Smurfit Westrock plc (SW)
Materials · Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials · US stock · S&P 500 component
$41.16
▼ -0.08 (0.19%)
Fair valueFair
$44 +7.5% to fair value
$22fair band $31–$58$66
Day's range
$41.03 – $42.26
52-week range
$31.79 – $51.52
Red flags⚠ Heavy dilution
About Smurfit Westrock plc
Smurfit Westrock produces paper-based packaging, including corrugated boxes, containerboard, folding cartons and specialty packaging, for customers in food, consumer goods, e-commerce and industry. It combines forestry and recycling operations with paper mills and box plants across the Americas and Europe. The company was formed through a merger of two packaging groups and earns money by selling packaging, with results influenced by paper prices and input costs.
Over the latest twelve months the company reported revenue of $31.3 billion, with growth of 32.2% a year across three years. It reports an operating margin of 4.7%, with return on invested capital of 3%. Leverage, measured as net debt to EBITDA, is 3.2 times. A dividend is paid, with a yield of 4.3%. Overall, it receives an X-Ray Score of 52 out of 100. These figures describe past results and the present financial position only.
Written with AI from public information and the filing figures on this page, then checked automatically for unsupported numbers. It can contain mistakes: read the company's own filings below before relying on it.
Price chart
52-wk range $31.79 – $51.52Volume 7,291,448Daily, split-adjusted
Vitals
Market cap$21.7B
52-week range$31.79 – $51.52
Volume (last day)7,291,448
P/E (TTM)43.6
EBIT / EV yield4.2%
Free-cash-flow yield4.7%
Dividend yield4.3%
Revenue (TTM)$31.3B
Net income (TTM)$497M
Operating margin4.7%
Return on capital3.3%
Debt incl. leases$14.2B
Cash & securities$677M
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies like Apple). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$44model spread $37 – $53
Fair
+7.5% to fair value
Equal blend of three models: peer multiples, a fundamentals-adjusted multiple (growth, ROIC and margin) and a 10-year DCF scaled to the market's average. Earnings-power value (no growth) is a floor and not part of the blend. Model uncertainty is Medium, so the safety margin is 30%.
Price $41
Undervalued < $31Fair $31 – $58Overvalued > $58
10-year DCF (market-scaled)
$52
Peer multiples
$26
Earnings power floor (not blended)
$16
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple
$55
Growth the price implies
23.4%/yr
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.09%, equity risk premium 4.23% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means
Weak business, fairly priced
The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.
Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.
The five-lens scan
Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Materials peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.
Valuation
Fair
51/100
Priced about in line with its sector.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield4.2%
Free-cash-flow yield4.7%
Fair value vs price1.1×
Growth
Strong
76/100
Growing faster than most of its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)32.2%
EPS growth (3y)-30.5%
Growth consistency100%
Profitability
Weak
42/100
Earns lower returns on its capital than most peers.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital3.3%
Operating margin4.7%
Gross profitability12.4%
Financial health
Weak
35/100
Balance sheet is more stretched than most peers.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score7 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA3.2×
Interest cover1.8×
Dividends
Fair
59/100
Dividend is typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield4.3%
Dividends vs free cash flow93%
Dividend growth37.1%
Quarterly results: last 6 quarters
+161.3%
Mar '25
+167.4%
Jun '25
+4.3%
Sep '25
+0.5%
Dec '25
+0.7%
Mar '26
+1.1%
Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $8.0B, diluted EPS $0.17.
Compare with peers
AVY Avery Dennison Corp60 PKG Packaging Corp Of Amer...56 AMCR Amcor plc55 IP International Paper Co36Other Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials companies by X-Ray Score.
Fundamentals checklist
● 5 Good · ● 4 Average · ● 7 BadCash quality
Earnings backed by cashGood
Free-cash-flow yieldAverage
Risk models
Altman Z''Bad
Piotroski F-ScoreGood
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Bad
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)Good
Revenue growth (3y)Good
Growth consistencyGood
Balance sheet
Current ratioAverage
Net debt / EBITDABad
Interest coverBad
Valuation
Fair value vs priceAverage
EBIT / EV yieldAverage
Profitability
Return on invested capitalBad
Operating marginBad
Gross profitabilityBad
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 48/100.
Financials
| FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.5B | $12.1B | $21.1B | $31.2B |
| Operating income | $1.6B | $1.4B | $1.0B | $1.7B |
| Net income | $1.0B | $825M | $319M | $699M |
| Operating cash flow | $1.4B | $1.6B | $1.5B | $3.4B |
| Operating margin | 11.5% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% |
| Free cash flow | $503M | $630M | $17M | $1.2B |
| Diluted EPS | $3.96 | $3.17 | $0.82 | $1.33 |
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.
Technical summary
Daily
Strongly bearish
2 bullish · 2 neutral · 12 bearish
Weekly
Bearish
3 bullish · 1 neutral · 9 bearish
Monthly
Neutral
5 bullish · 1 neutral · 4 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
| SMA 10 | 41.45 | Bearish |
| EMA 10 | 41.68 | Bearish |
| SMA 20 | 43.22 | Bearish |
| EMA 20 | 42.64 | Bearish |
| SMA 50 | 45.29 | Bearish |
| EMA 50 | 44.01 | Bearish |
| SMA 100 | 44.68 | Bearish |
| EMA 100 | 43.97 | Bearish |
| SMA 200 | 42.84 | Bearish |
| EMA 200 | 43.11 | Bearish |
Oscillators (daily)
| RSI (14) | 35.95 | Neutral |
| MACD (12, 26) | -1.20 | Bearish |
| Momentum (12) | -6.67 | Bearish |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 18.55 | Bullish |
| Williams %R (14) | -81.45 | Bullish |
| CCI (20) | -63.22 | Neutral |
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3 39.48 | S2 40.26 | S1 40.71 | Pivot 41.48 | R1 41.93 | R2 42.71 | R3 43.16 |
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.
Dividends
Paid, last 12 months
1.79 USD
Yield on today's price
4.34%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
| Ex-dividend date | Amount per share |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.4520 |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.4520 |
| 17 Feb 2026 | 0.4520 |
| 14 Nov 2025 | 0.4308 |
| 15 Aug 2025 | 0.4310 |
| 16 May 2025 | 0.4310 |
| 14 Feb 2025 | 0.4310 |
| 15 Nov 2024 | 0.3030 |
| 15 Aug 2024 | 0.3030 |
| 11 Apr 2024 | 1.2720 |
| 28 Sep 2023 | 0.3520 |
| 13 Apr 2023 | 1.1830 |
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.
SW SEC filings
31 Jul 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
29 Jul 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations; Regulation FD disclosure
1 May 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
1 May 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Shareholder vote results
30 Apr 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations; Regulation FD disclosure
11 Mar 2026
DEF 14ASEC EDGAR
Proxy statement
27 Feb 2026
10-KSEC EDGAR
Annual report
27 Feb 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change
Where the numbers come from
Statements SEC EDGAR filings (10-K, 10-Q), quarters derived from year-to-date figures.
Prices end-of-day closes, split-adjusted.
Industry inputs beta, multiples and equity risk premium from Damodaran Online (NYU Stern).
StocksXray is for education only and is not financial advice. Scores and fair values are model estimates from public filings and carry uncertainty.