S&P 5007,659▼ 1.09%Nasdaq26,140▼ 2.15%Dow Jones52,002▼ 0.34%Nasdaq 10029,188▼ 2.50%VIX19.99▲ 21.45%US Dollar101.84▼ 0.21%Gold (GLD)382.01▼ 0.18%Oil (USO)161.76▲ 2.83%
Home › TKO › Research report
← TKO page
XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO)

Communication Services · Movies & Entertainment · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$175.50
52-week range$170.92 – $224.23
Market cap$13.3B
P/E (trailing)126.8×
EV / EBITDA11.4×
Free-cash-flow yield13.5%
Dividend yield1.8%
Revenue (last 12 months)$5.3B
Revenue growth (3y a year)21.0%
Operating margin18.8%
Return on invested capital11.8%
Net debt / EBITDA2.6×

Fair value

Blended fair value$159.22 range $159 – $218
Versus priceFair−9% to fair value
Peer multiples$119.19
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$199.24
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$606.64
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$75.88
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

45/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 22% of sector peers
Valuation46
Growth46
Profitability54
Financial health38
Dividends27

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

33.5583.40133183233Fair value $1592021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

TKO Group Holdings is a live sports and entertainment company that owns UFC, the mixed martial arts organisation, and WWE, the professional wrestling business. It also owns Professional Bull Riders. Its customers are broadcasters and streaming platforms that pay for media rights, sponsors, and fans who attend events or purchase licensed merchandise.

Revenue comes from media rights deals with broadcasters and streaming services, ticket sales, sponsorships, and consumer products and licensing. The last twelve months brought in $5.3 billion, and growth over the last three years was 21.0% a year. The operating margin is 18.8%, and the business earns a profit of 12% on the capital invested in it. It carries net debt of 2.6 times EBITDA. A dividend is paid, with a yield of 1.8%.

StocksXray gives TKO Group Holdings, Inc. an X-Ray Score of 45 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 22% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is profitability (54) and its weakest is dividends (27).

Our fair value blend is $159.22 (range $159.22 to $217.75). At $175.50 the stock trades 10% above that blend, so the label is "Fair" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$45.91$64.22$79.60$138.67$206.51$175.50
Market cap––$6.6B$23.8B$40.1B$13.3B
P/E–––6,933.5×91.4×126.8×
EV / revenue––2.8×5.3×9.1×3.3×
EV / EBITDA––15.0×53.1×32.6×11.4×
Price / free cash flow––24.8×40.7×31.2×7.4×
Free-cash-flow yield––4.0%2.5%3.2%13.5%
Price / book––1.6×5.8×10.7×3.9×
Dividend yield––4.85%––1.79%

Fundamentals checklist ● 2 Good · ● 9 Average · ● 1 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−9.6%Good

Risk models

Altman Z score0.9×Bad
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

Revenue growth (3y)21.0%Good
Growth consistency80%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.3×Average
Net debt / EBITDA2.6×Average
Interest cover4.1×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.9×Average
EBIT / EV yield5.7%Average

Profitability

Return on invested capital11.8%Average
Operating margin18.8%Average

Red flags

  • Heavy dilution — Share count up more than 5% year on year
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue1,0322,6743,2254,8844,7355,302
Gross profit––––––
Operating income39153337631835998
Net income27401766546230
Diluted EPS ($)––-0.430.022.261.38
Free cash flow4413952665861,2861,795
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin37.9%19.9%11.7%0.6%17.6%18.8%
Net margin26.5%0.0%5.4%0.1%11.5%4.3%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets–5,85915,39115,11215,49616,264
Cash1,032305361620831592
Total debt–2,7622,7392,7623,7624,629
Equity2,5131,9564,1094,0913,7373,396
Dividend per share ($)––3.86–––

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%13%25%38%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)1,2691,3081,1201,0381,5971,547
Growth vs a year earlier+3.8%+9.7%−27.3%+11.9%+25.9%+18.2%
Net income ($M)589841-289102
Diluted EPS ($)0.691.170.47-0.081.121.34
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO)

Peers in Movies & Entertainment

CompanyX-Ray
TKO · TKO Group Holdings, Inc.45
NFLX · Netflix Inc58
DIS · Walt Disney Co55
LYV · Live Nation Entertainment,...41

Market Compass outlook for Communication Services: Favourable (76/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−1.4%
1 month−7.3%
3 months−3.6%
6 months−5.0%
1 year−6.8%
3 years+124.2%
5 years+221.5%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 4 neutral · 12 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 9 bearish
MonthlyBearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$186.19 / $193.36
52-week low / high$170.92 / $224.23
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 172.67 · S1 174.09 · P – · R1 177.26 · R2 179.01

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
15 Sep 2026$0.7900
15 Jun 2026$0.7900
16 Mar 2026$0.7800
15 Dec 2025$0.7800
15 Sep 2025$0.7600
13 Jun 2025$0.3800
stocksxray.com · page 4
XStocksXray
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO)

Strengths

  • Revenue growth of 21.0% a year over three years is ahead of 86% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Altman Z score is weak against Communication Services peers (0.9×).
  • The Altman Z score of 0.9× is in the distress zone.
  • Red flag: Heavy dilution (Share count up more than 5% year on year).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
3 Aug 202610-Q
3 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
12 Jun 20268-K5.07
12 May 20268-K8.01
6 May 202610-Q
6 May 20268-K2.02,9.01
23 Apr 2026DEF 14A
10 Mar 20268-K1.01,2.03,8.01,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026