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Valero Energy Corp (VLO)

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · US stock · S&P 500 component
$444.71 ▲ +0.65 (0.15%)
At close 16 Oct 2026 · USD · Volume 2,094,300
Fair valueFair
$453 +1.8% to fair value
$226fair band $272–$634$679
Day's range
$439.40 – $451.98
52-week range
$152.07 – $461.52

About Valero Energy Corp

Valero Energy operates petroleum refineries that turn crude oil into gasoline, diesel, jet fuel and other fuels and chemicals. It also produces renewable diesel and ethanol, which are lower-carbon fuels. Customers include fuel wholesalers, retailers, airlines, industrial users and other energy companies, and its products move through pipelines, terminals and export routes.

Valero earns revenue from refined products, and its results depend on the gap between what they fetch and what crude oil costs. The last twelve months brought $139.4 billion, though revenue growth over the last three years was -11.4% a year. The operating margin is 7.2%, and the business earns a profit of 27% on the capital invested in it. It has net debt of 0.3 times EBITDA. A dividend is paid, with a yield of 1.1%. On the site's X-Ray Score it receives 43 out of 100.

Written with AI from public information and the filing figures on this page, then checked automatically for unsupported numbers. It can contain mistakes: read the company's own filings below before relying on it.
52-wk range $152.07 – $461.52Volume 2,094,300Daily, split-adjusted

Vitals

Market cap$130.7B
52-week range$152.07 – $461.52
Volume (last day)2,094,300
P/E (TTM)18.7
EBIT / EV yield7.3%
Free-cash-flow yield–
Dividend yield1.1%
Revenue (TTM)$139.4B
Net income (TTM)$7.2B
Operating margin7.2%
Return on capital27.2%
Debt incl. leases$11.3B
Cash & securities$7.9B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies like Apple). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$453model spread $290 – $425
Fair +1.8% to fair value
Equal blend of three models: peer multiples, a fundamentals-adjusted multiple (growth, ROIC and margin) and a 10-year DCF scaled to the market's average. Earnings-power value (no growth) is a floor and not part of the blend. Model uncertainty is High, so the safety margin is 40%.
Multiples use through-the-cycle earnings (0.51x of the last twelve months)
Peak-cycle earnings: the current operating margin is more than 1.5x its 7-year average, so the fair value range is widened
Price $445
Undervalued < $272Fair $272 – $634Overvalued > $634
10-year DCF (market-scaled)
$779
Peer multiples
$218
Earnings power floor (not blended)
$169
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple
$361
Growth the price implies
13.7%/yr
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.09%, equity risk premium 4.23% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means

Average business, fairly priced

The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.

Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.

The five-lens scan

Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Energy peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.

Valuation Weak
49/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield7.3%
Fair value vs price1.0×
Growth Weak
11/100
Growing slower than most of its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)-11.4%
EPS growth (3y)-36.1%
Growth consistency20%
Profitability Fair
50/100
Returns on capital are typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital27.2%
Operating margin7.2%
Gross profitability17.3%
Financial health Fair
69/100
Balance sheet is in typical shape for its sector.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score6 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA0.3×
Interest cover17.8×
Dividends Weak
28/100
Dividend is modest or less certain than peers.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield1.1%
Dividend growth-3.5%

Quarterly results: last 6 quarters

-4.7%
Mar '25
-13.3%
Jun '25
-2.2%
Sep '25
-1.2%
Dec '25
+7.0%
Mar '26
+48.8%
Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $44.5B, diluted EPS $12.62.

Compare with peers

PSX Phillips 6650 MPC Marathon Petroleum Cor...48
Other Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing companies by X-Ray Score.

Fundamentals checklist

● 4 Good · ● 5 Average · ● 5 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashAverage
Risk models
Altman Z''Good
Piotroski F-ScoreAverage
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Bad
Revenue growth (3y)Bad
Growth consistencyBad
Balance sheet
Current ratioGood
Net debt / EBITDAGood
Interest coverAverage
Valuation
Fair value vs priceAverage
EBIT / EV yieldAverage
Profitability
Return on invested capitalGood
Operating marginBad
Gross profitabilityBad
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 41/100.

Financials

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$114.0B$176.4B$144.8B$129.9B$122.7B
Operating income$2.1B$15.7B$11.9B$3.8B$3.2B
Net income$930M$11.5B$8.8B$2.8B$2.3B
Operating cash flow$5.9B$12.6B$9.2B$6.7B$5.8B
Operating margin1.9%8.9%8.2%2.9%2.6%
Free cash flow$3.4B$9.8B$7.3B$4.6B–
Diluted EPS$2.27$29.04$24.92$8.58$7.57
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.

Technical summary

Daily
Strongly bullish
12 bullish · 4 neutral · 0 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bullish
11 bullish · 0 neutral · 1 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bullish
7 bullish · 0 neutral · 1 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10438.1Bullish
EMA 10436.7Bullish
SMA 20413.9Bullish
EMA 20420.9Bullish
SMA 50381.6Bullish
EMA 50385.0Bullish
SMA 100327.9Bullish
EMA 100342.9Bullish
SMA 200272.7Bullish
EMA 200291.0Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)66.41Neutral
MACD (12, 26)20.43Bullish
Momentum (12)14.73Bullish
Stochastic %K (14)79.49Neutral
Williams %R (14)-20.51Neutral
CCI (20)89.30Neutral
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
426.2
S2
432.8
S1
438.7
Pivot
445.4
R1
451.3
R2
457.9
R3
463.9
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.

Dividends

Paid, last 12 months
4.73 USD
Yield on today's price
1.06%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
31 Jul 20261.2000
21 May 20261.2000
5 Feb 20261.2000
20 Nov 20251.1300
31 Jul 20251.1300
20 May 20251.1300
30 Jan 20251.1300
20 Nov 20241.0700
1 Aug 20241.0700
30 May 20241.0700
31 Jan 20241.0700
16 Nov 20231.0200
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.

VLO SEC filings

18 Sep 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change; Regulation FD disclosure
30 Jul 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
30 Jul 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations
16 Jul 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Regulation FD disclosure
8 May 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change; Shareholder vote results
30 Apr 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
30 Apr 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations
19 Mar 2026
DEF 14ASEC EDGAR
Proxy statement

Where the numbers come from

Statements SEC EDGAR filings (10-K, 10-Q), quarters derived from year-to-date figures.
Prices end-of-day closes, split-adjusted.
Industry inputs beta, multiples and equity risk premium from Damodaran Online (NYU Stern).
Read the full methodology →

StocksXray is for education only and is not financial advice. Scores and fair values are model estimates from public filings and carry uncertainty.