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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)

Financials · Transaction & Payment Processing Services · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$56.70
52-week range$38.12 – $78.34
Market cap$52.2B
P/E (trailing)10.7×
EV / EBITDA7.5×
Free-cash-flow yield10.5%
Dividend yield1.0%
Revenue (last 12 months)$33.7B
Revenue growth (3y a year)6.4%
Operating margin17.9%
Return on invested capital22.9%
Net debt / EBITDA0.1×

Fair value

Blended fair value$159.04 range $136 – $170
Versus priceData under review+0% to fair value
Peer multiples$74.60
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$154.91
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$247.61
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$74.85
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

65/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 92% of sector peers
Valuation84
Growth54
Profitability63
Financial health69
Dividends37

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

24.9489.33154218282Fair value $1592021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

PayPal operates a digital payments platform that lets consumers and merchants send, receive and accept money online and in stores. Its brands include PayPal, Venmo and Braintree, which handle checkout, peer-to-peer transfers and payment processing for businesses. The company earns money mainly from transaction fees charged on the payments it processes, along with currency conversion charges and income from credit and other financial services offered to account holders.

Sales reached $33.7 billion in the last twelve months, having grown 6.4% a year over the past three years. Operating profit equals 17.9% of revenue. Return on invested capital is 23%. Net debt is 0.1 times of EBITDA. It pays a dividend, and the yield is 1.0%.

StocksXray gives PayPal Holdings, Inc. an X-Ray Score of 65 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 92% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (84) and its weakest is dividends (37).

Our fair value blend is $159.04 (range $135.88 to $170.15). At $56.70 the stock trades 64% below that blend, so the label is "Data under review" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$186.50$70.43$60.73$84.41$57.87$56.70
Market cap$221.2B$81.6B$67.2B$87.7B$56.0B$52.2B
P/E53.0×33.7×15.8×21.2×10.7×10.7×
EV / revenue8.7×2.9×2.1×2.7×1.7×1.5×
EV / EBITDA39.8×15.7×10.3×13.6×7.9×7.5×
Price / free cash flow45.2×16.0×15.9×13.0×10.1×9.5×
Free-cash-flow yield2.2%6.3%6.3%7.7%9.9%10.5%
Price / book10.2×4.0×3.2×4.3×2.8×2.6×
Dividend yield––––0.24%0.99%

Fundamentals checklist ● 9 Good · ● 4 Average · ● 2 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−1.7%Average
Free-cash-flow yield10.5%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score3.2×Average
Piotroski F-Score9 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)37.3%Good
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)2.9%Average
Revenue growth (3y)6.4%Average
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.3×Good
Net debt / EBITDA0.1×Good
Interest cover13.4×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price2.8×Good
EBIT / EV yield11.4%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital22.9%Good
Operating margin17.9%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
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PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue25,37127,51829,77131,79733,17233,734
Gross profit––––––
Operating income4,2623,8375,0285,3256,0656,023
Net income4,1692,4194,2464,1475,2335,059
Diluted EPS ($)3.522.093.843.995.415.29
Free cash flow4,8895,1074,2206,7675,5645,503
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin16.8%13.9%16.9%16.7%18.3%17.9%
Net margin16.4%8.8%14.3%13.0%15.8%15.0%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets75,80378,62482,16678,72580,17380,546
Cash5,1977,7769,0816,6628,0496,977
Total debt8,04910,4179,6769,8799,9879,409
Equity21,72720,27421,05120,41720,25620,024
Dividend per share ($)––––0.14–

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%6%12%18%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026
Revenue ($M)8,3667,7918,2888,4178,6768,353
Growth vs a year earlier+4.2%+1.2%+5.1%+7.3%+3.7%+7.2%
Net income ($M)1,1211,2871,2611,2481,4371,113
Diluted EPS ($)–1.291.291.30–1.21
stocksxray.com · page 3
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PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)

Peers in Transaction & Payment Processing Services

CompanyX-Ray
PYPL · PayPal Holdings, Inc.65
JKHY · Jack Henry & Associates In...65
MA · Mastercard Inc60
CPAY · Corpay, Inc.54
FISV · Fiserv Inc49

Market Compass outlook for Financials: Favourable (72/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+2.1%
1 month+7.1%
3 months+0.0%
6 months+12.2%
1 year−15.7%
3 years−1.3%
5 years−78.0%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bullish12 bullish · 3 neutral · 1 bearish
WeeklyBullish8 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
MonthlyBearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$56.03 / $49.83
52-week low / high$38.12 / $78.34
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 55.57 · S1 56.14 · P – · R1 57.54 · R2 58.37

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
4 Sep 2026$0.1400
4 Jun 2026$0.1400
4 Mar 2026$0.1400
19 Nov 2025$0.1400
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PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 22.9% is ahead of 72% of its sector peers.
  • Free-cash-flow yield of 10.5% is ahead of 76% of its sector peers.
  • Net debt is only 0.1× EBITDA, ahead of 71% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Interest cover is weak against Financials peers (13.4×).
  • Operating margin is weak against Financials peers (17.9%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
28 Jul 202610-Q
28 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
21 May 20268-K5.02,5.07,9.01
15 May 20268-K8.01,9.01
5 May 202610-Q
5 May 20268-K2.02,9.01
30 Apr 20268-K5.02,7.01,9.01
7 Apr 2026DEF 14A

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026