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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Mastercard Inc (MA)

Financials · Transaction & Payment Processing Services · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$617.42
52-week range$463.04 – $622.49
Market cap$545.2B
P/E (trailing)34.1×
EV / EBITDA25.8×
Free-cash-flow yield3.1%
Dividend yield0.6%
Revenue (last 12 months)$35.1B
Revenue growth (3y a year)13.8%
Operating margin58.3%
Return on invested capital87.0%
Net debt / EBITDA0.6×

Fair value

Blended fair value$516.84 range $315 – $475
Versus priceFair−16% to fair value
Peer multiples$249.77
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$379.63
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$921.13
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$241.03
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

60/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 77% of sector peers
Valuation24
Growth73
Profitability75
Financial health74
Dividends56

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

256352447542638Fair value $5172021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Mastercard runs a global payments network that connects consumers, merchants and banks. It does not issue cards or lend to cardholders; banks do that. The company earns money from fees charged on transaction volume, on currency conversion and cross-border activity, and from data, security and other services it sells to financial institutions. Its results follow consumer spending patterns and the growth of electronic payments.

Looking at the top line, revenue was $35.1 billion for the latest twelve months and it grew by 13.8% a year over three years. Operating margin was 58.3%, and return on invested capital is 87%. Its net debt to EBITDA ratio is 0.6 times. Shareholders receive a dividend with a yield of 0.6%.

StocksXray gives Mastercard Inc an X-Ray Score of 60 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 77% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is profitability (75) and its weakest is valuation (24).

Our fair value blend is $516.84 (range $314.70 to $475.31). At $617.42 the stock trades 19% above that blend, so the label is "Fair" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Mastercard Inc (MA)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$348.75$339.48$418.93$520.20$567.23$617.42
Market cap$346.0B$329.6B$396.3B$482.2B$513.9B$545.2B
P/E39.8×33.2×35.4×37.5×34.3×34.1×
EV / revenue11.8×15.1×16.1×17.5×15.9×15.9×
EV / EBITDA32.6×25.9×27.2×29.9×26.1×25.8×
Price / free cash flow38.2×30.7×34.1×33.7×29.9×32.6×
Free-cash-flow yield2.6%3.3%2.9%3.0%3.3%3.1%
Price / book47.3×52.3×57.2×74.4×66.4×97.2×
Dividend yield–0.60%0.57%0.53%0.56%0.56%

Fundamentals checklist ● 7 Good · ● 6 Average · ● 2 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−2.0%Good
Free-cash-flow yield3.1%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score7.9×Good
Piotroski F-Score9 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)17.4%Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)16.9%Average
Revenue growth (3y)13.8%Good
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.1×Average
Net debt / EBITDA0.6×Average
Interest cover27.4×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.8×Average
EBIT / EV yield3.7%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital87.0%Good
Operating margin58.3%Good
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Mastercard Inc (MA)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue29,84522,23725,09828,16732,79135,083
Gross profit––––––
Operating income10,08212,26414,00815,58218,89720,465
Net income8,6879,93011,19512,87414,96816,257
Diluted EPS ($)8.7610.2211.8313.8916.5218.13
Free cash flow9,05610,75311,60914,30617,15916,702
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin33.8%55.2%55.8%55.3%57.6%58.3%
Net margin29.1%44.7%44.6%45.7%45.6%46.3%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets37,66938,72442,44848,08154,15757,691
Cash7,4217,0088,5888,44210,56611,291
Total debt13,90114,02315,68118,22619,00024,643
Equity7,3126,2986,9296,4857,7375,611
Dividend per share ($)–2.042.372.743.153.37

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%19%38%58%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)7,2508,1338,6028,8068,3989,277
Growth vs a year earlier+14.2%+16.8%+16.7%+17.6%+15.8%+14.1%
Net income ($M)3,2803,7013,9274,0603,8824,388
Diluted EPS ($)3.594.074.34–4.354.97
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Mastercard Inc (MA)

Peers in Transaction & Payment Processing Services

CompanyX-Ray
MA · Mastercard Inc60
JKHY · Jack Henry & Associates In...65
PYPL · PayPal Holdings, Inc.65
CPAY · Corpay, Inc.54
FISV · Fiserv Inc49

Market Compass outlook for Financials: Favourable (72/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+4.8%
1 month+9.3%
3 months+13.0%
6 months+18.8%
1 year+10.4%
3 years+57.2%
5 years+79.2%

Technical summary

DailyBullish12 bullish · 0 neutral · 4 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish11 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$574.85 / $531.34
52-week low / high$463.04 / $622.49
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 608.57 · S1 613.00 · P – · R1 622.17 · R2 626.91

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
9 Oct 2026$0.8700
9 Jul 2026$0.8700
9 Apr 2026$0.8700
9 Jan 2026$0.8700
9 Oct 2025$0.7600
9 Jul 2025$0.7600
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Mastercard Inc (MA)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 87.0% is ahead of 96% of its sector peers.
  • Operating margin of 58.3% is ahead of 89% of its sector peers.
  • Revenue growth of 13.8% a year over three years is ahead of 82% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Financials peers (3.1%).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Financials peers (3.7%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
30 Jul 202610-Q
30 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
17 Jun 20268-K5.07
8 Jun 20268-K8.01,9.01
2 Jun 20268-K5.02,9.01
7 May 20268-K5.02,9.01
30 Apr 202610-Q
30 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026