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Archer-Daniels-Midland Co (ADM)

Consumer Staples · Agricultural Products & Services · US stock · S&P 500 component
$82.61 ▼ -0.32 (0.39%)
At close 16 Oct 2026 · USD · Volume 2,850,800
Fair valueFair
$95 +14.5% to fair value
$47fair band $66–$123$142
Day's range
$82.34 – $84.03
52-week range
$54.00 – $88.75

About Archer-Daniels-Midland Co

Archer-Daniels-Midland processes crops into food ingredients, animal feed, and industrial and energy products. It crushes oilseeds such as soybeans, mills and processes corn, makes sweeteners, starches and ethanol, and supplies nutrition ingredients for people and animals. It also stores, transports and trades grain through a global network. The business is organised around agricultural services and oilseeds, carbohydrate solutions and nutrition.

ADM earns money from processing margins, from trading and merchandising crops, and from its ingredient businesses. Revenue is $82.1 billion over the last twelve months, but revenue growth over three years is -7.5% a year. The operating margin is 3.3%, and the business earns a profit of 7% on the capital invested in it. It carries net debt of 1.8 times EBITDA, and the dividend yield is 2.5%. On the site's X-Ray Score it receives 38 out of 100.

Written with AI from public information and the filing figures on this page, then checked automatically for unsupported numbers. It can contain mistakes: read the company's own filings below before relying on it.
52-wk range $54.00 – $88.75Volume 2,850,800Daily, split-adjusted

Vitals

Market cap$40.1B
52-week range$54.00 – $88.75
Volume (last day)2,850,800
P/E (TTM)22.6
EBIT / EV yield5.7%
Free-cash-flow yield4.2%
Dividend yield2.5%
Revenue (TTM)$82.1B
Net income (TTM)$1.8B
Operating margin3.3%
Return on capital7.5%
Debt incl. leases$8.0B
Cash & securities$1.1B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies like Apple). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$95model spread $91 – $98
Fair +14.5% to fair value
Equal blend of three models: peer multiples, a fundamentals-adjusted multiple (growth, ROIC and margin) and a 10-year DCF scaled to the market's average. Earnings-power value (no growth) is a floor and not part of the blend. Model uncertainty is Medium, so the safety margin is 30%.
Price $83
Undervalued < $66Fair $66 – $123Overvalued > $123
10-year DCF (market-scaled)
$85
Peer multiples
$88
Earnings power floor (not blended)
$55
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple
$111
Growth the price implies
10.5%/yr
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.09%, equity risk premium 4.23% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means

Weak business, fairly priced

The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.

Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.

The five-lens scan

Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Consumer Staples peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.

Valuation Weak
49/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield5.7%
Free-cash-flow yield4.2%
Fair value vs price1.1×
Growth Weak
23/100
Growing slower than most of its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)-7.5%
EPS growth (3y)-33.9%
Growth consistency30%
Profitability Weak
32/100
Earns lower returns on its capital than most peers.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital7.5%
Operating margin3.3%
Gross profitability10.5%
Financial health Weak
43/100
Balance sheet is more stretched than most peers.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score5 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA1.8×
Interest cover4.5×
Dividends Weak
46/100
Dividend is modest or less certain than peers.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield2.5%
Dividends vs free cash flow60%
Dividend growth3.2%

Quarterly results: last 6 quarters

-7.7%
Mar '25
-4.9%
Jun '25
+2.2%
Sep '25
-13.7%
Dec '25
+1.6%
Mar '26
+7.2%
Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $22.7B, diluted EPS $1.87.

Compare with peers

BG Bunge Global SA32
Other Agricultural Products & Services companies by X-Ray Score.

Fundamentals checklist

● 2 Good · ● 6 Average · ● 8 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashBad
Free-cash-flow yieldAverage
Risk models
Altman Z''Average
Piotroski F-ScoreBad
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Bad
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)Good
Revenue growth (3y)Bad
Growth consistencyBad
Balance sheet
Current ratioGood
Net debt / EBITDAAverage
Interest coverBad
Valuation
Fair value vs priceAverage
EBIT / EV yieldAverage
Profitability
Return on invested capitalAverage
Operating marginBad
Gross profitabilityBad
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 36/100.

Financials

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$85.2B$101.6B$93.9B$85.5B$80.3B
Operating income$3.6B$5.6B$4.9B$3.0B$1.9B
Net income$2.7B$4.3B$3.5B$1.8B$1.1B
Operating cash flow$6.6B$3.5B$4.5B$2.8B$5.5B
Operating margin4.2%5.5%5.3%3.5%2.3%
Free cash flow$5.4B$2.2B$3.0B$1.2B$4.2B
Diluted EPS$4.79$7.71$6.43$3.65$2.23
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.

Technical summary

Daily
Strongly bullish
11 bullish · 4 neutral · 1 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bullish
10 bullish · 1 neutral · 1 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bullish
7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 1082.12Bullish
EMA 1082.20Bullish
SMA 2081.56Bullish
EMA 2082.16Bullish
SMA 5082.11Bullish
EMA 5081.87Bullish
SMA 10080.93Bullish
EMA 10080.00Bullish
SMA 20074.95Bullish
EMA 20075.22Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)51.59Neutral
MACD (12, 26)-0.03Bearish
Momentum (12)4.07Bullish
Stochastic %K (14)72.98Neutral
Williams %R (14)-27.02Neutral
CCI (20)76.51Neutral
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
80.27
S2
81.30
S1
81.96
Pivot
82.99
R1
83.65
R2
84.68
R3
85.34
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.

Dividends

Paid, last 12 months
2.07 USD
Yield on today's price
2.51%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
19 Aug 20260.5200
20 May 20260.5200
17 Feb 20260.5200
19 Nov 20250.5100
20 Aug 20250.5100
21 May 20250.5100
18 Feb 20250.5100
21 Nov 20240.5000
21 Aug 20240.5000
15 May 20240.5000
7 Feb 20240.5000
14 Nov 20230.4500
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.

ADM SEC filings

12 Aug 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change
10 Aug 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Current report
4 Aug 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
4 Aug 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations
23 Jul 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change; Regulation FD disclosure
12 May 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change; Shareholder vote results
5 May 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
5 May 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations

Where the numbers come from

Statements SEC EDGAR filings (10-K, 10-Q), quarters derived from year-to-date figures.
Prices end-of-day closes, split-adjusted.
Industry inputs beta, multiples and equity risk premium from Damodaran Online (NYU Stern).
Read the full methodology →

StocksXray is for education only and is not financial advice. Scores and fair values are model estimates from public filings and carry uncertainty.