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Research report · 16 October 2026

Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT)

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$552.09
52-week range$429.47 – $683.27
Market cap$127.6B
P/E (trailing)20.4×
EV / EBITDA15.8×
Free-cash-flow yield6.8%
Dividend yield2.5%
Revenue (last 12 months)$77.0B
Revenue growth (3y a year)4.4%
Operating margin11.9%
Return on invested capital30.4%
Net debt / EBITDA1.8×

Fair value

Blended fair value$795.61 range $757 – $837
Versus priceUndervalued+44% to fair value
Peer multiples$790.43
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$854.55
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$741.87
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$312.19
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

57/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 72% of sector peers
Valuation83
Growth41
Profitability59
Financial health38
Dividends54

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

252407561715870Fair value $7962021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Lockheed Martin is a large defense and aerospace contractor. It designs, builds and supports military aircraft, missiles and air defense systems, helicopters, naval combat systems and space and satellite equipment. Most revenue comes from long-term contracts with the United States government and allied foreign governments, which pay for development, production and later sustainment of the systems. The work is capital intensive and depends heavily on government budgets and procurement programs.

Revenue over the last twelve months came to $77.0 billion. Across three years, revenue grew 4.4% a year. It posts an operating margin of 11.9%, with return on invested capital of 30%. Leverage, measured as net debt to EBITDA, is 1.8 times. The dividend yield is 2.5%. These figures describe past results as reported and are a factual snapshot, not a forecast. Some measures, such as margins for real estate trusts and banks, are defined differently from those of industrial firms, so comparisons should be made with care.

StocksXray gives Lockheed Martin Corp an X-Ray Score of 57 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 72% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (83) and its weakest is financial health (38).

Our fair value blend is $795.61 (range $757.21 to $836.52). At $552.09 the stock trades 31% below that blend, so the label is "Undervalued" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$313.42$440.35$421.37$463.61$475.07$552.09
Market cap$86.9B$116.5B$105.8B$110.9B$110.9B$127.6B
P/E13.8×20.3×15.3×20.8×22.1×20.4×
EV / revenue1.4×2.0×1.8×1.8×1.7×1.9×
EV / EBITDA9.1×13.3×12.3×15.0×13.6×15.8×
Price / free cash flow11.3×19.0×17.0×21.0×16.1×14.6×
Free-cash-flow yield8.9%5.3%5.9%4.8%6.2%6.8%
Price / book7.9×12.6×15.5×17.5×16.5×14.6×
Dividend yield3.38%2.59%2.88%2.75%2.81%2.50%

Fundamentals checklist ● 5 Good · ● 8 Average · ● 3 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−6.6%Good
Free-cash-flow yield6.8%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score2.5×Average
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−0.3%Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)4.1%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)4.4%Average
Growth consistency90%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.2×Average
Net debt / EBITDA1.8×Average
Interest cover8.2×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.4×Good
EBIT / EV yield6.3%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital30.4%Good
Operating margin11.9%Average
Gross profitability14.5%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue67,04465,98467,57171,04375,04877,014
Gross profit9,0618,2878,4796,9307,6199,086
Operating income9,1238,3488,5077,0137,7319,153
Net income6,3155,7326,9205,3365,0176,287
Diluted EPS ($)22.7621.6627.5522.3121.4927.08
Free cash flow7,6996,1326,2295,2876,9088,729
Gross margin13.5%12.6%12.5%9.8%10.2%11.8%
Operating margin13.6%12.7%12.6%9.9%10.3%11.9%
Net margin9.4%8.7%10.2%7.5%6.7%8.2%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets50,87352,88052,45655,61759,84062,450
Cash3,6042,5471,4422,4834,1213,791
Total debt11,67615,54717,45920,27021,70020,538
Equity10,9599,2666,8356,3336,7218,768
Dividend per share ($)10.6011.4012.1512.7513.3513.65

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%5%9%14%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)17,96318,15518,60920,32118,02120,063
Growth vs a year earlier+4.5%+0.2%+8.8%+9.1%+0.3%+10.5%
Net income ($M)1,7123421,6191,3441,4881,836
Diluted EPS ($)7.281.466.95–6.447.94
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT)

Peers in Aerospace & Defense

CompanyX-Ray
LMT · Lockheed Martin Corp57
GD · General Dynamics Corp69
TXT · Textron Inc65
LHX · L3harris Technologies, Inc...59
HWM · Howmet Aerospace Inc.54

Market Compass outlook for Industrials: Neutral (45/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+8.3%
1 month+2.6%
3 months+9.0%
6 months−5.6%
1 year+13.4%
3 years+37.0%
5 years+78.4%

Technical summary

DailyBullish10 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish9 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish6 bullish · 1 neutral · 1 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$541.94 / $559.11
52-week low / high$429.47 / $683.27
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 530.86 · S1 541.47 · P – · R1 557.92 · R2 563.76

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
1 Dec 2026$3.6000
1 Sep 2026$3.4500
1 Jun 2026$3.4500
2 Mar 2026$3.4500
1 Dec 2025$3.4500
2 Sep 2025$3.3000
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 30.4% is ahead of 83% of its sector peers.
  • Free-cash-flow yield of 6.8% is ahead of 90% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Free-cash-flow growth (3y) is weak against Industrials peers (4.1%).
  • Interest cover is weak against Industrials peers (8.2×).
  • Gross profitability is weak against Industrials peers (14.5%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
28 Aug 20268-K1.01,9.01
23 Jul 202610-Q
23 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
13 May 20268-K5.07
23 Apr 202610-Q
23 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01
26 Mar 2026DEF 14A
29 Jan 202610-K

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026