Red flags⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Dividend may be at risk
About International Paper Co
International Paper is a packaging company that makes containerboard and corrugated boxes from wood fibre, mainly for consumer goods, food, e-commerce and industrial customers. It operates mills and box plants in North America and Europe, and supplies customers who need shipping and protective packaging. The company is based in Memphis, Tennessee.
International Paper earns revenue from supplying packaging products and the paper used to make them. Revenue is $24.2 billion over the last twelve months, growing at 3.8% a year across three years. However, the operating margin is -11.3%, meaning the business records an operating loss, and it earns -9% on the capital invested in it. It has net debt of 180.7 times EBITDA, a very high reading that points to thin earnings. The dividend yield is 5.4%. On the site's X-Ray Score it receives 36 out of 100.
Written with AI from public information and the filing figures on this page, then checked automatically for unsupported numbers. It can contain mistakes: read the company's own filings below before relying on it.
52-wk range $28.51 – $48.47Volume 5,514,800Daily, split-adjusted
Vitals
Market cap$18.0B
52-week range$28.51 – $48.47
Volume (last day)5,514,800
P/E (TTM)–
EBIT / EV yield-10.3%
Free-cash-flow yield2.7%
Dividend yield5.4%
Revenue (TTM)$24.2B
Net income (TTM)−$3.4B
Operating margin-11.3%
Return on capital-9.4%
Debt incl. leases$9.2B
Cash & securities$726M
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies like Apple). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$24
Overvalued−30.0% to fair value
Equal blend of three models: peer multiples, a fundamentals-adjusted multiple (growth, ROIC and margin) and a 10-year DCF scaled to the market's average. Earnings-power value (no growth) is a floor and not part of the blend. Model uncertainty is Medium, so the safety margin is 30%.
Loss-making or insufficient history: no DCF/EPV
Price $34
Undervalued < $17Fair $17 – $31Overvalued > $31
Peer multiples
$24
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.09%, equity risk premium 4.23% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means
Weak business, priced high
Our models put fair value below today's price, so a lot of good news may already be in the price. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.
Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.
The five-lens scan
Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Materials peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.
ValuationWeak
23/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield-10.3%
Free-cash-flow yield2.7%
Fair value vs price0.7×
GrowthStrong
72/100
Growing faster than most of its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)3.8%
Growth consistency60%
ProfitabilityWeak
36/100
Earns lower returns on its capital than most peers.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital-9.4%
Operating margin-11.3%
Gross profitability19.7%
Financial healthWeak
7/100
Balance sheet is more stretched than most peers.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score3 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA180.7×
Interest cover-5.1×
DividendsFair
57/100
Dividend is typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield5.4%
Dividends vs free cash flow199%
Dividend growth13.2%
Quarterly results: last 6 quarters
+34.5%Mar '25
+52.8%Jun '25
+56.4%Sep '25
+53.1%Dec '25
+13.4%Mar '26
-2.2%Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $6.0B, diluted EPS $-0.02.
Other Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials companies by X-Ray Score.
Fundamentals checklist
● 3 Good · ● 2 Average · ● 9 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashGood
Free-cash-flow yieldAverage
Risk models
Altman Z''Bad
Piotroski F-ScoreBad
Growth
Revenue growth (3y)Good
Growth consistencyAverage
Balance sheet
Current ratioBad
Net debt / EBITDABad
Interest coverBad
Valuation
Fair value vs priceBad
EBIT / EV yieldBad
Profitability
Return on invested capitalBad
Operating marginBad
Gross profitabilityGood
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 34/100.
Financials
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY25
Revenue
$19.4B
$21.2B
$16.0B
$15.8B
$23.6B
Operating income
$1.4B
$1.9B
$820M
$801M
−$2.8B
Net income
$1.8B
$1.5B
$288M
$557M
−$3.5B
Operating cash flow
$2.0B
$2.2B
$1.8B
$1.7B
$1.7B
Operating margin
7.4%
9.0%
5.1%
5.1%
-11.9%
Free cash flow
$1.6B
$1.2B
$692M
$757M
−$159M
Diluted EPS
$4.47
$4.10
$0.82
$1.57
$-6.95
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.
Technical summary
Daily
Neutral
5 bullish · 4 neutral · 7 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bearish
0 bullish · 1 neutral · 11 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bearish
0 bullish · 1 neutral · 7 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10
32.36
Bullish
EMA 10
32.86
Bullish
SMA 20
33.26
Bullish
EMA 20
33.35
Bullish
SMA 50
36.26
Bearish
EMA 50
35.05
Bearish
SMA 100
36.62
Bearish
EMA 100
35.99
Bearish
SMA 200
36.99
Bearish
EMA 200
37.19
Bearish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)
51.50
Neutral
MACD (12, 26)
-0.88
Bearish
Momentum (12)
2.65
Bullish
Stochastic %K (14)
78.61
Neutral
Williams %R (14)
-21.39
Neutral
CCI (20)
43.90
Neutral
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
32.30
S2
32.97
S1
33.51
Pivot
34.18
R1
34.72
R2
35.39
R3
35.93
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.
Dividends
Paid, last 12 months
1.85 USD
Yield on today's price
5.44%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
16 Nov 2026
Ex-dividend date
Amount per share
16 Nov 2026 (upcoming)
0.4625
14 Aug 2026
0.4630
22 May 2026
0.4630
23 Feb 2026
0.4630
14 Nov 2025
0.4630
15 Aug 2025
0.4630
23 May 2025
0.4630
24 Feb 2025
0.4630
15 Nov 2024
0.4630
15 Aug 2024
0.4630
23 May 2024
0.4630
21 Feb 2024
0.4630
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.