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Research report · 16 October 2026

Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

Information Technology · Semiconductors · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$214.13
52-week range$163.90 – $243.37
Market cap$5.20T
P/E (trailing)27.1×
EV / EBITDA25.9×
Free-cash-flow yield2.4%
Dividend yield0.2%
Revenue (last 12 months)$303.0B
Revenue growth (3y a year)100.0%
Operating margin65.2%
Return on invested capital67.6%
Net debt / EBITDA0.1×

Fair value

Blended fair value$162.34 range $148 – $178
Versus priceFair−24% to fair value
Peer multiples$142.74
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$172.96
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$171.31
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$36.34
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

65/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 89% of sector peers
Valuation47
Growth93
Profitability61
Financial health66
Dividends68

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

-2.4961.36125189253Fair value $1622021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Nvidia designs graphics processors and related software and systems. Its chips are used for gaming, professional visualization, automotive systems and, above all, accelerated computing and artificial intelligence in data centers. It does not run its own factories, relying on outside manufacturers. Revenue comes from selling chips, boards, networking equipment and software platforms to cloud providers, businesses and consumers.

Over the last twelve months Nvidia Corp reported revenue of $303.0 billion. Over three years revenue has grown by 100.0% a year. The operating margin is 65.2%. Return on invested capital is 68%. Net debt to EBITDA is 0.1 times. It pays a dividend with a yield of 0.2%. Return on invested capital describes how much profit the business earns relative to the money put into it.

StocksXray gives Nvidia Corp an X-Ray Score of 65 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 89% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is growth (93) and its weakest is valuation (47).

Our fair value blend is $162.34 (range $148.04 to $178.07). At $214.13 the stock trades 32% above that blend, so the label is "Fair" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Now
Price$22.74$20.30$60.85$142.25$187.23$214.13
Market cap$57.6B$508.9B$1.52T$3.53T$4.59T$5.20T
P/E5.9×119.4×51.1×48.4×38.2×27.1×
EV / revenue1.8×18.8×24.6×26.8×21.2×17.2×
EV / EBITDA4.2×87.8×43.5×41.9×34.4×25.9×
Price / free cash flow7.1×133.6×56.2×58.0×47.5×40.9×
Free-cash-flow yield14.1%0.7%1.8%1.7%2.1%2.4%
Price / book2.2×23.0×35.3×44.5×29.2×22.7×
Dividend yield0.70%0.08%0.03%0.02%0.02%0.24%

Fundamentals checklist ● 11 Good · ● 3 Average · ● 2 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash18.3%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield2.4%Average

Risk models

Altman Z score12.2×Good
Piotroski F-Score4 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)206.6%Good
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)193.9%Good
Revenue growth (3y)100.0%Good
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio4.6×Good
Net debt / EBITDA0.1×Good
Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.8×Average
EBIT / EV yield3.8%Average

Profitability

Return on invested capital67.6%Good
Operating margin65.2%Good
Gross profitability70.6%Good

Red flags

  • Borderline Beneish M-score — M-score -1.16 is mostly explained by fast sales growth. With growth held neutral it is -1.74, just above the -1.78 threshold, and fewer than two other warning components are elevated. A note, not a finding.
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Revenue26,91426,97460,922130,497215,938302,969
Gross profit17,47515,35644,30197,858153,463226,241
Operating income10,0414,22432,97281,453130,387197,579
Net income9,7524,36829,76072,880120,067192,879
Diluted EPS ($)3.850.171.192.944.907.90
Free cash flow8,1323,80827,02160,85396,676127,006
Gross margin64.9%56.9%72.7%75.0%71.1%74.7%
Operating margin37.3%15.7%54.1%62.4%60.4%65.2%
Net margin36.2%16.2%48.8%55.8%55.6%63.7%
Balance sheetFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Total assets44,18741,18265,728111,601206,803320,272
Cash1,9903,3897,2808,58910,60522,443
Total debt10,94610,9539,7098,4638,46833,366
Equity26,61222,10142,97879,327157,293228,984
Dividend per share ($)0.160.020.020.030.040.28

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%25%50%75%FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Latest quarters

Apr 2025Jul 2025Oct 2025Jan 2026Apr 2026Jul 2026
Revenue ($M)44,06246,74357,00668,12781,61596,221
Growth vs a year earlier+69.2%+55.6%+62.5%+73.2%+85.2%+105.9%
Net income ($M)18,77526,42231,91042,96058,32159,688
Diluted EPS ($)0.761.081.30–2.392.46
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

Peers in Semiconductors

CompanyX-Ray
NVDA · Nvidia Corp65
MU · Micron Technology Inc77
FSLR · First Solar, Inc.67
QCOM · Qualcomm Inc57
MPWR · Monolithic Power Systems,...55

Market Compass outlook for Information Technology: Favourable (75/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−6.6%
1 month−2.4%
3 months+5.5%
6 months+6.4%
1 year+19.4%
3 years+358.8%
5 years+932.4%

Technical summary

DailyBearish5 bullish · 1 neutral · 10 bearish
WeeklyBullish8 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$222.96 / $202.66
52-week low / high$163.90 / $243.37
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 210.02 · S1 212.07 · P – · R1 217.43 · R2 220.73

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
10 Sep 2026$0.2500
4 Jun 2026$0.2500
11 Mar 2026$0.0100
4 Dec 2025$0.0100
11 Sep 2025$0.0100
11 Jun 2025$0.0100
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Nvidia Corp (NVDA)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 67.6% is ahead of 88% of its sector peers.
  • Operating margin of 65.2% is ahead of 97% of its sector peers.
  • Revenue growth of 100.0% a year over three years is ahead of 98% of its sector peers.
  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 98% of its sector peers.
  • Net debt is only 0.1× EBITDA, ahead of 70% of its sector peers.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Information Technology peers (18.3%).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Information Technology peers (4 of 9).
  • Red flag: Borderline Beneish M-score (M-score -1.16 is mostly explained by fast sales growth. With growth held neutral it is -1.74, just above the -1.78 threshold, and fewer than two other warning components are elevated. A note, not a finding.).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
3 Sep 20268-K8.01
26 Aug 202610-Q
26 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
17 Aug 20268-K1.01,2.03,7.01
2 Jul 20268-K5.02
30 Jun 20268-K5.07
18 Jun 20268-K8.01,9.01
17 Jun 2026424B5

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026