S&P 5007,659▼ 1.09%Nasdaq26,140▼ 2.15%Dow Jones52,002▼ 0.34%Nasdaq 10029,188▼ 2.50%VIX19.99▲ 21.45%US Dollar101.84▼ 0.21%Gold (GLD)382.01▼ 0.18%Oil (USO)161.76▲ 2.83%
Home › NKE › Research report
← NKE page
XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

NIKE, Inc. (NKE)

Consumer Discretionary · Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$37.13
52-week range$31.97 – $68.19
Market cap$55.1B
P/E (trailing)17.8×
EV / EBITDA12.1×
Free-cash-flow yield3.8%
Dividend yield4.4%
Revenue (last 12 months)$45.9B
Revenue growth (3y a year)−3.2%
Operating margin8.5%
Return on invested capital19.1%
Net debt / EBITDA0.2×

Fair value

Blended fair value$50.44 range $48 – $52
Versus priceFair+36% to fair value
Peer multiples$41.99
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$60.43
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$48.89
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$32.20
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

42/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 21% of sector peers
Valuation52
Growth12
Profitability36
Financial health59
Dividends58

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

26.1962.0497.90134170Fair value $502021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Nike designs, develops and markets athletic footwear, apparel, equipment and accessories. Its brands include Nike, Jordan and Converse, and its products serve runners, basketball players, footballers and everyday customers. Goods reach shoppers through Nike-owned stores, its websites and apps, and wholesale partners such as sporting goods chains, department stores and independent retailers, with manufacturing carried out by contract factories around the world.

Nike earns revenue from products supplied through its direct channels and through wholesale customers, and from licensing arrangements. Revenue for the last twelve months was $45.9 billion, though revenue growth over the last three years was -3.2% a year, a decline. The operating margin is 8.5%, and the business earns a profit of 19% on the capital invested in it. It carries net debt of 0.2 times EBITDA. The company pays a dividend with a yield of 4.4%.

StocksXray gives NIKE, Inc. an X-Ray Score of 42 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 21% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is financial health (59) and its weakest is growth (12).

Our fair value blend is $50.44 (range $48.41 to $52.38). At $37.13 the stock trades 26% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
NIKE, Inc. (NKE)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Now
Price$108.85$97.50$89.24$57.96$45.34$37.13
Market cap$175.3B$153.1B$136.5B$86.2B$67.1B$55.1B
P/E29.0×30.2×23.9×26.8×21.6×17.8×
EV / revenue3.8×3.0×2.6×1.9×1.5×1.2×
EV / EBITDA26.5×22.4×18.1×18.6×14.5×12.1×
Price / free cash flow39.6×31.4×20.6×26.4×30.7×26.2×
Free-cash-flow yield2.5%3.2%4.8%3.8%3.3%3.8%
Price / book11.5×10.9×9.5×6.5×4.5×3.6×
Dividend yield1.09%1.36%1.62%2.71%3.60%4.42%

Fundamentals checklist ● 4 Good · ● 5 Average · ● 7 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash0.8%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield3.8%Average

Risk models

Altman Z score3.5×Average
Piotroski F-Score5 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−13.4%Bad
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)−23.5%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)−3.2%Bad
Growth consistency30%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio2.1×Good
Net debt / EBITDA0.2×Good
Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.4×Average
EBIT / EV yield7.0%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital19.1%Average
Operating margin8.5%Bad
Gross profitability52.3%Average

Red flags

  • Dividend may be at risk — Dividends exceed free cash flow
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
NIKE, Inc. (NKE)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Revenue46,71051,21751,36246,30946,39845,891
Gross profit21,47922,29222,88719,79019,91119,766
Operating income6,6516,2016,7003,8853,9003,899
Net income6,0465,0705,7003,2193,1083,093
Diluted EPS ($)3.753.233.732.162.102.09
Free cash flow4,4304,8726,6173,2682,1842,105
Gross margin46.0%43.5%44.6%42.7%42.9%43.1%
Operating margin14.2%12.1%13.0%8.4%8.4%8.5%
Net margin12.9%9.9%11.1%7.0%6.7%6.7%
Balance sheetFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Total assets40,32137,53138,11036,57938,41037,794
Cash8,5747,4419,8607,4647,5636,903
Total debt9,4308,9338,9097,9667,9427,893
Equity15,28114,00414,43013,21314,86515,220
Dividend per share ($)1.191.331.451.571.631.64

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%15%31%46%FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Latest quarters

May 2025Aug 2025Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026
Revenue ($M)11,09711,72012,42711,27910,97211,213
Growth vs a year earlier−12.0%+1.1%+0.6%+0.1%−1.1%−4.3%
Net income ($M)2117277925201,069712
Diluted EPS ($)–0.490.530.35–0.48
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
NIKE, Inc. (NKE)

Peers in Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods

CompanyX-Ray
NKE · NIKE, Inc.42
LULU · lululemon athletica inc.77
TPR · Tapestry, Inc.61
RL · Ralph Lauren Corp61

Market Compass outlook for Consumer Discretionary: Neutral (53/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+7.0%
1 month+2.1%
3 months−13.7%
6 months−17.7%
1 year−44.0%
3 years−59.6%
5 years−73.3%

Technical summary

DailyBearish5 bullish · 1 neutral · 10 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 1 neutral · 11 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bearish1 bullish · 0 neutral · 7 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$37.40 / $46.64
52-week low / high$31.97 / $68.19
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 36.34 · S1 36.74 · P – · R1 37.70 · R2 38.26

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
1 Sep 2026$0.4100
1 Jun 2026$0.4100
2 Mar 2026$0.4100
1 Dec 2025$0.4100
2 Sep 2025$0.4000
2 Jun 2025$0.4000
stocksxray.com · page 4
XStocksXray
NIKE, Inc. (NKE)

Strengths

  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 76% of its sector peers.
  • Net debt is only 0.2× EBITDA, ahead of 74% of its sector peers.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (0.8%).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (5 of 9).
  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−13.4%).
  • Free-cash-flow growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−23.5%).
  • Revenue growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−3.2%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (30%).
  • Operating margin is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (8.5%).
  • Red flag: Dividend may be at risk (Dividends exceed free cash flow).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
2 Oct 202610-Q
1 Oct 20268-K2.02,2.05,9.01
16 Sep 20268-K5.02,7.01,9.01
10 Sep 20268-K5.02,5.07,9.01
10 Aug 20268-K5.02
15 Jul 2026DEF 14A
15 Jul 202610-K
30 Jun 20268-K2.02,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026