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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Cme Group Inc. (CME)

Financials · Financial Exchanges & Data · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$293.87
52-week range$217.29 – $318.32
Market cap$106.2B
P/E (trailing)24.8×
EV / EBITDA23.6×
Free-cash-flow yield4.0%
Dividend yield3.8%
Revenue (last 12 months)$6.8B
Revenue growth (3y a year)9.1%
Operating margin65.1%
Return on invested capital13.7%
Net debt / EBITDA–

Fair value

Blended fair value$243.50 range $217 – $266
Versus priceFair−17% to fair value
Peer multiples$160.98
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$198.75
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$370.77
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$141.52
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

45/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 28% of sector peers
Valuation27
Growth48
Profitability60
Financial health39
Dividends54

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

131180229277326Fair value $2432021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

CME Group operates derivatives exchanges and clearing houses where traders hedge and speculate on interest rates, stock indexes, currencies, energy, metals and agricultural products. Its exchanges include the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the Chicago Board of Trade, NYMEX and COMEX. Banks, asset managers, commercial companies, farmers, energy firms and individual traders use its markets, and the company also provides market data and clearing services.

CME earns fees on every contract traded and cleared, and also from market data subscriptions and other services, so revenue tends to follow trading volumes. Sales for the last twelve months were $6.8 billion, up 9.1% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 65.1%, and the business earns a profit of 14% on the capital invested in it. Shareholders receive a dividend with a yield of 3.8%.

StocksXray gives Cme Group Inc. an X-Ray Score of 45 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 28% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is profitability (60) and its weakest is valuation (27).

Our fair value blend is $243.50 (range $217.10 to $266.00). At $293.87 the stock trades 21% above that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Cme Group Inc. (CME)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$188.58$145.41$190.96$220.39$264.09$293.87
Market cap$67.7B$52.2B$68.7B$79.3B$95.2B$106.2B
P/E25.9×19.7×21.6×22.8×23.7×24.8×
EV / revenue14.0×9.8×11.8×12.6×13.9×15.3×
EV / EBITDA23.4×15.7×18.4×19.0×20.9×23.6×
Price / free cash flow29.7×17.6×20.3×22.1×22.7×25.2×
Free-cash-flow yield3.4%5.7%4.9%4.5%4.4%4.0%
Price / book2.5×1.9×2.6×3.0×3.3×4.0×
Dividend yield3.13%5.85%5.05%4.72%1.89%3.85%

Fundamentals checklist ● 2 Good · ● 8 Average · ● 4 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−0.0%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield4.0%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score0.5×Bad
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)14.7%Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)12.2%Average
Revenue growth (3y)9.1%Average
Growth consistency90%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.0×Average
Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.8×Average
EBIT / EV yield4.2%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital13.7%Average
Operating margin65.1%Good
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Cme Group Inc. (CME)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue4,6905,0195,5796,1306,5216,773
Gross profit––––––
Operating income2,6453,0163,4363,9324,2304,409
Net income2,6372,6913,2263,5264,0724,287
Diluted EPS ($)7.297.408.869.6711.1611.87
Free cash flow2,2752,9663,3773,5974,1944,213
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin56.4%60.1%61.6%64.1%64.9%65.1%
Net margin56.2%53.6%57.8%57.5%62.5%63.3%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets196,780174,176129,706137,447198,424194,677
Cash2,8352,7202,9122,8924,4172,144
Total debt7491607500–
Equity27,39926,87926,73826,48728,72826,520
Dividend per share ($)5.908.509.6510.405.0011.25

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%22%43%65%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)1,6421,6921,5381,6491,8801,706
Growth vs a year earlier+10.4%+10.4%−3.0%+8.1%+14.5%+0.8%
Net income ($M)9561,0259081,1831,1541,042
Diluted EPS ($)2.622.812.49–3.182.88
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Cme Group Inc. (CME)

Peers in Financial Exchanges & Data

CompanyX-Ray
CME · Cme Group Inc.45
CBOE · Cboe Global Markets, Inc.64
MCO · Moodys Corp62
FDS · Factset Research Systems I...59
MSCI · MSCI Inc.56

Market Compass outlook for Financials: Favourable (72/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+4.7%
1 month+8.4%
3 months+20.5%
6 months+3.2%
1 year+13.8%
3 years+53.8%
5 years+79.9%

Technical summary

DailyBullish12 bullish · 0 neutral · 4 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish11 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$273.20 / $275.19
52-week low / high$217.29 / $318.32
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 287.98 · S1 290.92 · P – · R1 295.39 · R2 296.92

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
9 Sep 2026$1.3000
9 Jun 2026$1.3000
10 Mar 2026$7.4500
12 Dec 2025$1.2500
9 Sep 2025$1.2500
9 Jun 2025$1.2500
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Cme Group Inc. (CME)

Strengths

  • Operating margin of 65.1% is ahead of 91% of its sector peers.
  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 73% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.
  • Has raised its dividend for 6 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Financials peers (−0.0%).
  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Financials peers (4.0%).
  • Altman Z score is weak against Financials peers (0.5×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Financials peers (4.2%).
  • The Altman Z score of 0.5× is in the distress zone.

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
25 Sep 20268-K5.03
9 Sep 20268-K5.02,9.01
11 Aug 20268-K7.01,9.01
24 Jul 202610-Q
22 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
17 Jun 20268-K5.02,7.01,9.01
10 Jun 20268-K5.07
19 May 20268-K5.07

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026