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XStocksXray
Research report · 16 October 2026

Twilio Inc (TWLO)

Information Technology · Systems Software · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$244.37
52-week range$104.50 – $308.40
Market cap$39.0B
P/E (trailing)33.8×
EV / EBITDA83.1×
Free-cash-flow yield2.7%
Dividend yield–
Revenue (last 12 months)$5.6B
Revenue growth (3y a year)9.8%
Operating margin5.2%
Return on invested capital3.6%
Net debt / EBITDA-3.7×

Fair value

Blended fair value$123.03 range $120 – $126
Versus priceData under review+0% to fair value
Peer multiples$153.92
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$149.39
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$65.76
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)n/m
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

39/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 16% of sector peers
Valuation22
Growth59
Profitability13
Financial health70
Dividends–

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

23.15115206297389Fair value $1232021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Twilio provides a cloud communications platform that lets developers add messaging, voice, video and email to their applications through software interfaces. It also owns Segment, a customer data platform, and SendGrid, an email service. Customers range from start-ups to large enterprises and software companies that use Twilio to contact their own customers. The business is organised around communications and data and applications offerings.

Much of Twilio's revenue comes from usage-based fees, charged per message, call or email, together with some subscriptions. Revenue is $5.6 billion over the last twelve months, growing at 9.8% a year across three years. The operating margin is 5.2%, and the business earns a profit of 4% on the capital invested in it. The company has net debt of -3.7 times EBITDA, meaning it holds more cash than debt, and it pays no dividend.

StocksXray gives Twilio Inc an X-Ray Score of 39 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 16% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is financial health (70) and its weakest is profitability (13).

Our fair value blend is $123.03 (range $120.39 to $126.49). At $244.37 the stock trades 99% above that blend, so the label is "Data under review" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

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Twilio Inc (TWLO)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$263.34$48.96$75.87$108.08$142.24$244.37
Market cap$45.9B$9.0B$13.9B$17.9B$22.7B$39.0B
P/E––––677.3×33.8×
EV / revenue14.6×1.5×2.6×3.7×4.2×6.7×
EV / EBITDA–––108.6×60.2×83.1×
Price / free cash flow––33.5×25.0×22.7×36.8×
Free-cash-flow yield−0.2%−2.8%3.0%4.0%4.4%2.7%
Price / book4.2×0.8×1.4×2.3×2.9×4.3×
Dividend yield––––––

Fundamentals checklist ● 4 Good · ● 4 Average · ● 5 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash0.8%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score4.8×Average
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

Revenue growth (3y)9.8%Average
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio4.6×Good
Net debt / EBITDA-3.7×Good
Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price0.5×Bad
EBIT / EV yield0.8%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital3.6%Bad
Operating margin5.2%Bad
Gross profitability25.0%Average
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Twilio Inc (TWLO)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue2,8423,8264,1544,4585,0675,572
Gross profit1,3911,8142,0442,2782,4792,705
Operating income-916-1,205-877-54158290
Net income-950-1,256-1,015-109341,149
Diluted EPS ($)-5.45-6.86-5.54-0.660.217.22
Free cash flow-104-2544157161,0031,061
Gross margin48.9%47.4%49.2%51.1%48.9%48.5%
Operating margin−32.2%−31.5%−21.1%−1.2%3.1%5.2%
Net margin−33.4%−32.8%−24.4%−2.4%0.7%20.6%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets12,99912,56411,6109,8659,77110,839
Cash1,479652656421682823
Total debt986987989991992993
Equity11,03110,5599,7337,9537,8228,978
Dividend per share ($)––––––

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

-33%-5%23%51%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)1,1721,2281,3001,3661,4071,499
Growth vs a year earlier+12.0%+13.5%+14.7%+14.3%+20.0%+22.0%
Net income ($M)202237-46901,067
Diluted EPS ($)0.120.140.23–0.576.68
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Twilio Inc (TWLO)

Peers in Systems Software

CompanyX-Ray
TWLO · Twilio Inc39
MSFT · Microsoft Corp60
GEN · Gen Digital Inc.60
FTNT · Fortinet, Inc.57
NOW · ServiceNow, Inc.39

Market Compass outlook for Information Technology: Favourable (75/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−15.6%
1 month−0.8%
3 months+19.1%
6 months+74.4%
1 year+126.6%
3 years+325.6%
5 years−23.8%

Technical summary

DailyNeutral8 bullish · 1 neutral · 7 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish9 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$253.96 / $182.94
52-week low / high$104.50 / $308.40
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 211.63 · S1 228.00 · P – · R1 269.58 · R2 294.80
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Twilio Inc (TWLO)

Strengths

  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 75% of its sector peers.
  • Holds more cash than debt (net debt to EBITDA of -3.7×).
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Information Technology peers (0.8%).
  • Fair value vs price is weak against Information Technology peers (0.5×).
  • EBIT / EV yield is weak against Information Technology peers (0.8%).
  • Return on invested capital is weak against Information Technology peers (3.6%).
  • Operating margin is weak against Information Technology peers (5.2%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
7 Aug 202610-Q
6 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
17 Jun 20268-K5.02,5.07,9.01
1 May 202610-Q
30 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01
28 Apr 2026DEF 14A
24 Mar 20268-K5.02,7.01,9.01
24 Feb 202610-K

Recent TWLO news briefs

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026