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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP)

Information Technology · Semiconductors · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$73.85
52-week range$47.28 – $104.75
Market cap$40.7B
P/E (trailing)84.4×
EV / EBITDA31.1×
Free-cash-flow yield2.7%
Dividend yield2.5%
Revenue (last 12 months)$5.1B
Revenue growth (3y a year)−17.6%
Operating margin15.5%
Return on invested capital5.7%
Net debt / EBITDA3.5×

Fair value

Blended fair value$35.72 range $26 – $36
Versus priceOvervalued−52% to fair value
Peer multiples$45.71
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$25.72
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$6.70
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$4.86
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

27/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 3% of sector peers
Valuation30
Growth6
Profitability26
Financial health29
Dividends60

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

21.4842.7864.0785.37107Fair value $362021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Microchip Technology designs and makes microcontrollers, analog and mixed-signal chips, programmable logic devices, memory products and related development tools. Its chips are embedded in equipment that needs simple control and connectivity, such as industrial machines, vehicles, aerospace and defense systems, consumer devices and data centre gear. Customers are electronics makers of all sizes, which it reaches through direct sales and distributors. It also earns income from technology licensing.

Revenue came to $5.1 billion over the last twelve months, earned by supplying chips and development tools to equipment makers. Revenue has changed at -17.6% a year across the last three years, a steep decline. The operating margin is 15.5%, the business earns 6% on the capital invested in it, and net debt is 3.5 times EBITDA. The dividend yield is 2.5%.

StocksXray gives Microchip Technology Inc an X-Ray Score of 27 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 3% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is dividends (60) and its weakest is growth (6).

Our fair value blend is $35.72 (range $26.05 to $35.72). At $73.85 the stock trades 107% above that blend, so the label is "Overvalued" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Now
Price$67.80$76.90$84.06$46.49$63.90$73.85
Market cap$38.4B$42.9B$46.1B$25.0B$34.8B$40.7B
P/E29.9×19.1×24.2×–290.5×84.4×
EV / revenue6.7×5.8×6.8×6.8×8.5×8.9×
EV / EBITDA15.3×11.9×15.0×28.5×34.0×31.1×
Price / free cash flow15.5×13.7×17.7×32.4×40.0×36.6×
Free-cash-flow yield6.4%7.3%5.7%3.1%2.5%2.7%
Price / book6.5×6.6×6.9×3.5×5.4×6.3×
Dividend yield1.34%1.64%2.00%3.91%2.85%2.46%

Fundamentals checklist ● 0 Good · ● 6 Average · ● 10 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−5.0%Average
Free-cash-flow yield2.7%Average

Risk models

Altman Z score2.9×Average
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−62.0%Bad
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)−34.7%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)−17.6%Bad
Growth consistency30%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.9×Average
Net debt / EBITDA3.5×Bad
Interest cover3.7×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.5×Bad
EBIT / EV yield1.7%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital5.7%Bad
Operating margin15.5%Average
Gross profitability21.4%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Revenue6,8218,4397,6344,4024,7135,122
Gross profit4,4505,6984,9962,4682,7213,083
Operating income1,8503,1162,571296490795
Net income1,2862,2381,907-1230478
Diluted EPS ($)2.274.023.48-0.010.220.88
Free cash flow2,4733,1352,6087728711,111
Gross margin65.2%67.5%65.4%56.1%57.7%60.2%
Operating margin27.1%36.9%33.7%6.7%10.4%15.5%
Net margin18.8%26.5%25.0%−0.0%4.9%9.3%
Balance sheetFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Total assets16,20016,37015,87315,37514,37014,407
Cash317234320772240272
Total debt7,6876,4406,0005,6305,4965,361
Equity5,8956,5146,6587,0786,4326,451
Dividend per share ($)0.911.261.681.821.821.82

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

-0%22%45%68%FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)9711,0761,1401,1861,3111,485
Growth vs a year earlier−26.8%−13.4%−2.0%+15.6%+35.1%+38.0%
Net income ($M)-155-194263144230
Diluted EPS ($)–-0.090.030.06–0.37
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP)

Peers in Semiconductors

CompanyX-Ray
MCHP · Microchip Technology Inc27
MU · Micron Technology Inc77
FSLR · First Solar, Inc.67
NVDA · Nvidia Corp65
QCOM · Qualcomm Inc57

Market Compass outlook for Information Technology: Favourable (75/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−2.3%
1 month+4.3%
3 months−7.7%
6 months−5.2%
1 year+16.2%
3 years−1.9%
5 years+12.7%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 4 neutral · 12 bearish
WeeklyBearish3 bullish · 1 neutral · 8 bearish
MonthlyBullish5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$75.65 / $78.78
52-week low / high$47.28 / $104.75
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 70.26 · S1 72.06 · P – · R1 76.23 · R2 78.60

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
24 Aug 2026$0.4550
22 May 2026$0.4550
23 Feb 2026$0.4550
24 Nov 2025$0.4550
22 Aug 2025$0.4550
22 May 2025$0.4550
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP)

Strengths

  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Information Technology peers (−62.0%).
  • Free-cash-flow growth (3y) is weak against Information Technology peers (−34.7%).
  • Revenue growth (3y) is weak against Information Technology peers (−17.6%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Information Technology peers (30%).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Information Technology peers (3.5×).
  • Interest cover is weak against Information Technology peers (3.7×).
  • Fair value vs price is weak against Information Technology peers (0.5×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Information Technology peers (1.7%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
19 Aug 20268-K5.02,5.07,9.01
6 Aug 202610-Q
6 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
24 Jul 20268-K5.02
6 Jul 2026DEF 14A
1 Jun 20268-K5.02
21 May 202610-K
7 May 20268-K2.02,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026