×).
  • Interest cover is weak against Information Technology peers (6.4×).
  • Return on invested capital is weak against Information Technology peers (11.7%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
1 Oct 20268-K5.02,5.03,9.01
14 Aug 20268-K9.01
11 Aug 2026424B5
23 Jul 202610-Q
22 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
14 Jul 20268-K2.02,7.01,9.01
23 Jun 20268-K1.01,2.03,9.01
28 May 20268-K7.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026