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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Keycorp (KEY)

Financials · Regional Banks · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$19.99
52-week range$15.82 – $23.84
Market cap$21.6B
P/E (trailing)10.8×
Dividend yield4.1%
Revenue (last 12 months)$7.8B
Revenue growth (3y a year)1.1%
Price / book1.1×
Return on equity10.3%

Fair value

Blended fair value$23.05 book-value models
Versus priceFair+15% to fair value
Excess-return model (banks, insurers)$19.14
Price / book vs return on equity$28.92
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

53/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 63% of sector peers
Valuation70
Growth27
Profitability36
Financial health77
Dividends58

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

6.4411.0115.5920.1724.74Fair value $232021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

KeyCorp is a regional bank holding company whose main subsidiary, KeyBank, provides consumer and commercial banking services, mostly in the northern and western United States. It takes deposits, makes business and consumer loans, and offers investment banking, wealth management and payments services. Net interest income, the gap between loan interest and deposit costs, is its largest source of revenue, supplemented by fee income.

Shareholders receive a dividend, yielding 4.1%. Looking at the numbers, trailing revenue is $7.8 billion, and it grew 1.1% a year over the past three years. Operating margin is 32.7%, while return on invested capital is 12%.

StocksXray gives Keycorp an X-Ray Score of 53 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 63% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is financial health (77) and its weakest is growth (27).

Our fair value blend is $23.05. At $19.99 the stock trades 13% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Keycorp (KEY)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$18.28$14.32$12.67$15.88$20.05$19.99
Market cap$17.5B$13.4B$11.8B$15.1B$22.2B$21.6B
P/E7.0×7.4×14.4×–13.2×10.8×
Price / book1.0×1.0×0.8×0.8×1.1×1.1×
Dividend yield4.10%5.52%6.47%5.16%4.09%4.10%

Fundamentals checklist ● 2 Good · ● 2 Average · ● 3 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Risk models

Piotroski F-Score8 of 9Good

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−7.7%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)1.1%Bad
Growth consistency60%Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.2×Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital12.2%Average
Operating margin32.7%Average

Red flags

  • Heavy dilution — Share count up more than 5% year on year
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Keycorp (KEY)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue7,2927,2726,4134,6197,5137,817
Net income2,6251,917967-1611,8292,030
Diluted EPS ($)2.631.930.88-0.321.521.85
Net margin36.0%26.4%15.1%−3.5%24.3%26.0%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets186,346189,813188,281187,168184,381191,317
Cash9138879411,7431,2871,711
Total debt12,04219,30719,55412,1059,91710,967
Equity17,42313,45414,63718,17620,38119,798
Dividend per share ($)0.750.790.820.820.820.82

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

-7%22%52%81%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)1,7731,8401,8952,0051,9531,964
Growth vs a year earlier+15.7%+20.6%+172.7%+131.8%+10.2%+6.7%
Net income ($M)405425489510522509
Diluted EPS ($)0.330.350.41–0.440.44
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Keycorp (KEY)

Peers in Regional Banks

CompanyX-Ray
KEY · Keycorp53
MTB · M&T Bank Corp62
RF · Regions Financial Corp57
HBAN · Huntington Bancshares Inc46
CFG · Citizens Financial Group I...45

Market Compass outlook for Financials: Favourable (72/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+0.1%
1 month−4.6%
3 months−13.5%
6 months−6.5%
1 year+17.4%
3 years+118.9%
5 years+11.1%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 4 neutral · 12 bearish
WeeklyBearish3 bullish · 1 neutral · 8 bearish
MonthlyBullish5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$21.21 / $21.24
52-week low / high$15.82 / $23.84
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 19.60 · S1 19.79 · P – · R1 20.31 · R2 20.64

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
1 Sep 2026$0.2050
2 Jun 2026$0.2050
3 Mar 2026$0.2050
2 Dec 2025$0.2050
2 Sep 2025$0.2050
27 May 2025$0.2050
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Keycorp (KEY)

Strengths

  • Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Financials peers (−7.7%).
  • Revenue growth (3y) is weak against Financials peers (1.1%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Financials peers (60%).
  • Red flag: Heavy dilution (Share count up more than 5% year on year).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
25 Sep 20268-K7.01,9.01
14 Sep 20268-K7.01,9.01
14 Aug 20268-K8.01,9.01
4 Aug 202610-Q
21 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
10 Jun 20268-K8.01,9.01
10 Jun 2026424B5
3 Jun 20268-K8.01,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026