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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Consumer Discretionary · Automobile Manufacturers · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$354.72
52-week range$297.38 – $498.83
Market cap$1.26T
P/E (trailing)329.4×
EV / EBITDA279.3×
Free-cash-flow yield0.5%
Dividend yield–
Revenue (last 12 months)$103.6B
Revenue growth (3y a year)5.2%
Operating margin4.2%
Return on invested capital6.2%
Net debt / EBITDA-7.9×

Fair value

Blended fair value$58.82 range $56 – $62
Versus priceData under review+0% to fair value
Peer multiples$49.87
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$66.20
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$60.39
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$25.90
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

28/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 2% of sector peers
Valuation4
Growth20
Profitability27
Financial health65
Dividends–

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

29.62151273394516Fair value $592021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Electric vehicles are the main business of Tesla, which designs, makes and markets them, along with energy storage and solar products. Its cars are offered directly to consumers and businesses through its own stores and website, and it runs a network of fast chargers. Its energy business supplies home batteries and large grid-scale storage systems. The company also provides vehicle software, insurance and service, and it reports two segments covering automotive and energy generation and storage.

Vehicle deliveries are the main source of revenue, with energy storage, services and software adding to the total. Revenue was $103.6 billion over the last twelve months and has grown at 5.2% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 4.2% and the business earns 6% on the capital invested in it. Net debt is -7.9 times EBITDA, which means the company holds more cash than debt. No dividend is paid.

StocksXray gives Tesla, Inc. an X-Ray Score of 28 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 2% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is financial health (65) and its weakest is valuation (4).

Our fair value blend is $58.82 (range $55.68 to $62.22). At $354.72 the stock trades 503% above that blend, so the label is "Data under review" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$352.26$123.18$248.48$403.84$449.72$354.72
Market cap$1.19T$428.1B$866.0B$1.41T$1.59T$1.26T
P/E216.1×34.0×57.8×198.0×416.4×329.4×
EV / revenue21.9×5.0×8.7×14.2×16.4×11.8×
EV / EBITDA181.1×29.9×94.7×195.7×356.2×279.5×
Price / free cash flow237.8×56.6×198.7×394.5×255.1×217.9×
Free-cash-flow yield0.4%1.8%0.5%0.3%0.4%0.5%
Price / book39.5×9.6×13.8×19.4×19.3×14.5×
Dividend yield––––––

Fundamentals checklist ● 4 Good · ● 3 Average · ● 9 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−10.0%Good
Free-cash-flow yield0.5%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score4.1×Good
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−33.2%Bad
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)−6.3%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)5.2%Average
Growth consistency60%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.9×Good
Net debt / EBITDA-7.9×Good
Interest cover13.1×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.2×Bad
EBIT / EV yield0.4%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital6.2%Bad
Operating margin4.2%Bad
Gross profitability13.2%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue53,82381,46296,77397,69094,827103,619
Gross profit13,60620,85317,66017,45017,09419,534
Operating income6,52313,6568,8917,0764,3554,372
Net income5,51912,55614,9977,0913,7943,804
Diluted EPS ($)1.633.624.302.041.081.08
Free cash flow5,0157,5664,3573,5816,2205,762
Gross margin25.3%25.6%18.2%17.9%18.0%18.9%
Operating margin12.1%16.8%9.2%7.2%4.6%4.2%
Net margin10.3%15.4%15.5%7.3%4.0%3.7%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets62,13182,338106,618122,070137,806148,524
Cash17,57616,25316,39816,13916,51315,219
Total debt5,3422,0454,6577,8788,1539,061
Equity30,18944,70462,63472,91382,13786,858
Dividend per share ($)––––––

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%9%17%26%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)19,33522,49628,09524,90122,38728,236
Growth vs a year earlier−9.2%−11.8%+11.6%−3.1%+15.8%+25.5%
Net income ($M)4091,1721,3738404771,114
Diluted EPS ($)0.120.330.39–0.130.32
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Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Peers in Automobile Manufacturers

CompanyX-Ray
TSLA · Tesla, Inc.28
GM · General Motors Co50
F · Ford Motor Co40

Market Compass outlook for Consumer Discretionary: Neutral (53/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−7.3%
1 month−3.1%
3 months−4.0%
6 months−11.5%
1 year−18.5%
3 years+34.9%
5 years+35.5%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bearish1 bullish · 4 neutral · 11 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 9 bearish
MonthlyBearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$359.46 / $387.99
52-week low / high$297.38 / $498.83
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 337.01 · S1 345.87 · P – · R1 367.04 · R2 379.35
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Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

Strengths

  • Holds more cash than debt (net debt to EBITDA of -7.9×).
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (0.5%).
  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−33.2%).
  • Free-cash-flow growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−6.3%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (60%).
  • Fair value vs price is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (0.2×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (0.4%).
  • Return on invested capital is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (6.2%).
  • Operating margin is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (4.2%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
2 Oct 20268-K2.02,9.01
29 Sep 20268-K1.01,1.02,2.03,9.01
23 Jul 202610-Q
22 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
2 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
30 Apr 202610-K/A
23 Apr 202610-Q
22 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026