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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Yum Brands Inc (YUM)

Consumer Discretionary · Restaurants · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$150.51
52-week range$134.26 – $169.29
Market cap$41.7B
P/E (trailing)19.0×
EV / EBITDA19.1×
Free-cash-flow yield4.0%
Dividend yield2.0%
Revenue (last 12 months)$8.7B
Revenue growth (3y a year)6.3%
Operating margin31.0%
Return on invested capital33.2%
Net debt / EBITDA4.9×

Fair value

Blended fair value$164.95 range $151 – $183
Versus priceFair+10% to fair value
Peer multiples$134.19
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$174.34
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$186.34
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$54.22
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

47/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 36% of sector peers
Valuation37
Growth55
Profitability66
Financial health27
Dividends54

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

92.33116140164188Fair value $1652021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Yum Brands is a restaurant company whose brands include KFC and Taco Bell, alongside other quick-service chains. Most of its restaurants are run by independent franchisees, who operate them under the Yum brand names and pay the company royalties. The company sets menus and brand standards and supports marketing and supply, and its restaurants serve customers across many countries.

Revenue comes mostly from franchise royalties and fees calculated on franchisees' restaurant sales, together with income from the smaller number of company-operated restaurants. Revenue was $8.7 billion over the last twelve months, with growth of 6.3% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 31.0%, and the business earns a profit of 33% on the capital invested in it. Net debt is 4.9 times EBITDA. It pays a dividend with a yield of 2.0%.

StocksXray gives Yum Brands Inc an X-Ray Score of 47 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 36% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is profitability (66) and its weakest is financial health (27).

Our fair value blend is $164.95 (range $151.36 to $183.27). At $150.51 the stock trades 9% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Yum Brands Inc (YUM)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$126.76$119.17$123.86$129.70$149.10$150.51
Market cap$38.3B$34.6B$35.3B$37.0B$41.9B$41.7B
P/E24.3×26.1×22.2×24.8×26.9×19.0×
EV / revenue7.5×6.8×6.5×6.3×6.5×6.4×
EV / EBITDA21.3×19.9×18.6×18.5×19.1×19.1×
Price / free cash flow25.9×30.1×26.8×25.8×25.6×24.8×
Free-cash-flow yield3.9%3.3%3.7%3.9%3.9%4.0%
Price / book––––––
Dividend yield1.58%1.91%1.95%2.07%1.90%1.97%

Fundamentals checklist ● 3 Good · ● 8 Average · ● 5 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash1.5%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield4.0%Average

Risk models

Altman Z score-2.3×Bad
Piotroski F-Score5 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)6.7%Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)12.6%Average
Revenue growth (3y)6.3%Average
Growth consistency90%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio0.6×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA4.9×Bad
Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.1×Average
EBIT / EV yield4.8%Average

Profitability

Return on invested capital33.2%Average
Operating margin31.0%Good
Gross profitability68.5%Good

Red flags

  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Yum Brands Inc (YUM)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue6,5846,8427,0767,5498,2148,722
Gross profit4,8595,0975,3025,4295,7315,943
Operating income2,1392,1872,3182,4032,5742,703
Net income1,5751,3251,5971,4861,5592,217
Diluted EPS ($)5.214.575.595.225.557.93
Free cash flow1,4761,1481,3181,4321,6391,679
Gross margin73.8%74.5%74.9%71.9%69.8%68.1%
Operating margin32.5%32.0%32.8%31.8%31.3%31.0%
Net margin23.9%19.4%22.6%19.7%19.0%25.4%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets5,9665,8466,2316,7278,1978,682
Cash486367512616709674
Total debt11,32112,25611,25111,36211,94915,098
Equity-8,373-8,876-7,858-7,648-7,325-7,107
Dividend per share ($)2.002.282.422.682.842.92

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%25%50%75%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)1,7871,9331,9792,5152,0592,169
Growth vs a year earlier+11.8%+9.6%+8.4%+6.5%+15.2%+12.2%
Net income ($M)253374397535432853
Diluted EPS ($)0.901.331.41–1.553.08
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Yum Brands Inc (YUM)

Peers in Restaurants

CompanyX-Ray
YUM · Yum Brands Inc47
DPZ · Dominos Pizza Inc63
CMG · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc60
DRI · Darden Restaurants Inc53
MCD · Mcdonalds Corp53

Market Compass outlook for Consumer Discretionary: Neutral (53/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+3.9%
1 month+10.9%
3 months+2.6%
6 months−6.6%
1 year+6.2%
3 years+34.8%
5 years+34.2%

Technical summary

DailyBullish11 bullish · 1 neutral · 4 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish9 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish6 bullish · 1 neutral · 1 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$145.06 / $152.36
52-week low / high$134.26 / $169.29
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 147.92 · S1 149.21 · P – · R1 152.11 · R2 153.72

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
9 Sep 2026$0.7500
27 May 2026$0.7500
20 Feb 2026$0.7500
2 Dec 2025$0.7100
2 Sep 2025$0.7100
27 May 2025$0.7100
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Yum Brands Inc (YUM)

Strengths

  • Operating margin of 31.0% is ahead of 94% of its sector peers.
  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 76% of its sector peers.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (1.5%).
  • Altman Z score is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (-2.3×).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (5 of 9).
  • Current ratio is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (0.6×).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (4.9×).
  • The Altman Z score of -2.3× is in the distress zone.
  • Red flag: Negative equity (Book equity is negative).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
1 Sep 20268-K5.02,7.01,8.01,9.01
21 Aug 20268-K5.02
7 Aug 20268-K1.01,2.01,7.01,9.01
5 Aug 202610-Q
30 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
16 Jun 20268-K1.01,8.01
16 Jun 20268-K7.01,9.01
2 Jun 20268-K5.02

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026