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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL)

Industrials · Passenger Airlines · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$96.10
52-week range$84.64 – $138.77
Market cap$31.4B
P/E (trailing)9.0×
EV / EBITDA5.2×
Free-cash-flow yield8.1%
Dividend yield–
Revenue (last 12 months)$62.9B
Revenue growth (3y a year)9.5%
Operating margin7.7%
Return on invested capital14.3%
Net debt / EBITDA1.2×

Fair value

Blended fair value$429.11 range $373 – $477
Versus priceData under review+0% to fair value
Peer multiples$294.98
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$358.30
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$634.05
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)n/m
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

64/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 86% of sector peers
Valuation98
Growth75
Profitability41
Financial health36
Dividends–

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

4.46129254379504Fair value $4292021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

United Airlines is a major network airline that carries passengers and cargo on routes across the United States and around the world. It operates large hubs in cities such as Chicago, Denver, Houston, Newark and San Francisco, and flies as part of the Star Alliance. Revenue comes mainly from ticket sales, with additional income from baggage and other fees, cargo shipping, and its MileagePlus loyalty program, including co-branded credit card payments.

Revenue over the last twelve months was $62.9 billion, with growth of 9.5% a year over three years. The operating margin stands at 7.7%. The return on invested capital is shown as 14%. Net debt to EBITDA is 1.2 times. The company does not pay a dividend. These numbers describe past results and current financial position, and they are shown for reference only.

StocksXray gives United Airlines Holdings, Inc. an X-Ray Score of 64 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 86% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (98) and its weakest is financial health (36).

Our fair value blend is $429.11 (range $372.74 to $476.91). At $96.10 the stock trades 78% below that blend, so the label is "Data under review" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$43.78$37.70$41.26$97.10$111.82$96.10
Market cap$14.1B$12.4B$13.7B$32.4B$36.7B$31.4B
P/E–16.9×5.2×10.3×11.0×9.0×
EV / revenue1.2×0.6×0.5×0.7×0.8×0.7×
EV / EBITDA19.9×5.7×4.1×5.3×6.0×5.2×
Price / free cash flow–10.0×–8.4×14.4×12.3×
Free-cash-flow yield−0.3%10.0%−1.9%11.8%7.0%8.1%
Price / book2.8×1.8×1.5×2.6×2.4×1.9×
Dividend yield––––––

Fundamentals checklist ● 9 Good · ● 2 Average · ● 4 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−6.4%Good
Free-cash-flow yield8.1%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score0.6×Bad
Piotroski F-Score7 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)66.0%Good
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)27.0%Good
Revenue growth (3y)9.5%Good
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio0.8×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA1.2×Average
Interest cover3.7×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price4.5×Good
EBIT / EV yield11.8%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital14.3%Average
Operating margin7.7%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
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United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue24,63444,95553,71757,06359,07062,902
Gross profit––––––
Operating income-1,0222,3374,2115,0964,7134,873
Net income-1,9647372,6183,1493,3533,497
Diluted EPS ($)-6.102.237.899.4510.2010.69
Free cash flow-401,247-2603,8302,5572,544
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin−4.1%5.2%7.8%8.9%8.0%7.7%
Net margin−8.0%1.6%4.9%5.5%5.7%5.6%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets68,17567,35871,10474,08376,44884,569
Cash18,2837,1666,0588,7695,94210,166
Total debt33,36331,19429,07524,65321,26626,464
Equity5,0296,8969,32412,67515,28216,697
Dividend per share ($)––––––

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

-8%-2%3%9%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)13,21315,23615,22515,39714,60817,672
Growth vs a year earlier+5.4%+1.7%+2.6%+4.8%+10.6%+16.0%
Net income ($M)3879739491,044699805
Diluted EPS ($)1.162.972.90–2.142.46
stocksxray.com · page 3
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United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL)

Peers in Passenger Airlines

CompanyX-Ray
UAL · United Airlines Holdings,...64
DAL · Delta Air Lines, Inc.61
LUV · Southwest Airlines Co40

Market Compass outlook for Industrials: Neutral (45/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−10.6%
1 month−10.7%
3 months−18.2%
6 months−5.6%
1 year−7.6%
3 years+134.4%
5 years+95.5%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bearish3 bullish · 1 neutral · 12 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish1 bullish · 1 neutral · 10 bearish
MonthlyNeutral3 bullish · 1 neutral · 4 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$111.88 / $108.72
52-week low / high$84.64 / $138.77
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 91.63 · S1 93.86 · P – · R1 100.54 · R2 104.99
stocksxray.com · page 4
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United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL)

Strengths

  • Revenue growth of 9.5% a year over three years is ahead of 76% of its sector peers.
  • Free-cash-flow yield of 8.1% is ahead of 95% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Altman Z score is weak against Industrials peers (0.6×).
  • Current ratio is weak against Industrials peers (0.8×).
  • Interest cover is weak against Industrials peers (3.7×).
  • Operating margin is weak against Industrials peers (7.7%).
  • The Altman Z score of 0.6× is in the distress zone.

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
16 Jul 202610-Q
15 Jul 20268-K2.02,7.01,9.01
22 May 20268-K5.07
27 Apr 20268-K7.01,9.01
22 Apr 202610-Q
21 Apr 20268-K2.02,7.01,9.01
7 Apr 2026DEF 14A
12 Feb 202610-K

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026