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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT)

Consumer Discretionary · Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines · US stock · S&P 500 component
$345.12 ▲ +2.14 (0.62%)
At close 16 Oct 2026 · USD · Volume 1,701,376
Fair valueOvervalued
$239 −30.8% to fair value
$119fair band $167–$310$358
Day's range
$344.10 – $350.91
52-week range
$253.04 – $357.84
Red flags⚠ Negative equity

About Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.

Hilton is a global hospitality company that franchises, manages and licenses hotels under a family of brands, including Hilton, Conrad, Waldorf Astoria, DoubleTree, Hampton and Embassy Suites. Most properties are owned by outside investors, so Hilton supplies the brand, booking systems and the Hilton Honors loyalty programme while owners provide the buildings. Travellers book rooms for business and leisure, and hotel owners are its main direct customers.

Hilton collects fees from the hotels that use its brands, typically linked to room revenue, along with income from the few properties it owns or leases. Revenue is $12.5 billion over the last twelve months, rising 11.1% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 23.3%, and the business earns a profit of 34% on the capital invested in it. It has net debt of 4.0 times EBITDA, and the dividend yield is 0.2%. On the site's X-Ray Score it receives 40 out of 100.

Written with AI from public information and the filing figures on this page, then checked automatically for unsupported numbers. It can contain mistakes: read the company's own filings below before relying on it.
52-wk range $253.04 – $357.84Volume 1,701,376Daily, split-adjusted

Vitals

Market cap$79.0B
52-week range$253.04 – $357.84
Volume (last day)1,701,376
P/E (TTM)51.0
EBIT / EV yield3.2%
Free-cash-flow yield2.6%
Dividend yield0.2%
Revenue (TTM)$12.5B
Net income (TTM)$1.6B
Operating margin23.3%
Return on capital34.3%
Debt incl. leases$13.3B
Cash & securities$1.0B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies like Apple). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$239model spread $205 – $258
Overvalued −30.8% to fair value
Equal blend of three models: peer multiples, a fundamentals-adjusted multiple (growth, ROIC and margin) and a 10-year DCF scaled to the market's average. Earnings-power value (no growth) is a floor and not part of the blend. Model uncertainty is Medium, so the safety margin is 30%.
Price $345
Undervalued < $167Fair $167 – $310Overvalued > $310
10-year DCF (market-scaled)
$332
Peer multiples
$165
Earnings power floor (not blended)
$43
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple
$219
Growth the price implies
21.5%/yr
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.09%, equity risk premium 4.23% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means

Weak business, priced high

Our models put fair value below today's price, so a lot of good news may already be in the price. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.

Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.

The five-lens scan

Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Consumer Discretionary peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.

Valuation Weak
14/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield3.2%
Free-cash-flow yield2.6%
Fair value vs price0.7×
Growth Fair
64/100
Growing at a typical pace for its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)11.1%
EPS growth (3y)10.5%
Growth consistency100%
Profitability Fair
59/100
Returns on capital are typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital34.3%
Operating margin23.3%
Financial health Weak
27/100
Balance sheet is more stretched than most peers.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score6 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA4.0×
Interest cover4.4×
Dividends Weak
32/100
Dividend is modest or less certain than peers.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield0.2%
Dividends vs free cash flow7%
Dividend growth5.2%

Quarterly results: last 6 quarters

+4.7%
Mar '25
+6.3%
Jun '25
+8.8%
Sep '25
+10.9%
Dec '25
+9.0%
Mar '26
+6.5%
Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $3.3B, diluted EPS $2.10.

Compare with peers

BKNG Booking Holdings Inc.69 EXPE Expedia Group, Inc.64 CCL Carnival Corp Ltd.57 ABNB Airbnb, Inc.51
Other Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines companies by X-Ray Score.

Fundamentals checklist

● 4 Good · ● 3 Average · ● 8 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashBad
Free-cash-flow yieldBad
Risk models
Altman Z''Bad
Piotroski F-ScoreAverage
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)Average
Revenue growth (3y)Good
Growth consistencyGood
Balance sheet
Current ratioBad
Net debt / EBITDABad
Interest coverBad
Valuation
Fair value vs priceBad
EBIT / EV yieldBad
Profitability
Return on invested capitalGood
Operating marginGood
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 41/100.

Financials

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$5.8B$8.8B$10.2B$11.2B$12.0B
Operating income$1.0B$2.1B$2.2B$2.4B$2.7B
Net income$410M$1.3B$1.1B$1.5B$1.5B
Operating cash flow$109M$1.7B$1.9B$2.0B$2.1B
Operating margin17.4%23.9%21.7%21.2%22.4%
Free cash flow$74M$1.6B$1.8B$1.9B$2.0B
Diluted EPS$1.46$4.53$4.33$6.14$6.12
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.

Technical summary

Daily
Bullish
12 bullish · 0 neutral · 4 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bullish
11 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bullish
7 bullish · 0 neutral · 1 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10328.2Bullish
EMA 10330.5Bullish
SMA 20321.4Bullish
EMA 20324.6Bullish
SMA 50318.9Bullish
EMA 50321.2Bullish
SMA 100325.8Bullish
EMA 100320.5Bullish
SMA 200317.7Bullish
EMA 200312.7Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)72.88Bearish
MACD (12, 26)5.95Bullish
Momentum (12)8.49Bullish
Stochastic %K (14)84.45Bearish
Williams %R (14)-15.55Bearish
CCI (20)238.3Bearish
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
335.7
S2
339.9
S1
342.5
Pivot
346.7
R1
349.3
R2
353.5
R3
356.1
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.

Dividends

Paid, last 12 months
0.60 USD
Yield on today's price
0.17%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
21 Aug 20260.1500
22 May 20260.1500
27 Feb 20260.1500
21 Nov 20250.1500
29 Aug 20250.1500
23 May 20250.1500
21 Feb 20250.1500
15 Nov 20240.1500
23 Aug 20240.1500
16 May 20240.1500
22 Feb 20240.1500
16 Nov 20230.1500
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.

HLT SEC filings

28 Jul 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
28 Jul 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations
18 May 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change; Shareholder vote results
11 May 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Entered a material agreement; Other events
5 May 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change
28 Apr 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
28 Apr 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations
2 Apr 2026
DEF 14ASEC EDGAR
Proxy statement

Where the numbers come from

Statements SEC EDGAR filings (10-K, 10-Q), quarters derived from year-to-date figures.
Prices end-of-day closes, split-adjusted.
Industry inputs beta, multiples and equity risk premium from Damodaran Online (NYU Stern).
Read the full methodology →

StocksXray is for education only and is not financial advice. Scores and fair values are model estimates from public filings and carry uncertainty.