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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Xcel Energy Inc (XEL)

Utilities · Multi-Utilities · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$76.31
52-week range$68.72 – $82.56
Market cap$47.8B
P/E (trailing)20.8×
EV / EBITDA14.9×
Free-cash-flow yield−16.1%
Dividend yield3.1%
Revenue (last 12 months)–
Revenue growth (3y a year)–
Operating margin–
Return on invested capital4.0%
Net debt / EBITDA6.7×

Fair value

Blended fair value$57.70 range $58 – $58
Versus priceFair−24% to fair value
Peer multiples$57.70
10-year DCF (market-scaled)n/m
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

23/ 100 · Low confidence · ahead of 0% of sector peers
Valuation12
Growth13
Profitability21
Financial health30
Dividends59

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

41.8852.4863.0873.6884.28Fair value $582021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Xcel Energy is a regulated utility holding company that generates and delivers electricity and natural gas. Its operating utilities serve households, businesses and public bodies across several Midwestern, Mountain and Southwestern states. It generates power from a mix of wind, solar, coal, natural gas and nuclear plants, plus transmission lines and gas pipelines. The company is organised around its separate state-regulated utility subsidiaries.

Xcel earns its revenue mainly from regulated customer rates that recover operating costs and provide an allowed return on its network investment. Revenue is not shown on the site for this company. The business earns 4% on the capital invested in it, and it carries net debt of 6.7 times EBITDA. The dividend yield is 3.1%.

StocksXray gives Xcel Energy Inc an X-Ray Score of 23 out of 100 (low confidence), ahead of 0% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is dividends (59) and its weakest is valuation (12).

Our fair value blend is $57.70 (range $57.70 to $57.70). At $76.31 the stock trades 32% above that blend, so the label is "Fair" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Xcel Energy Inc (XEL)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$58.05$61.79$56.43$63.38$72.19$76.31
Market cap$31.3B$33.8B$31.1B$35.7B$42.5B$47.8B
P/E19.6×19.5×17.6×18.4×21.1×20.8×
EV / revenue––––––
EV / EBITDA12.6×12.0×11.6×12.5×13.7×14.9×
Price / free cash flow––––––
Free-cash-flow yield−6.6%−2.1%−1.7%−7.6%−16.1%−16.1%
Price / book2.0×2.0×1.8×1.8×1.8×2.0×
Dividend yield–3.16%3.69%3.46%3.16%3.08%

Fundamentals checklist ● 0 Good · ● 3 Average · ● 8 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−2.9%Average
Free-cash-flow yield−16.1%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score0.8×Average
Piotroski F-Score5 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)2.6%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio0.7×Average
Net debt / EBITDA6.7×Bad
Interest cover1.7×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.8×Bad
EBIT / EV yield3.2%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital4.0%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Xcel Energy Inc (XEL)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue––––––
Gross profit––––––
Operating income2,2032,4282,4812,3862,5832,789
Net income1,5971,7361,7711,9362,0182,233
Diluted EPS ($)2.963.173.213.443.423.67
Free cash flow-2,055-706-527-2,723-6,825-7,692
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin––––––
Net margin––––––
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets57,85161,18864,07970,03581,37187,165
Cash1661111291792742,010
Total debt23,38524,77726,25029,11433,88339,457
Equity15,61216,67517,61619,52223,60924,057
Dividend per share ($)–1.952.082.192.282.32

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)––––––
Growth vs a year earlier––––––
Net income ($M)483444524567556586
Diluted EPS ($)0.840.750.88–0.890.93
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Xcel Energy Inc (XEL)

Peers in Multi-Utilities

CompanyX-Ray
XEL · Xcel Energy Inc23
ED · Consolidated Edison Inc69
AEE · Ameren Corp58
NI · Nisource Inc.55
DTB · Dte Energy Co55

Market Compass outlook for Utilities: Unfavourable (31/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+3.4%
1 month+3.6%
3 months−2.2%
6 months−4.4%
1 year−3.8%
3 years+43.6%
5 years+41.8%

Technical summary

DailyBullish10 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
WeeklyBullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 4 bearish
MonthlyBullish5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$74.52 / $77.05
52-week low / high$68.72 / $82.56
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 74.66 · S1 75.48 · P – · R1 76.79 · R2 77.28

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
15 Sep 2026$0.5930
15 Jun 2026$0.5930
13 Mar 2026$0.5930
29 Dec 2025$0.5700
15 Sep 2025$0.5700
13 Jun 2025$0.5700
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Xcel Energy Inc (XEL)

Strengths

  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Utilities peers (−16.1%).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Utilities peers (5 of 9).
  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Utilities peers (2.6%).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Utilities peers (6.7×).
  • Interest cover is weak against Utilities peers (1.7×).
  • Fair value vs price is weak against Utilities peers (0.8×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Utilities peers (3.2%).
  • Return on invested capital is weak against Utilities peers (4.0%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
9 Oct 20268-K8.01
20 Aug 20268-K8.01
30 Jul 202610-Q
30 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
29 Jul 20268-K5.02,9.01
14 Jul 20268-K8.01
23 Jun 20268-K8.01
22 Jun 20268-K8.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026