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Target Corp (TGT)

Consumer Staples · Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail · US stock · S&P 500 component
$154.26 ▼ -2.37 (1.51%)
At close 16 Oct 2026 · USD · Volume 6,195,100
Fair valueUndervalued
$250 +62.4% to fair value
$125fair band $175–$326$376
Day's range
$153.39 – $159.56
52-week range
$81.20 – $170.75

About Target Corp

Target is a general merchandise retailer operating large stores and a significant online business across the United States. It sells groceries, apparel, home goods, electronics and household essentials, including a range of its own brands. Revenue comes from retail sales to consumers, with stores also serving as fulfillment points for pickup and delivery. It also earns smaller amounts from credit card programs and advertising.

Over the last twelve months Target Corp reported revenue of $107.7 billion, which fell 1.3% a year over the past three years. Its operating margin is 5.6% and its return on invested capital is 17%. Net debt to EBITDA is 1.1 times. The company pays a dividend with a yield of 3.0%. The X-Ray Score is 57 out of 100, a summary of these measures.

Written with AI from public information and the filing figures on this page, then checked automatically for unsupported numbers. It can contain mistakes: read the company's own filings below before relying on it.
52-wk range $81.20 – $170.75Volume 6,195,100Daily, split-adjusted

Vitals

Market cap$70.4B
52-week range$81.20 – $170.75
Volume (last day)6,195,100
P/E (TTM)16.0
EBIT / EV yield7.5%
Free-cash-flow yield6.3%
Dividend yield3.0%
Revenue (TTM)$107.7B
Net income (TTM)$4.4B
Operating margin5.6%
Return on capital16.8%
Debt incl. leases$15.4B
Cash & securities$5.4B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies like Apple). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$250model spread $240 – $262
Undervalued +62.4% to fair value
Equal blend of three models: peer multiples, a fundamentals-adjusted multiple (growth, ROIC and margin) and a 10-year DCF scaled to the market's average. Earnings-power value (no growth) is a floor and not part of the blend. Model uncertainty is Medium, so the safety margin is 30%.
Price $154
Undervalued < $175Fair $175 – $326Overvalued > $326
10-year DCF (market-scaled)
$224
Peer multiples
$231
Earnings power floor (not blended)
$101
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple
$296
Growth the price implies
4.5%/yr
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.09%, equity risk premium 4.23% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means

Average business at a low price

Our models put fair value above today's price, but models can be wrong, so check the business first. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.

Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.

The five-lens scan

Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Consumer Staples peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.

Valuation Strong
82/100
Cheap against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield7.5%
Free-cash-flow yield6.3%
Fair value vs price1.6×
Growth Weak
38/100
Growing slower than most of its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)-1.3%
EPS growth (3y)10.8%
Growth consistency40%
Profitability Fair
61/100
Returns on capital are typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital16.8%
Operating margin5.6%
Gross profitability51.5%
Financial health Weak
41/100
Balance sheet is more stretched than most peers.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score5 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA1.1×
Interest cover14.0×
Dividends Fair
59/100
Dividend is typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield3.0%
Dividends vs free cash flow47%
Dividend growth3.8%

Quarterly results: last 6 quarters

-2.8%
May '25
-0.9%
Aug '25
-1.6%
Nov '25
-1.5%
Jan '26
+6.7%
May '26
+5.3%
Aug '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $26.5B, diluted EPS $4.11.

Compare with peers

DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc.77 DG Dollar General Corp66 COST Costco Wholesale Corp57 WMT Walmart Inc.52
Other Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail companies by X-Ray Score.

Fundamentals checklist

● 7 Good · ● 4 Average · ● 4 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashGood
Free-cash-flow yieldGood
Risk models
Altman Z''Bad
Piotroski F-ScoreBad
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Good
Revenue growth (3y)Bad
Growth consistencyBad
Balance sheet
Current ratioAverage
Net debt / EBITDAGood
Interest coverAverage
Valuation
Fair value vs priceGood
EBIT / EV yieldGood
Profitability
Return on invested capitalAverage
Operating marginAverage
Gross profitabilityGood
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 60/100.

Financials

FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Revenue$106.0B$109.1B$107.4B$106.6B$104.8B
Operating income$8.9B$3.8B$5.7B$5.6B$5.1B
Net income$6.9B$2.8B$4.1B$4.1B$3.7B
Operating cash flow$8.6B$4.0B$8.6B$7.4B$6.6B
Operating margin8.4%3.5%5.3%5.2%4.9%
Free cash flow$5.1B−$1.5B$3.8B$4.5B$2.8B
Diluted EPS$14.10$5.98$8.94$8.86$8.13
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.

Technical summary

Daily
Neutral
6 bullish · 4 neutral · 6 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bullish
10 bullish · 1 neutral · 1 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bullish
7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10153.8Bullish
EMA 10154.6Bearish
SMA 20155.5Bearish
EMA 20155.3Bearish
SMA 50157.4Bearish
EMA 50153.6Bullish
SMA 100145.4Bullish
EMA 100146.3Bullish
SMA 200130.3Bullish
EMA 200134.2Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)47.63Neutral
MACD (12, 26)-0.67Bearish
Momentum (12)-1.55Bearish
Stochastic %K (14)40.17Neutral
Williams %R (14)-59.83Neutral
CCI (20)5.08Neutral
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
145.7
S2
149.6
S1
151.9
Pivot
155.7
R1
158.1
R2
161.9
R3
164.3
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.

Dividends

Paid, last 12 months
4.58 USD
Yield on today's price
2.97%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
10 Nov 2026
Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
10 Nov 2026 (upcoming)1.1600
12 Aug 20261.1600
13 May 20261.1400
11 Feb 20261.1400
12 Nov 20251.1400
13 Aug 20251.1400
14 May 20251.1200
12 Feb 20251.1200
20 Nov 20241.1200
21 Aug 20241.1200
14 May 20241.1000
20 Feb 20241.1000
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.

TGT SEC filings

28 Aug 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
19 Aug 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations
14 Aug 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Entered a material agreement
22 Jul 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change
12 Jun 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change; Shareholder vote results
29 May 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
20 May 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations
27 Apr 2026
DEF 14ASEC EDGAR
Proxy statement

Where the numbers come from

Statements SEC EDGAR filings (10-K, 10-Q), quarters derived from year-to-date figures.
Prices end-of-day closes, split-adjusted.
Industry inputs beta, multiples and equity risk premium from Damodaran Online (NYU Stern).
Read the full methodology →

StocksXray is for education only and is not financial advice. Scores and fair values are model estimates from public filings and carry uncertainty.