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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY)

Consumer Discretionary · Automotive Retail · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$89.27
52-week range$82.59 – $102.71
Market cap$74.0B
P/E (trailing)28.5×
EV / EBITDA19.4×
Free-cash-flow yield2.9%
Dividend yield–
Revenue (last 12 months)$18.6B
Revenue growth (3y a year)7.3%
Operating margin19.6%
Return on invested capital57.6%
Net debt / EBITDA1.6×

Fair value

Blended fair value$99.98 range $88 – $107
Versus priceFair+12% to fair value
Peer multiples$64.43
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$93.09
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$142.41
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$36.22
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

47/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 34% of sector peers
Valuation31
Growth42
Profitability67
Financial health46
Dividends–

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

33.9953.4973.0092.50112Fair value $1002021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

As a specialty retailer, O'Reilly Automotive supplies replacement parts, tools, accessories and maintenance items for cars and light trucks across the United States. Its customers are do-it-yourself vehicle owners and professional repair shops, and it serves both from a network of stores supported by regional distribution centres. A dedicated sales team calls on professional customers, while shoppers can also order through the company's website.

Revenue comes from parts and accessory sales through the stores, to both everyday drivers and repair businesses. Over the last twelve months it reached $18.6 billion, and it has grown at 7.3% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 19.6%, and the business earns a profit of 58% on the capital invested in it. It carries net debt of 1.6 times EBITDA and does not pay a dividend.

StocksXray gives O Reilly Automotive Inc an X-Ray Score of 47 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 34% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is profitability (67) and its weakest is valuation (31).

Our fair value blend is $99.98 (range $87.55 to $107.19). At $89.27 the stock trades 11% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

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O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$47.08$56.27$63.34$79.05$91.21$89.27
Market cap$3.3B$3.7B$58.0B$69.6B$78.1B$74.0B
P/E1.5×1.7×24.7×29.2×30.7×28.5×
EV / revenue0.5×0.5×4.0×4.5×4.7×4.3×
EV / EBITDA2.1×2.4×17.6×20.2×21.1×19.4×
Price / free cash flow1.2×1.4×28.6×34.4×49.0×34.3×
Free-cash-flow yield84.4%70.7%3.5%2.9%2.0%2.9%
Price / book––––––
Dividend yield––––––

Fundamentals checklist ● 4 Good · ● 5 Average · ● 7 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−3.7%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield2.9%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score-0.2×Bad
Piotroski F-Score7 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−55.4%Bad
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)−14.9%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)7.3%Average
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio0.8×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA1.6×Average
Interest cover14.4×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.1×Average
EBIT / EV yield4.5%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital57.6%Good
Operating margin19.6%Good
Gross profitability55.1%Average

Red flags

  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
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O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue13,32814,41015,81216,70817,78218,573
Gross profit7,0207,3828,1058,5549,1749,590
Operating income2,9172,9543,1863,2513,4613,632
Net income2,1652,1732,3472,3872,5382,650
Diluted EPS ($)31.1033.442.562.712.973.14
Free cash flow2,7642,5852,0282,0261,5932,156
Gross margin52.7%51.2%51.3%51.2%51.6%51.6%
Operating margin21.9%20.5%20.2%19.5%19.5%19.6%
Net margin16.2%15.1%14.8%14.3%14.3%14.3%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets11,71912,62813,87314,89416,53817,389
Cash362109279130194262
Total debt3,8274,3725,5705,5216,0177,015
Equity-66-1,061-1,739-1,371-763-1,836
Dividend per share ($)––––––

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%18%35%53%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)4,1374,5254,7064,4144,5614,892
Growth vs a year earlier+4.0%+5.9%+7.8%+7.8%+10.2%+8.1%
Net income ($M)538669726605604715
Diluted EPS ($)0.620.780.85–0.720.86
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O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY)

Peers in Automotive Retail

CompanyX-Ray
ORLY · O Reilly Automotive Inc47
AZO · Autozone Inc51
CVNA · Carvana Co.48

Market Compass outlook for Consumer Discretionary: Neutral (53/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+3.3%
1 month+5.2%
3 months+5.6%
6 months−4.7%
1 year−12.6%
3 years+46.1%
5 years+119.4%

Technical summary

DailyBullish10 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
WeeklyBullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 4 bearish
MonthlyBearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$87.55 / $90.67
52-week low / high$82.59 / $102.71
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 87.79 · S1 88.53 · P – · R1 90.25 · R2 91.23
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O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 57.6% is ahead of 82% of its sector peers.
  • Operating margin of 19.6% is ahead of 72% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−3.7%).
  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (2.9%).
  • Altman Z score is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (-0.2×).
  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−55.4%).
  • Free-cash-flow growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−14.9%).
  • Current ratio is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (0.8×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (4.5%).
  • The Altman Z score of -0.2× is in the distress zone.

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
1 Oct 20268-K7.01,9.01
14 Aug 20268-K1.01,9.01
11 Aug 20268-K1.01,9.01
10 Aug 2026424B5
7 Aug 202610-Q
29 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
10 Jul 20268-K5.02
1 Jul 20268-K7.01,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026