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Research report · 16 October 2026

Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL)

Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$350.92
52-week range$268.08 – $544.86
Market cap$24.2B
P/E (trailing)37.3×
EV / EBITDA32.4×
Free-cash-flow yield2.5%
Dividend yield1.0%
Revenue (last 12 months)$898M
Revenue growth (3y a year)6.1%
Operating margin74.9%
Return on invested capital36.9%
Net debt / EBITDA–

Fair value

Blended fair value$136.75 range $137 – $137
Versus priceOvervalued−61% to fair value
Peer multiples$143.92
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$129.58
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$548.55
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$109.70
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

46/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 30% of sector peers
Valuation8
Growth68
Profitability70
Financial health62
Dividends10

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

76.92207337468598Fair value $1372021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Texas Pacific Land owns a large area of land in West Texas, much of it in the Permian Basin, a major oil and gas producing region of the United States. It does not drill wells itself. Instead, oil and gas operators pay it for the right to use its land and for water supplied for drilling, while other customers pay for easements and surface use. The company also holds royalty interests in oil and gas produced from its acreage.

Income comes from oil and gas royalties, water sales and services, and easement and surface payments. Revenue for the last twelve months was $898 million, having grown at 6.1% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 74.9%, and the business earns a profit of 37% on the capital invested in it. Shareholders receive a dividend with a yield of 1.0%.

StocksXray gives Texas Pacific Land Corp an X-Ray Score of 46 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 30% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is profitability (70) and its weakest is valuation (8).

Our fair value blend is $136.75 (range $136.75 to $136.75). At $350.92 the stock trades 157% above that blend, so the label is "Overvalued" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$131.03$250.65$169.44$364.84$285.99$350.92
Market cap$1.0B$5.8B$11.7B$25.2B$19.7B$24.2B
P/E3.8×13.0×28.9×55.5×41.0×37.3×
EV / revenue1.3×7.9×17.4×35.2×24.6×26.7×
EV / EBITDA1.6×9.2×22.0×44.0×29.9×32.4×
Price / free cash flow4.1×13.6×28.0×51.3×36.2×40.2×
Free-cash-flow yield24.5%7.4%3.6%1.9%2.8%2.5%
Price / book1.6×7.5×11.2×22.2×13.5×14.5×
Dividend yield8.40%–2.56%–0.74%0.97%

Fundamentals checklist ● 7 Good · ● 0 Average · ● 5 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−3.3%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score16.1×Good
Piotroski F-Score4 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−28.7%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)6.1%Good
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio4.6×Good
Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.4×Bad
EBIT / EV yield2.8%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital36.9%Good
Operating margin74.9%Good
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue451667632706798898
Gross profit––––––
Operating income362562486539592672
Net income270446406454481541
Diluted EPS ($)34.8319.265.866.576.979.41
Free cash flow249428418491546603
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin80.4%84.3%77.0%76.4%74.2%74.9%
Net margin59.9%66.9%64.2%64.3%60.3%60.3%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets7648771,1561,2481,6231,859
Cash428511725370145249
Total debt––––––
Equity6527731,0431,1321,4591,672
Dividend per share ($)11.00–4.33–2.130.13

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%28%56%84%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)196188203212237246
Growth vs a year earlier+12.5%+8.8%+17.0%+13.9%+20.8%+31.2%
Net income ($M)121116121123143154
Diluted EPS ($)1.751.685.27–2.072.23
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL)

Peers in Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

CompanyX-Ray
TPL · Texas Pacific Land Corp46
APA · APA Corp69
EXE · EXPAND ENERGY Corp68
EOG · Eog Resources Inc66
COP · Conocophillips59

Market Compass outlook for Energy: Favourable (87/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−2.8%
1 month+1.1%
3 months−13.4%
6 months−16.7%
1 year+14.3%
3 years+76.6%
5 years+176.2%

Technical summary

DailyBearish2 bullish · 4 neutral · 10 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish1 bullish · 1 neutral · 10 bearish
MonthlyNeutral3 bullish · 1 neutral · 4 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$357.42 / $399.11
52-week low / high$268.08 / $544.86
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 343.72 · S1 347.32 · P – · R1 353.19 · R2 355.46

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
1 Sep 2026$0.6000
1 Jun 2026$0.6000
2 Mar 2026$0.6000
1 Dec 2025$1.6000
2 Sep 2025$1.6000
2 Jun 2025$1.6000
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 36.9% is ahead of 97% of its sector peers.
  • Operating margin of 74.9% is ahead of 97% of its sector peers.
  • Revenue growth of 6.1% a year over three years is ahead of 82% of its sector peers.
  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 76% of its sector peers.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Energy peers (−3.3%).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Energy peers (4 of 9).
  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Energy peers (−28.7%).
  • Fair value vs price is weak against Energy peers (0.4×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Energy peers (2.8%).
  • The price is above our fair value range, so good news may already be in the price.

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
25 Sep 20268-K5.02,5.08
25 Sep 2026DEF 14A
5 Aug 202610-Q
5 Aug 20268-K2.02,7.01,9.01
23 Jun 20268-K7.01,9.01
18 May 20268-K7.01,9.01
6 May 202610-Q
6 May 20268-K1.01,2.02,5.02,7.01,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026