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Research report · 16 October 2026

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI)

Information Technology · Semiconductors · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$229.33
52-week range$179.82 – $337.28
Market cap$58.1B
P/E (trailing)22.0×
EV / EBITDA14.7×
Free-cash-flow yield4.7%
Dividend yield1.8%
Revenue (last 12 months)$12.6B
Revenue growth (3y a year)−2.4%
Operating margin30.4%
Return on invested capital14.7%
Net debt / EBITDA2.2×

Fair value

Blended fair value$169.20 range $164 – $175
Versus priceOvervalued−26% to fair value
Peer multiples$241.82
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$176.96
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$88.81
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$32.67
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

40/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 24% of sector peers
Valuation62
Growth9
Profitability48
Financial health26
Dividends57

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

116173229286342Fair value $1692021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

NXP Semiconductors is a Netherlands-based chip designer that makes microcontrollers, processors, secure connectivity and sensing products. Automotive is its main market, with chips for car electronics, radar and in-vehicle networking, alongside industrial and Internet of Things, mobile, and communications infrastructure uses. Customers are car makers and their suppliers, along with electronics manufacturers.

Revenue comes from supplying chips under design wins that can last through long product cycles. It totals $12.6 billion over the last twelve months, and revenue growth over three years is -2.4% a year. The operating margin is 30.4%, and the business earns a profit of 15% on the capital invested in it. NXP carries net debt of 2.2 times EBITDA, and the dividend yield is 1.8%.

StocksXray gives NXP Semiconductors N.V. an X-Ray Score of 40 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 24% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (62) and its weakest is growth (9).

Our fair value blend is $169.20 (range $163.83 to $174.56). At $229.33 the stock trades 36% above that blend, so the label is "Overvalued" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$208.31$147.45$218.81$201.37$214.25$229.33
Market cap$57.4B$38.9B$57.2B$51.9B$54.5B$58.1B
P/E30.7×14.0×20.4×20.7×26.9×22.0×
EV / revenue5.9×3.5×4.9×4.9×5.4×5.4×
EV / EBITDA17.0×9.2×13.6×14.2×17.0×14.8×
Price / free cash flow24.9×13.7×21.3×25.3×22.5×21.4×
Free-cash-flow yield4.0%7.3%4.7%4.0%4.4%4.7%
Price / book8.8×5.2×6.6×5.7×5.4×5.3×
Dividend yield1.08%2.29%1.85%2.01%1.89%1.77%

Fundamentals checklist ● 3 Good · ● 5 Average · ● 8 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−1.5%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield4.7%Average

Risk models

Altman Z score2.7×Average
Piotroski F-Score4 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−9.0%Bad
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)−5.1%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)−2.4%Bad
Growth consistency40%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio2.2×Good
Net debt / EBITDA2.2×Bad
Interest cover8.1×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.7×Average
EBIT / EV yield5.6%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital14.7%Average
Operating margin30.4%Good
Gross profitability25.6%Average
stocksxray.com · page 2
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NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue11,06313,20513,27612,61412,26912,615
Gross profit6,0677,5177,5537,1196,7166,944
Operating income2,5833,7973,6613,4173,0473,829
Net income1,8712,7872,7972,5102,0212,653
Diluted EPS ($)6.7910.5510.709.737.9510.44
Free cash flow2,3102,8322,6862,0552,4232,711
Gross margin54.8%56.9%56.9%56.4%54.7%55.0%
Operating margin23.3%28.8%27.6%27.1%24.8%30.4%
Net margin16.9%21.1%21.1%19.9%16.5%21.0%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets20,86423,23624,35324,38526,56027,113
Cash2,8303,8453,8623,2923,2673,708
Total debt10,57211,16511,17512,85414,22213,724
Equity6,5287,4498,6449,18310,05610,927
Dividend per share ($)2.253.384.064.064.06–

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%19%38%57%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Dec 2024Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026
Revenue ($M)3,1112,8352,9263,1733,3353,181
Growth vs a year earlier−9.1%−9.3%−6.4%−2.4%+7.2%+12.2%
Net income ($M)4954904456314551,122
Diluted EPS ($)–1.921.752.48–4.43
stocksxray.com · page 3
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NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI)

Peers in Semiconductors

CompanyX-Ray
NXPI · NXP Semiconductors N.V.40
MU · Micron Technology Inc77
FSLR · First Solar, Inc.67
NVDA · Nvidia Corp65
QCOM · Qualcomm Inc57

Market Compass outlook for Information Technology: Favourable (75/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+0.8%
1 month+0.6%
3 months−13.8%
6 months+7.0%
1 year+7.4%
3 years+18.9%
5 years+32.1%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 4 neutral · 12 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 9 bearish
MonthlyNeutral4 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$229.63 / $244.24
52-week low / high$179.82 / $337.28
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 221.13 · S1 225.23 · P – · R1 234.50 · R2 239.66

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
16 Sep 2026$1.0140
24 Jun 2026$1.0140
25 Mar 2026$1.0140
10 Dec 2025$1.0140
17 Sep 2025$1.0140
25 Jun 2025$1.0140
stocksxray.com · page 4
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NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI)

Strengths

  • Operating margin of 30.4% is ahead of 70% of its sector peers.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Information Technology peers (−1.5%).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Information Technology peers (4 of 9).
  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Information Technology peers (−9.0%).
  • Free-cash-flow growth (3y) is weak against Information Technology peers (−5.1%).
  • Revenue growth (3y) is weak against Information Technology peers (−2.4%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Information Technology peers (40%).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Information Technology peers (2.2×).
  • Interest cover is weak against Information Technology peers (8.1×).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
2 Sep 20268-K1.01,2.03,9.01
28 Aug 20268-K8.01
28 Jul 202610-Q
28 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
11 Jun 20268-K5.07,8.01
28 Apr 202610-Q
28 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01
27 Apr 2026DEF 14A

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026