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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Aes Corp (AES)

Utilities · Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$14.95
52-week range$12.74 – $17.23
Market cap$10.7B
P/E (trailing)5.7×
EV / EBITDA2.3×
Free-cash-flow yield−16.1%
Dividend yield4.7%
Revenue (last 12 months)$13.1B
Revenue growth (3y a year)−1.0%
Operating margin16.7%
Return on invested capital63.6%
Net debt / EBITDA–

Fair value

Fair value is not shown for this company.

X-Ray Score

37/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 13% of sector peers
Valuation50
Growth7
Profitability57
Financial health7
Dividends67

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

8.1112.5016.8921.2925.682021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

AES is a global power company that generates and distributes electricity. Its portfolio includes renewable energy such as solar, wind and battery storage, along with gas and coal plants, and regulated electric utilities in the United States, including in Indiana and Ohio. Customers are utilities, industrial users, large technology companies and households, usually under long-term power contracts.

Revenue comes from electricity sold under long-term contracts and from regulated utility charges. It totals $13.1 billion over the last twelve months, with revenue growth over three years of -1.0% a year. The operating margin is 16.7%, and the data sheet shows the business earning 64% on the capital invested in it. The dividend yield is 4.7%.

StocksXray gives Aes Corp an X-Ray Score of 37 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 13% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is dividends (67) and its weakest is growth (7).

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Aes Corp (AES)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$19.98$24.31$16.80$11.70$13.83$14.95
Market cap$13.3B$16.2B$12.0B$8.3B$9.9B$10.7B
P/E––48.0×5.0×11.0×5.7×
EV / revenue1.2×1.3×1.1×0.9×1.1×1.0×
EV / EBITDA5.3×7.2×5.3×3.0×4.5×3.6×
Price / free cash flow––––––
Free-cash-flow yield−1.6%−11.3%−39.2%−55.6%−16.4%−16.1%
Price / book4.8×6.7×4.8×2.3×2.4×2.2×
Dividend yield3.05%2.63%3.99%5.93%5.09%4.71%

Fundamentals checklist ● 3 Good · ● 1 Average · ● 8 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−5.8%Good
Free-cash-flow yield−16.1%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score0.2×Bad
Piotroski F-Score3 of 9Bad

Growth

Revenue growth (3y)−1.0%Bad
Growth consistency40%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio0.7×Average
Interest cover1.5×Bad

Valuation

EBIT / EV yield16.0%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital63.6%Good
Operating margin16.7%Bad
Gross profitability4.9%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Aes Corp (AES)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue11,14112,61712,66812,27812,23313,054
Gross profit2,7112,5482,5042,3142,2112,649
Operating income1,5551,2131,4232,3791,4822,183
Net income-409-5462491,6799101,872
Diluted EPS ($)-0.61-0.820.352.361.262.62
Free cash flow-214-1,836-4,690-4,640-1,623-1,720
Gross margin24.3%20.2%19.8%18.8%18.1%20.3%
Operating margin14.0%9.6%11.2%19.4%12.1%16.7%
Net margin−3.7%−4.3%2.0%13.7%7.4%14.3%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets32,96338,36344,79947,40651,76854,238
Cash9431,3741,4261,5241,3821,800
Total debt––––––
Equity2,7982,4372,4883,6444,0634,942
Dividend per share ($)0.610.640.670.690.700.70

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

-4%5%15%24%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)2,9262,8553,3513,1013,1803,422
Growth vs a year earlier−5.2%−3.0%+1.9%+4.7%+8.7%+19.9%
Net income ($M)46-95639320487426
Diluted EPS ($)0.07-0.150.89–0.680.60
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
Aes Corp (AES)

Peers in Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

CompanyX-Ray
AES · Aes Corp37
NRG · Nrg Energy, Inc.45

Market Compass outlook for Utilities: Unfavourable (31/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+0.1%
1 month+0.7%
3 months+2.3%
6 months+5.9%
1 year+6.4%
3 years+29.3%
5 years−24.0%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bullish12 bullish · 4 neutral · 0 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish11 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish6 bullish · 1 neutral · 1 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$14.82 / $14.52
52-week low / high$12.74 / $17.23
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 14.90 · S1 14.93 · P – · R1 14.98 · R2 15.00

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
30 Oct 2026$0.1760
31 Jul 2026$0.1760
1 May 2026$0.1760
30 Jan 2026$0.1760
31 Oct 2025$0.1760
1 Aug 2025$0.1760
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Aes Corp (AES)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 63.6% is ahead of 98% of its sector peers.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Utilities peers (−16.1%).
  • Altman Z score is weak against Utilities peers (0.2×).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Utilities peers (3 of 9).
  • Revenue growth (3y) is weak against Utilities peers (−1.0%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Utilities peers (40%).
  • Interest cover is weak against Utilities peers (1.5×).
  • Operating margin is weak against Utilities peers (16.7%).
  • Gross profitability is weak against Utilities peers (4.9%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
17 Sep 20268-K8.01
16 Sep 20268-K5.02
27 Aug 20268-K8.01
5 Aug 20268-K1.01,9.01
4 Aug 202610-Q
27 Jul 20268-K4.01,9.01
26 Jun 20268-K5.07,7.01,8.01,9.01
16 Jun 20268-K1.01,2.03,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026