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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Illinois Tool Works Inc (ITW)

Industrials · Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$272.28
52-week range$232.87 – $299.98
Market cap$78.1B
P/E (trailing)24.7×
EV / EBITDA20.4×
Free-cash-flow yield3.7%
Dividend yield2.4%
Revenue (last 12 months)$16.5B
Revenue growth (3y a year)0.2%
Operating margin26.5%
Return on invested capital24.9%
Net debt / EBITDA2.5×

Fair value

Blended fair value$273.15 range $259 – $287
Versus priceFair+0% to fair value
Peer multiples$293.11
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$272.51
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$253.84
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$93.33
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

49/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 44% of sector peers
Valuation53
Growth27
Profitability67
Financial health41
Dividends52

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

151189227265304Fair value $2732021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

A broad mix of industrial products and equipment comes from Illinois Tool Works, a diversified manufacturer. Its businesses make vehicle components, commercial food equipment, welding equipment, test and measurement instruments, polymers and fluids, construction products and other specialty products. It operates through a decentralised structure of many operating units, each focused on its own niche, with customers in automotive, food service, construction, electronics and general industry.

Revenue comes from products and consumables purchased by manufacturers, builders, restaurants and vehicle makers. Sales were $16.5 billion over the last twelve months, essentially flat with growth of 0.2% a year over the last three years. The operating margin is 26.5%, and the business earns a profit of 25% on the capital invested in it. Net debt is 2.5 times EBITDA. A dividend is paid, with a yield of 2.4%.

StocksXray gives Illinois Tool Works Inc an X-Ray Score of 49 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 44% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is profitability (67) and its weakest is growth (27).

Our fair value blend is $273.15 (range $258.69 to $287.06). At $272.28 the stock trades 0% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Illinois Tool Works Inc (ITW)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$220.26$201.63$245.11$242.74$241.71$272.28
Market cap$69.7B$62.6B$74.4B$72.3B$70.7B$78.1B
P/E25.9×20.6×25.2×20.7×23.0×24.7×
EV / revenue5.3×4.5×5.2×5.0×4.9×5.4×
EV / EBITDA22.0×18.8×20.6×18.6×18.7×20.4×
Price / free cash flow30.8×32.4×24.1×25.4×26.1×26.8×
Free-cash-flow yield3.2%3.1%4.1%3.9%3.8%3.7%
Price / book19.2×20.3×24.7×21.8×21.9×27.0×
Dividend yield2.14%2.51%2.21%2.39%2.57%2.41%

Fundamentals checklist ● 4 Good · ● 6 Average · ● 6 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−0.8%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield3.7%Average

Risk models

Altman Z score8.3×Good
Piotroski F-Score5 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)2.4%Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)11.8%Average
Revenue growth (3y)0.2%Bad
Growth consistency50%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.1×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA2.5×Bad
Interest cover14.5×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.0×Average
EBIT / EV yield4.9%Average

Profitability

Return on invested capital24.9%Good
Operating margin26.5%Good
Gross profitability52.9%Good
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Illinois Tool Works Inc (ITW)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue14,45515,93216,10715,89816,04416,469
Gross profit5,9667,7968,1638,2948,4888,728
Operating income3,4773,7904,0404,2644,2164,364
Net income2,6943,0342,9573,4883,0663,194
Diluted EPS ($)8.519.779.7411.7110.4911.01
Free cash flow2,2611,9363,0842,8442,7072,921
Gross margin41.3%48.9%50.7%52.2%52.9%53.0%
Operating margin24.1%23.8%25.1%26.8%26.3%26.5%
Net margin18.6%19.0%18.4%21.9%19.1%19.4%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets16,07715,42215,51815,06716,14816,494
Cash1,5277081,065948851839
Total debt8,4659,3519,9897,8638,98211,794
Equity3,6263,0893,0133,3173,2262,895
Dividend per share ($)4.725.065.425.806.226.44

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%18%35%53%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)3,8394,0534,0594,0934,0164,301
Growth vs a year earlier−3.4%+0.6%+2.3%+4.1%+4.6%+6.1%
Net income ($M)700755821790768815
Diluted EPS ($)2.382.582.81–2.662.84
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Illinois Tool Works Inc (ITW)

Peers in Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

CompanyX-Ray
ITW · Illinois Tool Works Inc49
SNA · Snap-on Inc67
PNR · PENTAIR plc62
GWW · W.W. Grainger, Inc.58
OTIS · Otis Worldwide Corp57

Market Compass outlook for Industrials: Neutral (45/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+3.1%
1 month+2.4%
3 months+0.9%
6 months+1.3%
1 year+12.7%
3 years+23.6%
5 years+41.7%

Technical summary

DailyBullish10 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish10 bullish · 1 neutral · 1 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$272.72 / $266.33
52-week low / high$232.87 / $299.98
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 267.81 · S1 270.04 · P – · R1 275.35 · R2 278.43

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
30 Sep 2026$1.7200
30 Jun 2026$1.6100
31 Mar 2026$1.6100
31 Dec 2025$1.6100
30 Sep 2025$1.6100
30 Jun 2025$1.5000
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Illinois Tool Works Inc (ITW)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 24.9% is ahead of 72% of its sector peers.
  • Operating margin of 26.5% is ahead of 87% of its sector peers.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Industrials peers (−0.8%).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Industrials peers (5 of 9).
  • Revenue growth (3y) is weak against Industrials peers (0.2%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Industrials peers (50%).
  • Current ratio is weak against Industrials peers (1.1×).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Industrials peers (2.5×).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
13 Aug 20268-K8.01,9.01
12 Aug 2026424B5
11 Aug 2026424B5
6 Aug 202610-Q
28 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
22 May 20268-K5.02
12 May 20268-K5.07
7 May 202610-Q

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026