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Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP)

Consumer Staples · Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages · US stock · S&P 500 component
$34.62 ▲ +0.44 (1.29%)
At close 16 Oct 2026 · USD · Volume 14,273,400
Fair valueOvervalued
$25 −27.9% to fair value
$12fair band $17–$32$37
Day's range
$34.14 – $34.71
52-week range
$24.53 – $34.71

About Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

Keurig Dr Pepper is a beverage company with coffee and soft drink businesses. It makes Keurig single-serve brewers and pods, and its soft drink brands include Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, Snapple and Mott's. Supermarkets, convenience stores, restaurants, offices and online retailers carry its drinks, which it produces and distributes through its own network and through bottling partners.

KDP earns revenue from coffee pods and brewers, packaged and bottled drinks, and syrup and concentrate supplied to other bottlers. Over the last twelve months it was $20.1 billion, growing at 5.7% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 16.2%, and the business earns a profit of 5% on the capital invested in it. It carries net debt of 7.5 times EBITDA. A dividend is paid, with a yield of 2.7%. On the site's X-Ray Score it receives 43 out of 100.

Written with AI from public information and the filing figures on this page, then checked automatically for unsupported numbers. It can contain mistakes: read the company's own filings below before relying on it.
52-wk range $24.53 – $34.71Volume 14,273,400Daily, split-adjusted

Vitals

Market cap$47.2B
52-week range$24.53 – $34.71
Volume (last day)14,273,400
P/E (TTM)33.1
EBIT / EV yield4.3%
Free-cash-flow yield4.2%
Dividend yield2.7%
Revenue (TTM)$20.1B
Net income (TTM)$1.4B
Operating margin16.2%
Return on capital5.0%
Debt incl. leases$26.0B
Cash & securities$1.5B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies like Apple). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$25model spread $24 – $30
Overvalued −27.9% to fair value
Equal blend of three models: peer multiples, a fundamentals-adjusted multiple (growth, ROIC and margin) and a 10-year DCF scaled to the market's average. Earnings-power value (no growth) is a floor and not part of the blend. Model uncertainty is Medium, so the safety margin is 30%.
Price $35
Undervalued < $17Fair $17 – $32Overvalued > $32
10-year DCF (market-scaled)
$14
Peer multiples
$28
Earnings power floor (not blended)
$10
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple
$33
Growth the price implies
16.0%/yr
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.09%, equity risk premium 4.23% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means

Weak business, priced high

Our models put fair value below today's price, so a lot of good news may already be in the price. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.

Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.

The five-lens scan

Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Consumer Staples peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.

Valuation Weak
29/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield4.3%
Free-cash-flow yield4.2%
Fair value vs price0.7×
Growth Fair
70/100
Growing at a typical pace for its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)5.7%
EPS growth (3y)14.8%
Growth consistency100%
Profitability Weak
32/100
Earns lower returns on its capital than most peers.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital5.0%
Operating margin16.2%
Gross profitability11.3%
Financial health Weak
42/100
Balance sheet is more stretched than most peers.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score7 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA7.5×
Interest coverNo interest cost
Dividends Fair
54/100
Dividend is typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield2.7%
Dividends vs free cash flow64%
Dividend growth5.0%

Quarterly results: last 6 quarters

+4.8%
Mar '25
+6.1%
Jun '25
+10.7%
Sep '25
+10.5%
Dec '25
+9.4%
Mar '26
+75.6%
Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $7.3B, diluted EPS $0.04.

Compare with peers

MNST Monster Beverage Corp75 PEP Pepsico Inc59 KO Coca Cola Co45
Other Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages companies by X-Ray Score.

Fundamentals checklist

● 6 Good · ● 2 Average · ● 8 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashBad
Free-cash-flow yieldAverage
Risk models
Altman Z''Bad
Piotroski F-ScoreGood
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Good
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)Bad
Revenue growth (3y)Good
Growth consistencyGood
Balance sheet
Current ratioBad
Net debt / EBITDABad
Interest coverGood
Valuation
Fair value vs priceBad
EBIT / EV yieldAverage
Profitability
Return on invested capitalBad
Operating marginGood
Gross profitabilityBad
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 39/100.

Financials

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$12.7B$14.1B$14.8B$15.4B$16.6B
Operating income$2.9B$2.6B$3.2B$2.6B$3.6B
Net income$2.1B$1.4B$2.2B$1.4B$2.1B
Operating cash flow$2.9B$2.8B$1.3B$2.2B$2.0B
Operating margin22.8%18.5%21.5%16.9%21.5%
Free cash flow$2.5B$2.5B$904M$1.7B$1.5B
Diluted EPS$1.50$1.01$1.55$1.05$1.53
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.

Technical summary

Daily
Bullish
12 bullish · 0 neutral · 4 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bullish
11 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bullish
7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 1032.29Bullish
EMA 1032.73Bullish
SMA 2031.62Bullish
EMA 2032.08Bullish
SMA 5031.38Bullish
EMA 5031.49Bullish
SMA 10031.09Bullish
EMA 10030.82Bullish
SMA 20029.25Bullish
EMA 20030.02Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)70.55Bearish
MACD (12, 26)0.63Bullish
Momentum (12)14.11Bullish
Stochastic %K (14)98.06Bearish
Williams %R (14)-1.94Bearish
CCI (20)219.6Bearish
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
33.70
S2
33.92
S1
34.27
Pivot
34.49
R1
34.84
R2
35.06
R3
35.41
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.

Dividends

Paid, last 12 months
0.92 USD
Yield on today's price
2.66%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
28 Sep 20260.2300
26 Jun 20260.2300
27 Mar 20260.2300
2 Jan 20260.2300
26 Sep 20250.2300
27 Jun 20250.2300
28 Mar 20250.2300
3 Jan 20250.2300
27 Sep 20240.2300
28 Jun 20240.2150
27 Mar 20240.2150
4 Jan 20240.2150
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.

KDP SEC filings

1 Oct 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Other events
28 Sep 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Other events
16 Sep 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Other events
1 Sep 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Other events
12 Aug 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change
10 Aug 2026
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
6 Aug 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations
25 Jun 2026
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change

Where the numbers come from

Statements SEC EDGAR filings (10-K, 10-Q), quarters derived from year-to-date figures.
Prices end-of-day closes, split-adjusted.
Industry inputs beta, multiples and equity risk premium from Damodaran Online (NYU Stern).
Read the full methodology →

StocksXray is for education only and is not financial advice. Scores and fair values are model estimates from public filings and carry uncertainty.