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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Paccar Inc (PCAR)

Industrials · Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$110.82
52-week range$90.95 – $138.87
Market cap$58.5B
P/E (trailing)23.3×
EV / EBITDA15.3×
Free-cash-flow yield6.3%
Dividend yield2.5%
Revenue (last 12 months)$27.8B
Revenue growth (3y a year)−0.4%
Operating margin11.5%
Return on invested capital12.3%
Net debt / EBITDA–

Fair value

Blended fair value$141.92 range $136 – $149
Versus priceFair+28% to fair value
Peer multiples$143.58
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$148.74
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$133.42
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$58.00
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

43/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 21% of sector peers
Valuation74
Growth16
Profitability34
Financial health32
Dividends59

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

38.9168.0697.22126156Fair value $1422021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Paccar designs and manufactures heavy- and medium-duty commercial trucks marketed under the Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF names. It also makes engines and supplies aftermarket parts through its parts distribution business, and its financial services arm provides loans and leases to customers and dealers. Truck operators, fleets and owner-drivers in North America, Europe and other regions are its main customers, and trucks reach them through independent dealers.

Paccar earns revenue from truck and engine shipments, from parts, and from interest and fees on financing. Revenue over the last twelve months was $27.8 billion, though revenue growth over the last three years was -0.4% a year, a small decline. The operating margin is 11.5%, and the business earns a profit of 12% on the capital invested in it. A dividend is paid, with a yield of 2.5%.

StocksXray gives Paccar Inc an X-Ray Score of 43 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 21% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (74) and its weakest is growth (16).

Our fair value blend is $141.92 (range $135.92 to $149.27). At $110.82 the stock trades 22% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
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Paccar Inc (PCAR)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$50.02$58.52$90.72$100.53$108.60$110.82
Market cap$26.1B$30.6B$47.6B$52.9B$57.2B$58.5B
P/E14.0×10.2×10.4×12.7×24.1×23.3×
EV / revenue1.1×1.1×1.4×1.6×2.0×2.1×
EV / EBITDA9.8×7.3×7.8×9.1×16.7×15.3×
Price / free cash flow16.1×12.2×13.6×13.9×15.6×15.8×
Free-cash-flow yield6.2%8.2%7.3%7.2%6.4%6.3%
Price / book2.3×2.3×3.0×3.0×3.0×2.9×
Dividend yield–4.78%4.67%4.15%2.50%2.49%

Fundamentals checklist ● 4 Good · ● 3 Average · ● 6 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−4.2%Average
Free-cash-flow yield6.3%Good

Risk models

Piotroski F-Score4 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−7.8%Bad
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)13.7%Average
Revenue growth (3y)−0.4%Bad
Growth consistency20%Bad

Balance sheet

Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.3×Good
EBIT / EV yield5.5%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital12.3%Bad
Operating margin11.5%Average
Gross profitability12.6%Bad
stocksxray.com · page 2
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Paccar Inc (PCAR)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue23,52228,82035,12733,66428,44527,816
Gross profit–5,5298,2337,5945,7085,560
Operating income2,3963,8495,7185,4013,0243,206
Net income1,8663,0124,6014,1622,3762,504
Diluted EPS ($)3.575.758.767.904.514.75
Free cash flow1,6282,5023,4953,8023,6733,696
Gross margin–19.2%23.4%22.6%20.1%20.0%
Operating margin10.2%13.4%16.3%16.0%10.6%11.5%
Net margin7.9%10.4%13.1%12.4%8.4%9.0%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets29,50933,27640,82343,41944,33643,980
Cash––––––
Total debt––––––
Equity11,59413,16715,87917,50719,26420,321
Dividend per share ($)–2.804.244.172.722.74

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%8%16%23%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)7,4427,5116,6726,8216,7777,547
Growth vs a year earlier−14.9%−14.4%−19.0%−13.7%−8.9%+0.5%
Net income ($M)505724590557605752
Diluted EPS ($)0.961.371.12–1.151.43
stocksxray.com · page 3
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Paccar Inc (PCAR)

Peers in Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment

CompanyX-Ray
PCAR · Paccar Inc43
CMI · Cummins Inc55
CAT · Caterpillar Inc45
WAB · Westinghouse Air Brake Tec...40

Market Compass outlook for Industrials: Neutral (45/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+2.6%
1 month−5.6%
3 months−10.6%
6 months−11.7%
1 year+19.2%
3 years+42.7%
5 years+135.6%

Technical summary

DailyBearish4 bullish · 4 neutral · 8 bearish
WeeklyBearish3 bullish · 1 neutral · 8 bearish
MonthlyBullish5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$119.69 / $120.15
52-week low / high$90.95 / $138.87
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 109.17 · S1 110.00 · P – · R1 112.18 · R2 113.53

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
10 Nov 2026$0.3500
12 Aug 2026$0.3500
13 May 2026$0.3500
11 Feb 2026$0.3300
19 Dec 2025$1.4000
12 Nov 2025$0.3300
stocksxray.com · page 4
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Paccar Inc (PCAR)

Strengths

  • Free-cash-flow yield of 6.3% is ahead of 85% of its sector peers.
  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 76% of its sector peers.

Risks and weak spots

  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Industrials peers (4 of 9).
  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Industrials peers (−7.8%).
  • Revenue growth (3y) is weak against Industrials peers (−0.4%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Industrials peers (20%).
  • Return on invested capital is weak against Industrials peers (12.3%).
  • Gross profitability is weak against Industrials peers (12.6%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
29 Jul 202610-Q
28 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
1 May 20268-K5.02,5.07
29 Apr 202610-Q
28 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01
18 Mar 2026DEF 14A
18 Feb 202610-K
27 Jan 20268-K2.02,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026