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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Nisource Inc. (NI)

Utilities · Multi-Utilities · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$42.68
52-week range$38.42 – $48.88
Market cap$20.5B
P/E (trailing)22.5×
EV / EBITDA12.1×
Free-cash-flow yield−5.3%
Dividend yield2.8%
Revenue (last 12 months)$11.4B
Revenue growth (3y a year)4.4%
Operating margin16.4%
Return on invested capital5.5%
Net debt / EBITDA5.5×

Fair value

Blended fair value$41.91 range $39 – $47
Versus priceFair−2% to fair value
Peer multiples$43.27
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$51.46
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$30.99
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$37.25
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

55/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 65% of sector peers
Valuation54
Growth66
Profitability48
Financial health52
Dividends62

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

19.0126.8634.7242.5850.43Fair value $422021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

NiSource is a utility holding company that delivers natural gas and electricity to customers in several midwestern states. Its subsidiaries run pipelines and distribution networks and operate power generation. Revenue comes from regulated rates approved by state commissions, which allow the company to recover costs and earn a return on the money it invests in its networks and in cleaner generation.

Revenue over the last twelve months came to $11.4 billion. Across three years, revenue grew 4.4% a year. It posts an operating margin of 16.4%, with return on invested capital of 5%. Leverage, measured as net debt to EBITDA, is 5.5 times. The dividend yield is 2.8%. These figures describe past results as reported and are a factual snapshot, not a forecast. Some measures, such as margins for real estate trusts and banks, are defined differently from those of industrial firms, so comparisons should be made with care.

StocksXray gives Nisource Inc. an X-Ray Score of 55 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 65% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is growth (66) and its weakest is profitability (48).

Our fair value blend is $41.91 (range $38.89 to $47.37). At $42.68 the stock trades 2% above that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Nisource Inc. (NI)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$23.68$24.31$24.43$35.05$40.94$42.68
Market cap$9.9B$10.8B$10.9B$16.0B$19.4B$20.5B
P/E18.6×14.3×16.5×21.6×21.0×22.5×
EV / revenue4.3×4.0×4.8×6.1×5.9×3.5×
EV / EBITDA11.7×10.9×11.7×13.0×12.8×12.8×
Price / free cash flow––––––
Free-cash-flow yield−6.3%−7.4%−6.5%−5.2%−2.2%−5.3%
Price / book1.4×1.4×1.3×1.8×2.1×2.1×
Dividend yield3.72%3.87%4.09%3.02%2.74%2.76%

Fundamentals checklist ● 4 Good · ● 6 Average · ● 4 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−3.7%Good
Free-cash-flow yield−5.3%Average

Risk models

Altman Z score0.3×Bad
Piotroski F-Score7 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)4.7%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)4.4%Good
Growth consistency80%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio0.5×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA5.5×Good
Interest cover2.5×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.0×Average
EBIT / EV yield4.6%Average

Profitability

Return on invested capital5.5%Average
Operating margin16.4%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Nisource Inc. (NI)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue4,7315,7395,3485,2836,52311,375
Gross profit––––––
Operating income1,0071,2661,2961,4561,8351,860
Net income585804714760930905
Diluted EPS ($)1.271.701.481.621.951.90
Free cash flow-620-794-711-833-420-1,086
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin21.3%22.1%24.2%27.6%28.1%16.4%
Net margin12.4%14.0%13.4%14.4%14.3%8.0%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets24,15726,73731,07731,78835,85937,544
Cash84412,24515711070
Total debt10,36211,73115,18914,56516,95017,403
Equity6,9477,5758,2708,6849,4509,575
Dividend per share ($)0.880.941.001.061.121.18

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%9%19%28%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)2,1501,2471,2406,5232,3221,290
Growth vs a year earlier+26.0%+14.9%+15.2%+23.5%+8.0%+3.4%
Net income ($M)4751029525850746
Diluted EPS ($)1.000.220.20–1.060.09
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Nisource Inc. (NI)

Peers in Multi-Utilities

CompanyX-Ray
NI · Nisource Inc.55
ED · Consolidated Edison Inc69
AEE · Ameren Corp58
DTB · Dte Energy Co55
D · Dominion Energy, Inc48

Market Compass outlook for Utilities: Unfavourable (31/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+4.7%
1 month+4.3%
3 months−5.3%
6 months−10.5%
1 year+0.6%
3 years+79.9%
5 years+105.5%

Technical summary

DailyBullish9 bullish · 1 neutral · 6 bearish
WeeklyNeutral5 bullish · 1 neutral · 6 bearish
MonthlyBullish5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$40.93 / $44.45
52-week low / high$38.42 / $48.88
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 41.21 · S1 41.94 · P – · R1 43.14 · R2 43.61

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
30 Oct 2026$0.3000
31 Jul 2026$0.3000
30 Apr 2026$0.3000
3 Feb 2026$0.3000
31 Oct 2025$0.2800
31 Jul 2025$0.2800
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Nisource Inc. (NI)

Strengths

  • Revenue growth of 4.4% a year over three years is ahead of 78% of its sector peers.
  • Net debt is only 5.5× EBITDA, ahead of 68% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Altman Z score is weak against Utilities peers (0.3×).
  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Utilities peers (4.7%).
  • Current ratio is weak against Utilities peers (0.5×).
  • Operating margin is weak against Utilities peers (16.4%).
  • The Altman Z score of 0.3× is in the distress zone.

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
16 Oct 20268-K2.03,9.01
18 Aug 20268-K8.01,9.01
13 Aug 2026424B5
5 Aug 202610-Q
5 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
18 May 20268-K8.01,9.01
12 May 20268-K5.07,9.01
11 May 2026424B5

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026