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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)

Information Technology · Semiconductors · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$172.64
52-week range$168.60 – $320.95
Market cap$18.6B
P/E (trailing)10.6×
EV / EBITDA7.1×
Free-cash-flow yield8.1%
Dividend yield–
Revenue (last 12 months)$5.4B
Revenue growth (3y a year)25.8%
Operating margin33.6%
Return on invested capital18.6%
Net debt / EBITDA-0.7×

Fair value

Blended fair value$234.96 range $222 – $247
Versus priceFair+36% to fair value
Peer multiples$247.73
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$261.81
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$195.35
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$79.06
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

67/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 92% of sector peers
Valuation87
Growth69
Profitability40
Financial health76
Dividends–

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

45.99118190262334Fair value $2352021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

First Solar makes thin film solar modules and sells them to developers and owners of large solar power plants, mainly in the United States. Its technology differs from the crystalline silicon panels made by many rivals. Revenue comes from selling modules, often under multi-year supply contracts, and results depend on government incentives, trade policy, plant utilization and demand for utility-scale solar.

First Solar, Inc. generated $5.4 billion in revenue during the last twelve months. The three-year revenue growth rate is 25.8% a year. Operating margin stands at 33.6%, showing profit left after running costs. Return on invested capital stands at 19%. Net debt to EBITDA is -0.7 times, which means the company holds more cash than debt. No dividend is paid to shareholders.

StocksXray gives First Solar, Inc. an X-Ray Score of 67 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 92% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (87) and its weakest is profitability (40).

Our fair value blend is $234.96 (range $222.49 to $247.30). At $172.64 the stock trades 27% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$87.16$149.79$172.28$176.24$261.23$172.64
Market cap$9.3B$16.0B$18.5B$19.0B$28.1B$18.6B
P/E19.9×–22.3×14.7×18.4×10.6×
EV / revenue2.6×5.2×5.1×4.2×4.9×3.1×
EV / EBITDA9.1×55.9×14.6×9.8×12.1×7.1×
Price / free cash flow––––23.7×12.4×
Free-cash-flow yield−3.2%−0.2%−4.2%−1.6%4.2%8.1%
Price / book1.6×2.7×2.8×2.4×2.9×1.8×
Dividend yield––––––

Fundamentals checklist ● 9 Good · ● 4 Average · ● 1 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−3.1%Average
Free-cash-flow yield8.1%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score7.9×Good
Piotroski F-Score7 of 9Good

Growth

Revenue growth (3y)25.8%Good
Growth consistency90%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio2.5×Good
Net debt / EBITDA-0.7×Good
Interest cover46.9×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.4×Good
EBIT / EV yield10.6%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital18.6%Average
Operating margin33.6%Good
Gross profitability17.7%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue2,9232,6193,3194,2065,2195,378
Gross profit730701,3011,8582,1202,367
Operating income587-278571,3941,5971,810
Net income469-448311,2921,5281,746
Diluted EPS ($)4.38-0.417.7412.0214.2116.23
Free cash flow-303-30-785-3081,1871,500
Gross margin25.0%2.7%39.2%44.2%40.6%44.0%
Operating margin20.1%−1.0%25.8%33.2%30.6%33.6%
Net margin16.0%−1.7%25.0%30.7%29.3%32.5%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets7,4148,25110,36512,12413,32113,389
Cash1,4511,4811,9471,6212,8041,688
Total debt24018456061049938
Equity5,9605,8366,6877,9789,53810,320
Dividend per share ($)––––––

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

-2%14%29%44%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)8451,0971,5951,6831,0441,056
Growth vs a year earlier+6.4%+8.6%+79.7%+11.1%+23.6%−3.7%
Net income ($M)210342456521347423
Diluted EPS ($)1.953.184.24–3.223.92
stocksxray.com · page 3
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First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)

Peers in Semiconductors

CompanyX-Ray
FSLR · First Solar, Inc.67
MU · Micron Technology Inc77
NVDA · Nvidia Corp65
QCOM · Qualcomm Inc57
MPWR · Monolithic Power Systems,...55

Market Compass outlook for Information Technology: Favourable (75/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−2.9%
1 month−14.2%
3 months−15.9%
6 months−9.3%
1 year−29.4%
3 years+14.0%
5 years+75.0%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 4 neutral · 12 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 1 neutral · 11 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bearish1 bullish · 1 neutral · 6 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$199.61 / $219.83
52-week low / high$168.60 / $320.95
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 165.76 · S1 169.20 · P – · R1 179.41 · R2 186.18
stocksxray.com · page 4
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First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)

Strengths

  • Operating margin of 33.6% is ahead of 77% of its sector peers.
  • Revenue growth of 25.8% a year over three years is ahead of 87% of its sector peers.
  • Free-cash-flow yield of 8.1% is ahead of 91% of its sector peers.
  • Holds more cash than debt (net debt to EBITDA of -0.7×).
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Gross profitability is weak against Information Technology peers (17.7%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
30 Jul 202610-Q
30 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
15 May 20268-K5.07
30 Apr 202610-Q
30 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01
2 Apr 2026DEF 14A
24 Feb 202610-K
24 Feb 20268-K2.02,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026