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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Paychex Inc (PAYX)

Industrials · Human Resource & Employment Services · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$111.63
52-week range$83.50 – $127.98
Market cap$39.8B
P/E (trailing)22.2×
EV / EBITDA14.3×
Free-cash-flow yield5.1%
Dividend yield4.1%
Revenue (last 12 months)$6.6B
Revenue growth (3y a year)9.2%
Operating margin39.2%
Return on invested capital26.8%
Net debt / EBITDA1.2×

Fair value

Blended fair value$144.43 range $136 – $157
Versus priceFair+29% to fair value
Peer multiples$144.49
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$125.31
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$163.50
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$57.26
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

67/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 96% of sector peers
Valuation73
Growth67
Profitability73
Financial health58
Dividends61

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

79.2399.68120141161Fair value $1442021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Paychex provides payroll processing and human resources outsourcing services, mainly to small and mid-sized businesses in the United States. Its offerings cover payroll, benefits administration, retirement plans, insurance services and workforce management software. Revenue comes largely from recurring service fees charged per payroll run or per employee, plus interest earned on client funds held between collecting taxes and payments and passing them on to the proper recipients.

Over the last twelve months Paychex Inc reported revenue of $6.6 billion, which expanded at 9.2% a year across three years. Its operating margin is 39.2% and its return on invested capital is 27%. Leverage, measured as net debt to EBITDA, is 1.2 times. Shareholders receive a dividend, yielding 4.1%.

StocksXray gives Paychex Inc an X-Ray Score of 67 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 96% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is profitability (73) and its weakest is financial health (58).

Our fair value blend is $144.43 (range $135.54 to $156.67). At $111.63 the stock trades 23% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Paychex Inc (PAYX)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Now
Price$107.94$94.06$111.04$150.11$95.98$111.63
Market cap$39.2B$34.1B$40.2B$54.3B$34.6B$39.8B
P/E28.1×21.9×23.8×32.8×19.6×22.2×
EV / revenue8.4×6.6×7.5×10.3×5.8×6.6×
EV / EBITDA19.1×15.1×16.8×23.8×12.9×14.3×
Price / free cash flow26.9×21.8×23.2×31.8×14.9×19.7×
Free-cash-flow yield3.7%4.6%4.3%3.1%6.7%5.1%
Price / book12.7×9.8×10.6×13.2×9.3×10.7×
Dividend yield2.57%3.47%3.29%2.68%4.62%4.07%

Fundamentals checklist ● 10 Good · ● 5 Average · ● 1 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−2.8%Average
Free-cash-flow yield5.1%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score2.5×Average
Piotroski F-Score8 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)4.4%Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)14.1%Average
Revenue growth (3y)9.2%Good
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.3×Average
Net debt / EBITDA1.2×Good
Interest cover9.7×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.3×Good
EBIT / EV yield6.0%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital26.8%Good
Operating margin39.2%Good
Gross profitability31.4%Good
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Paychex Inc (PAYX)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Revenue4,6125,0075,2785,5726,5126,603
Gross profit3,2553,5543,7994,0314,8384,912
Operating income1,8402,0332,1742,2082,5112,588
Net income1,3931,55701,6571,7601,806
Diluted EPS ($)3.844.304.674.584.895.03
Free cash flow1,4561,5631,7361,7092,3222,017
Gross margin70.6%71.0%72.0%72.4%74.3%74.4%
Operating margin39.9%40.6%41.2%39.6%38.6%39.2%
Net margin30.2%31.1%0.0%29.7%27.0%27.4%
Balance sheetFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Total assets9,63510,54610,38316,56416,17515,661
Cash3701,2221,4691,6291,088601
Total debt8068088174,9674,5564,558
Equity3,0853,4933,8014,1283,7353,706
Dividend per share ($)2.773.263.654.024.434.54

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%25%50%74%FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Latest quarters

May 2025Aug 2025Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026
Revenue ($M)1,4271,5401,5581,8091,6061,631
Growth vs a year earlier+10.2%+16.8%+18.3%+19.9%+12.5%+5.9%
Net income ($M)297384395560421430
Diluted EPS ($)–1.061.101.56–1.21
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Paychex Inc (PAYX)

Peers in Human Resource & Employment Services

CompanyX-Ray
PAYX · Paychex Inc67
ADP · Automatic Data Processing...65

Market Compass outlook for Industrials: Neutral (45/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+7.4%
1 month−4.2%
3 months−2.1%
6 months+24.2%
1 year−8.6%
3 years+4.2%
5 years+9.9%

Technical summary

DailyBullish10 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
WeeklyNeutral6 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
MonthlyNeutral3 bullish · 1 neutral · 4 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$114.54 / $101.98
52-week low / high$83.50 / $127.98
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 108.69 · S1 110.16 · P – · R1 112.81 · R2 113.99

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
26 Oct 2026$1.1900
28 Jul 2026$1.1900
13 May 2026$1.1900
28 Jan 2026$1.0800
7 Nov 2025$1.0800
21 Jul 2025$1.0800
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Paychex Inc (PAYX)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 26.8% is ahead of 75% of its sector peers.
  • Operating margin of 39.2% is ahead of 96% of its sector peers.
  • Revenue growth of 9.2% a year over three years is ahead of 74% of its sector peers.
  • Free-cash-flow yield of 5.1% is ahead of 72% of its sector peers.
  • Net debt is only 1.2× EBITDA, ahead of 67% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Interest cover is weak against Industrials peers (9.7×).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
16 Oct 20268-K5.07
24 Sep 202610-Q
23 Sep 20268-K2.02
4 Sep 2026DEF 14A
21 Jul 20268-K5.02,9.01
17 Jul 202610-K
24 Jun 20268-K2.02,9.01
26 Mar 202610-Q

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026