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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Fair Isaac Corp (FICO)

Information Technology · Application Software · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$771.19
52-week range$586.05 – $1,858.91
Market cap$17.5B
P/E (trailing)22.5×
EV / EBITDA18.2×
Free-cash-flow yield5.7%
Dividend yield–
Revenue (last 12 months)$2.4B
Revenue growth (3y a year)13.1%
Operating margin51.7%
Return on invested capital76.5%
Net debt / EBITDA4.3×

Fair value

Blended fair value$928.35 range $881 – $984
Versus priceFair+20% to fair value
Peer multiples$1,279.35
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$765.22
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$740.49
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$106.00
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

70/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 93% of sector peers
Valuation77
Growth65
Profitability84
Financial health47
Dividends–

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

2197901,3621,9332,505Fair value $9282021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Fair Isaac provides analytics software and credit scoring. Its FICO Score is widely used by lenders to judge the credit risk of consumers, and the company also sells decision management software to banks, insurers and other businesses. Revenue comes from fees charged for scores, which are paid by credit bureaus and lenders, and from software licenses and subscriptions.

Over the last twelve months Fair Isaac Corp reported revenue of $2.4 billion. Over three years revenue has grown by 13.1% a year. The operating margin is 51.7%. Return on invested capital is 76%. Net debt to EBITDA is 4.3 times. It does not pay a dividend. Return on invested capital describes how much profit the business earns relative to the money put into it.

StocksXray gives Fair Isaac Corp an X-Ray Score of 70 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 93% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is profitability (84) and its weakest is financial health (47).

Our fair value blend is $928.35 (range $880.93 to $984.09). At $771.19 the stock trades 17% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Fair Isaac Corp (FICO)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$397.93$412.01$868.53$1,943.52$1,496.53$771.19
Market cap$11.6B$10.9B$22.0B$48.7B$36.8B$17.5B
P/E29.7×29.1×51.3×95.0×56.4×22.5×
EV / revenue9.7×9.1×15.7×29.6×19.9×9.5×
EV / EBITDA23.9×22.3×36.1×68.0×42.2×18.2×
Price / free cash flow28.0×21.6×47.4×78.1×47.7×17.6×
Free-cash-flow yield3.6%4.6%2.1%1.3%2.1%5.7%
Price / book––––––
Dividend yield––––––

Fundamentals checklist ● 11 Good · ● 2 Average · ● 3 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−9.2%Good
Free-cash-flow yield5.7%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score12.2×Good
Piotroski F-Score7 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)23.2%Good
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)15.2%Average
Revenue growth (3y)13.1%Average
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.2×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA4.3×Bad
Interest cover6.6×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.2×Good
EBIT / EV yield5.4%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital76.5%Good
Operating margin51.7%Good
Gross profitability100.0%Good

Red flags

  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Fair Isaac Corp (FICO)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue1,3171,3771,5141,7181,9912,394
Gross profit9841,0751,2031,3691,6372,037
Operating income5055426437349251,236
Net income392374429513652815
Diluted EPS ($)13.4014.1816.9320.4526.5434.33
Free cash flow416503465624770996
Gross margin74.7%78.1%79.4%79.7%82.2%85.1%
Operating margin38.4%39.4%42.5%42.7%46.5%51.7%
Net margin29.8%27.1%28.4%29.9%32.7%34.1%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets1,5681,4421,5751,7181,8682,037
Cash195133137151134248
Total debt1,2591,8541,8622,2093,0565,582
Equity-111-802-688-963-1,746-4,097
Dividend per share ($)––––––

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%27%55%82%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)499536516512692674
Growth vs a year earlier+15.0%+19.8%+13.6%+16.4%+38.7%+25.7%
Net income ($M)163182155158264237
Diluted EPS ($)6.597.40–6.6111.1410.45
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Fair Isaac Corp (FICO)

Peers in Application Software

CompanyX-Ray
FICO · Fair Isaac Corp70
ADBE · Adobe Inc.77
INTU · Intuit Inc.72
ADSK · Autodesk, Inc.67
PLTR · Palantir Technologies Inc.60

Market Compass outlook for Information Technology: Favourable (75/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+15.5%
1 month−20.2%
3 months−39.0%
6 months−28.2%
1 year−52.9%
3 years−14.8%
5 years+92.3%

Technical summary

DailyBearish4 bullish · 2 neutral · 10 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 1 neutral · 11 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 1 neutral · 7 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$937.63 / $1,166.85
52-week low / high$586.05 / $1,858.91
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 739.97 · S1 755.58 · P – · R1 786.22 · R2 801.25
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Fair Isaac Corp (FICO)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 76.5% is ahead of 90% of its sector peers.
  • Operating margin of 51.7% is ahead of 94% of its sector peers.
  • Free-cash-flow yield of 5.7% is ahead of 80% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Current ratio is weak against Information Technology peers (1.2×).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Information Technology peers (4.3×).
  • Interest cover is weak against Information Technology peers (6.6×).
  • Red flag: Negative equity (Book equity is negative).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
6 Oct 20268-K2.05
29 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
29 Jul 202610-Q
8 Jun 20268-K1.01,2.03,8.01,9.01
28 Apr 202610-Q
28 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01
20 Mar 20268-K1.01,2.03,9.01
11 Mar 20268-K8.01,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026