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Research report · 16 October 2026

International Paper Co (IP)

Materials · Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$34.05
52-week range$28.51 – $48.47
Market cap$18.0B
P/E (trailing)–
EV / EBITDA564.3×
Free-cash-flow yield2.7%
Dividend yield5.4%
Revenue (last 12 months)$24.2B
Revenue growth (3y a year)3.8%
Operating margin−11.3%
Return on invested capital−9.4%
Net debt / EBITDA180.7×

Fair value

Blended fair value$23.85 book-value models
Versus priceOvervalued−30% to fair value
Peer multiples$23.85
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

36/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 17% of sector peers
Valuation23
Growth72
Profitability36
Financial health7
Dividends57

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

21.9330.8539.7748.6857.60Fair value $242021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

International Paper is a packaging company that makes containerboard and corrugated boxes from wood fibre, mainly for consumer goods, food, e-commerce and industrial customers. It operates mills and box plants in North America and Europe, and supplies customers who need shipping and protective packaging. The company is based in Memphis, Tennessee.

International Paper earns revenue from supplying packaging products and the paper used to make them. Revenue is $24.2 billion over the last twelve months, growing at 3.8% a year across three years. However, the operating margin is -11.3%, meaning the business records an operating loss, and it earns -9% on the capital invested in it. It has net debt of 180.7 times EBITDA, a very high reading that points to thin earnings. The dividend yield is 5.4%.

StocksXray gives International Paper Co an X-Ray Score of 36 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 17% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is growth (72) and its weakest is financial health (7).

Our fair value blend is $23.85. At $34.05 the stock trades 43% above that blend, so the label is "Overvalued" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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International Paper Co (IP)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$37.85$29.14$32.11$49.88$38.00$34.05
Market cap$14.9B$10.7B$11.2B$17.7B$19.2B$18.0B
P/E8.5×7.1×39.2×31.8×––
EV / revenue1.0×0.7×1.0×1.4×1.2×1.1×
EV / EBITDA7.6×5.2×8.0×13.4×–564.3×
Price / free cash flow9.6×8.6×16.2×23.3×–36.6×
Free-cash-flow yield10.4%11.6%6.2%4.3%−0.8%2.7%
Price / book1.6×1.3×1.3×2.2×1.3×1.2×
Dividend yield5.28%6.35%5.76%3.71%4.87%5.44%

Fundamentals checklist ● 3 Good · ● 2 Average · ● 9 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−16.7%Good
Free-cash-flow yield2.7%Average

Risk models

Altman Z score0.7×Bad
Piotroski F-Score3 of 9Bad

Growth

Revenue growth (3y)3.8%Good
Growth consistency60%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.1×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA180.7×Bad
Interest cover-5.1×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.7×Bad
EBIT / EV yield−10.3%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital−9.4%Bad
Operating margin−11.3%Bad
Gross profitability19.7%Good

Red flags

  • Heavy dilution — Share count up more than 5% year on year
  • Dividend may be at risk — Dividends exceed free cash flow
stocksxray.com · page 2
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International Paper Co (IP)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue19,36321,16116,03315,83523,63424,203
Gross profit5,5316,0184,5214,4386,9977,205
Operating income1,4291,914820801-2,817-2,726
Net income1,7521,504288557-3,516-3,438
Diluted EPS ($)4.474.100.821.57-6.95-6.56
Free cash flow1,5501,243692757-159492
Gross margin28.6%28.4%28.2%28.0%29.6%29.8%
Operating margin7.4%9.0%5.1%5.1%−11.9%−11.3%
Net margin9.0%7.1%1.8%3.5%−14.9%−14.2%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets25,24323,94023,26122,80037,96436,521
Cash1,2958041,1131,0621,145726
Total debt5,5795,5795,5935,5559,8319,217
Equity9,0828,4978,3558,17314,82714,455
Dividend per share ($)2.001.851.851.851.851.85

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

-15%-0%15%30%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)5,2646,1426,2226,0065,9716,004
Growth vs a year earlier+34.5%+52.8%+56.4%+53.1%+13.4%−2.2%
Net income ($M)-10575-1,102-2,38460-12
Diluted EPS ($)-0.240.14-2.09-4.520.11-0.02
stocksxray.com · page 3
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International Paper Co (IP)

Peers in Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

CompanyX-Ray
IP · International Paper Co36
AVY · Avery Dennison Corp60
PKG · Packaging Corp Of America56
AMCR · Amcor plc55
SW · Smurfit Westrock plc52

Market Compass outlook for Materials: Neutral (50/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+6.0%
1 month−4.2%
3 months−5.0%
6 months−5.9%
1 year−23.9%
3 years+9.7%
5 years−21.6%

Technical summary

DailyNeutral5 bullish · 4 neutral · 7 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 1 neutral · 11 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 1 neutral · 7 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$36.26 / $36.99
52-week low / high$28.51 / $48.47
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 32.97 · S1 33.51 · P – · R1 34.72 · R2 35.39

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
16 Nov 2026$0.4625
14 Aug 2026$0.4630
22 May 2026$0.4630
23 Feb 2026$0.4630
14 Nov 2025$0.4630
15 Aug 2025$0.4630
stocksxray.com · page 4
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International Paper Co (IP)

Strengths

  • Revenue growth of 3.8% a year over three years is ahead of 76% of its sector peers.

Risks and weak spots

  • Altman Z score is weak against Materials peers (0.7×).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Materials peers (3 of 9).
  • Current ratio is weak against Materials peers (1.1×).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Materials peers (180.7×).
  • Interest cover is weak against Materials peers (-5.1×).
  • Fair value vs price is weak against Materials peers (0.7×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Materials peers (−10.3%).
  • Return on invested capital is weak against Materials peers (−9.4%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
8 Oct 20268-K9.01
5 Aug 202610-Q
30 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
17 Jul 20268-K5.02,9.01
11 May 20268-K5.07
5 May 202610-Q
30 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01
27 Mar 2026DEF 14A

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026