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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Capital One Financial Corp (COF)

Financials · Consumer Finance · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$201.74
52-week range$173.62 – $256.64
Market cap$125.3B
P/E (trailing)11.6×
Dividend yield1.6%
Revenue (last 12 months)$62.0B
Revenue growth (3y a year)16.0%
Price / book1.1×
Return on equity9.2%

Fair value

Blended fair value$231.43 book-value models
Versus priceFair+15% to fair value
Excess-return model (banks, insurers)$188.50
Price / book vs return on equity$295.84
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

61/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 82% of sector peers
Valuation79
Growth66
Profitability39
Financial health61
Dividends64

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

70.30119168217265Fair value $2312021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Capital One Financial is a bank holding company best known for credit cards, and it also offers auto loans, consumer banking and commercial lending. It earns money mostly from interest on loans, especially card balances, plus fees and interchange income from card spending. The company funds its lending largely through customer deposits, and credit quality and charge-offs are key factors that influence its results.

The company pays a dividend with a yield of 1.6%. Looking at the numbers, trailing revenue is $62.0 billion, and it grew 16.0% a year over the past three years. Operating margin is 21.0%, while return on invested capital is 10%.

StocksXray gives Capital One Financial Corp an X-Ray Score of 61 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 82% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (79) and its weakest is profitability (39).

Our fair value blend is $231.43. At $201.74 the stock trades 13% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Capital One Financial Corp (COF)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$133.37$87.23$125.90$174.04$239.56$201.74
Market cap$59.2B$34.3B$48.3B$66.8B$129.7B$125.3B
P/E5.0×4.9×10.5×15.0×59.4×11.6×
Price / book1.0×0.7×0.8×1.1×1.1×1.1×
Dividend yield–––––1.59%

Fundamentals checklist ● 3 Good · ● 1 Average · ● 3 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Risk models

Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−39.2%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)16.0%Good
Growth consistency100%Good

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.1×Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital9.8%Bad
Operating margin21.0%Bad

Red flags

  • Heavy dilution — Share count up more than 5% year on year
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Capital One Financial Corp (COF)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue30,43534,25036,78739,11253,43462,023
Net income12,3907,3604,8874,7502,45310,520
Diluted EPS ($)26.9417.9111.9511.594.0317.35
Net margin40.7%21.5%13.3%12.1%4.6%17.0%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets432,381455,249478,464490,144669,009673,835
Cash22,05431,25643,75543,67162,09355,881
Total debt43,08648,71549,85645,55151,00045,371
Equity61,02952,58258,08960,784113,616113,793
Dividend per share ($)–––––3.00

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%19%38%57%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)10,00012,49215,35915,58315,23115,850
Growth vs a year earlier+6.4%+31.4%+53.4%+52.9%+52.3%+26.9%
Net income ($M)1,404-4,2773,1922,1342,1743,020
Diluted EPS ($)3.45-8.584.83–3.344.73
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
Capital One Financial Corp (COF)

Peers in Consumer Finance

CompanyX-Ray
COF · Capital One Financial Corp61
SYF · Synchrony Financial70
AXP · American Express Co52

Market Compass outlook for Financials: Favourable (72/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+1.2%
1 month−0.1%
3 months−2.1%
6 months−1.5%
1 year−4.8%
3 years+117.6%
5 years+30.5%

Technical summary

DailyBearish5 bullish · 1 neutral · 10 bearish
WeeklyBearish4 bullish · 1 neutral · 7 bearish
MonthlyBullish5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$207.96 / $202.19
52-week low / high$173.62 / $256.64
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 198.27 · S1 200.00 · P – · R1 203.74 · R2 205.75

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
17 Aug 2026$0.8000
19 May 2026$0.8000
19 Feb 2026$0.8000
17 Nov 2025$0.8000
15 Aug 2025$0.6000
23 May 2025$0.6000
stocksxray.com · page 4
XStocksXray
Capital One Financial Corp (COF)

Strengths

  • Revenue growth of 16.0% a year over three years is ahead of 84% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Financials peers (−39.2%).
  • Return on invested capital is weak against Financials peers (9.8%).
  • Operating margin is weak against Financials peers (21.0%).
  • Red flag: Heavy dilution (Share count up more than 5% year on year).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
15 Sep 20268-K8.01,9.01
15 Sep 20268-K7.01,9.01
15 Sep 20268-K7.01,9.01
8 Sep 2026424B5
1 Sep 20268-K5.03,9.01
20 Aug 20268-K8.01,9.01
17 Aug 20268-K7.01,9.01
28 Jul 202610-Q

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026