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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Cummins Inc (CMI)

Industrials · Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$531.33
52-week range$399.97 – $735.02
Market cap$73.6B
P/E (trailing)26.1×
EV / EBITDA15.3×
Free-cash-flow yield4.6%
Dividend yield1.5%
Revenue (last 12 months)$34.7B
Revenue growth (3y a year)6.2%
Operating margin11.2%
Return on invested capital17.7%
Net debt / EBITDA0.7×

Fair value

Blended fair value$561.67 range $532 – $594
Versus priceFair+6% to fair value
Peer multiples$535.69
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$603.07
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$546.26
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$188.31
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

55/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 64% of sector peers
Valuation62
Growth47
Profitability51
Financial health59
Dividends57

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

136291447603758Fair value $5622021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Cummins designs, manufactures and services engines and related power products. These include diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses and construction equipment, as well as generator sets, filtration, emissions systems and components for electric and hydrogen-based power. Revenue comes from selling engines and parts to equipment makers and distributors, and from aftermarket parts and service. Its results follow cycles in trucking, construction and mining.

Revenue over the last twelve months came to $34.7 billion. Revenue growth over three years averaged 6.2% a year. Operating margin is 11.2% and return on invested capital is 18%. Net debt to EBITDA is 0.7 times. It pays a dividend with a yield of 1.5%. These figures describe past results as reported and are a factual snapshot, not a forecast. Some measures, such as margins for real estate trusts and banks, are defined differently from those of industrial firms, so comparisons should be made with care.

StocksXray gives Cummins Inc an X-Ray Score of 55 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 64% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (62) and its weakest is growth (47).

Our fair value blend is $561.67 (range $532.01 to $594.04). At $531.33 the stock trades 5% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Cummins Inc (CMI)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$195.74$223.32$227.16$338.29$505.27$531.33
Market cap$28.6B$31.8B$32.4B$47.1B$70.1B$73.6B
P/E13.4×14.8×44.1×11.9×24.6×26.1×
EV / revenue1.3×1.4×1.1×1.5×2.2×2.2×
EV / EBITDA9.0×10.2×13.3×10.9×14.6×15.6×
Price / free cash flow18.8×30.4×11.8×168.7×29.4×21.9×
Free-cash-flow yield5.3%3.3%8.5%0.6%3.4%4.6%
Price / book3.5×3.5×3.7×4.6×5.7×5.7×
Dividend yield2.86%2.70%2.86%2.07%1.51%1.54%

Fundamentals checklist ● 5 Good · ● 10 Average · ● 1 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−5.1%Good
Free-cash-flow yield4.6%Average

Risk models

Altman Z score4.9×Good
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)10.7%Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)31.6%Good
Revenue growth (3y)6.2%Average
Growth consistency50%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.7×Good
Net debt / EBITDA0.7×Good
Interest cover12.1×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.1×Average
EBIT / EV yield5.0%Average

Profitability

Return on invested capital17.7%Average
Operating margin11.2%Average
Gross profitability24.7%Average
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Cummins Inc (CMI)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue24,02128,07434,06534,10233,67034,708
Gross profit5,6956,7198,2498,4398,5168,788
Operating income2,7062,9291,7613,7504,0253,893
Net income2,1642,1838404,0682,9572,827
Diluted EPS ($)14.6115.125.1528.3720.5020.38
Free cash flow1,5221,0462,7532792,3863,367
Gross margin23.7%23.9%24.2%24.7%25.3%25.3%
Operating margin11.3%10.4%5.2%11.0%12.0%11.2%
Net margin9.0%7.8%2.5%11.9%8.8%8.1%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets23,71030,29932,00531,54033,99235,630
Cash2,5922,0202,1791,6712,8453,179
Total debt3,9517,6456,4166,7037,2397,236
Equity8,1468,9758,85010,27112,34912,847
Dividend per share ($)5.606.046.507.007.648.00

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%8%17%25%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)8,1748,6438,3178,5368,3989,457
Growth vs a year earlier−2.7%−1.7%−1.6%+1.1%+2.7%+9.4%
Net income ($M)850928559620680968
Diluted EPS ($)5.966.433.86–4.716.73
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Cummins Inc (CMI)

Peers in Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

CompanyX-Ray
CMI · Cummins Inc55
CAT · Caterpillar Inc45
PCAR · Paccar Inc43
WAB · Westinghouse Air Brake Tec...40

Market Compass outlook for Industrials: Neutral (45/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+1.5%
1 month+1.4%
3 months−16.6%
6 months−14.7%
1 year+27.3%
3 years+145.4%
5 years+152.5%

Technical summary

DailyBearish5 bullish · 3 neutral · 8 bearish
WeeklyBearish3 bullish · 1 neutral · 8 bearish
MonthlyBullish5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$557.20 / $601.00
52-week low / high$399.97 / $735.02
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 519.92 · S1 525.62 · P – · R1 538.51 · R2 545.70

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
20 Nov 2026$2.2000
21 Aug 2026$2.2000
22 May 2026$2.0000
20 Feb 2026$2.0000
21 Nov 2025$2.0000
22 Aug 2025$2.0000
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Cummins Inc (CMI)

Strengths

  • Net debt is only 0.7× EBITDA, ahead of 87% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Growth consistency is weak against Industrials peers (50%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
4 Aug 202610-Q
4 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
14 May 20268-K5.07
5 May 202610-Q
5 May 20268-K2.02,9.01
2 Apr 2026DEF 14A
10 Feb 202610-K
5 Feb 20268-K2.02,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026