S&P 5007,659▼ 1.09%Nasdaq26,140▼ 2.15%Dow Jones52,002▼ 0.34%Nasdaq 10029,188▼ 2.50%VIX19.99▲ 21.45%US Dollar101.84▼ 0.21%Gold (GLD)382.01▼ 0.18%Oil (USO)161.76▲ 2.83%
Home › MDLZ › Research report
← MDLZ page
XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

Consumer Staples · Packaged Foods & Meats · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$63.91
52-week range$49.90 – $66.07
Market cap$82.2B
P/E (trailing)31.7×
EV / EBITDA20.1×
Free-cash-flow yield3.1%
Dividend yield3.2%
Revenue (last 12 months)$39.3B
Revenue growth (3y a year)7.0%
Operating margin9.4%
Return on invested capital6.0%
Net debt / EBITDA3.8×

Fair value

Blended fair value$48.95 range $46 – $52
Versus priceOvervalued−23% to fair value
Peer multiples$44.42
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$60.62
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$41.80
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$30.52
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

35/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 10% of sector peers
Valuation24
Growth62
Profitability29
Financial health19
Dividends54

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

44.3651.3658.3565.3472.34Fair value $492021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Snacks are the focus at Mondelez International, a global company whose portfolio spans biscuits, chocolate, gum, candy and baked snacks. Its brands include Oreo, Cadbury, Milka and Toblerone, and it markets them in many countries. Customers are mainly supermarkets, convenience stores, wholesalers and other retailers. The business is managed by geographic region, covering Europe, North America, Latin America and a combined region for Asia, the Middle East and Africa.

Sales reached $39.3 billion over the last twelve months, earned by supplying snacks to retailers and distributors around the world. Sales have grown at 7.0% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 9.4%, the business earns 6% on the capital invested in it, and net debt is 3.8 times EBITDA. The dividend yield is 3.2%.

StocksXray gives Mondelez International, Inc. an X-Ray Score of 35 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 10% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is growth (62) and its weakest is financial health (19).

Our fair value blend is $48.95 (range $45.86 to $52.34). At $63.91 the stock trades 31% above that blend, so the label is "Overvalued" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$58.22$59.92$66.62$56.43$52.46$63.91
Market cap$82.3B$83.0B$91.3B$76.0B$68.1B$82.2B
P/E19.2×30.6×18.4×16.5×27.8×31.7×
EV / revenue3.4×3.3×3.0×2.5×2.3×2.6×
EV / EBITDA17.0×22.4×16.2×12.1×17.8×20.1×
Price / free cash flow25.9×27.6×25.3×21.6×21.0×31.9×
Free-cash-flow yield3.9%3.6%3.9%4.6%4.8%3.1%
Price / book2.9×3.1×3.2×2.8×2.6×3.2×
Dividend yield–2.45%2.43%3.17%3.70%3.16%

Fundamentals checklist ● 2 Good · ● 2 Average · ● 12 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−1.8%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield3.1%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score1.6×Bad
Piotroski F-Score5 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−1.2%Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)2.5%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)7.0%Good
Growth consistency90%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio0.5×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA3.8×Bad
Interest cover6.0×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.8×Bad
EBIT / EV yield3.6%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital6.0%Bad
Operating margin9.4%Average
Gross profitability15.9%Bad

Red flags

  • Dividend may be at risk — Dividends exceed free cash flow
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue28,72031,49636,01636,44138,53739,304
Gross profit11,25411,31213,76414,25710,93511,308
Operating income4,6533,5345,5026,3453,5483,676
Net income4,3002,7174,9594,6112,4512,609
Diluted EPS ($)3.041.963.623.421.892.02
Free cash flow3,1763,0023,6023,5233,2352,575
Gross margin39.2%35.9%38.2%39.1%28.4%28.8%
Operating margin16.2%11.2%15.3%17.4%9.2%9.4%
Net margin15.0%8.6%13.8%12.7%6.4%6.6%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets67,09271,16171,39168,49771,48771,122
Cash3,5531,9481,8841,4002,1951,631
Total debt19,51222,93319,40817,74921,20521,024
Equity28,26926,88328,33226,93225,83825,750
Dividend per share ($)–1.471.621.791.941.97

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%13%26%39%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026
Revenue ($M)9,6049,3138,9849,74410,49610,080
Growth vs a year earlier+3.1%+0.2%+7.7%+5.9%+9.3%+8.2%
Net income ($M)1,745402641743665560
Diluted EPS ($)–0.310.490.57–0.44
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

Peers in Packaged Foods & Meats

CompanyX-Ray
MDLZ · Mondelez International, In...35
MKC · Mccormick & Co Inc53
HRL · Hormel Foods Corp42
TSN · Tyson Foods, Inc.38
KHC · Kraft Heinz Co35

Market Compass outlook for Consumer Staples: Neutral (41/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+5.8%
1 month+3.9%
3 months+7.0%
6 months+13.6%
1 year+7.3%
3 years+11.1%
5 years+22.9%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bullish12 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish11 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish6 bullish · 1 neutral · 1 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$61.28 / $58.99
52-week low / high$49.90 / $66.07
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 62.86 · S1 63.39 · P – · R1 64.42 · R2 64.92

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
30 Sep 2026$0.5200
30 Jun 2026$0.5000
31 Mar 2026$0.5000
31 Dec 2025$0.5000
30 Sep 2025$0.5000
30 Jun 2025$0.4700
stocksxray.com · page 4
XStocksXray
Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

Strengths

  • Revenue growth of 7.0% a year over three years is ahead of 88% of its sector peers.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Consumer Staples peers (−1.8%).
  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Consumer Staples peers (3.1%).
  • Altman Z score is weak against Consumer Staples peers (1.6×).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Consumer Staples peers (5 of 9).
  • Free-cash-flow growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Staples peers (2.5%).
  • Current ratio is weak against Consumer Staples peers (0.5×).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Consumer Staples peers (3.8×).
  • Interest cover is weak against Consumer Staples peers (6.0×).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
28 Jul 202610-Q
28 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
18 Jun 20268-K5.02
26 May 20268-K5.07
28 Apr 202610-Q
28 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01
3 Apr 2026DEF 14A
18 Feb 20268-K1.01,1.02,2.03,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026