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Research report · 16 October 2026

ExxonMobil Holdings Corp (XOM)

Energy · Integrated Oil & Gas · US stock · price as of 16 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$178.98
52-week range$107.28 – $179.16
Market cap$747.1B
P/E (trailing)23.2×
EV / EBITDA10.3×
Free-cash-flow yield4.1%
Dividend yield2.3%
Revenue (last 12 months)$368.8B
Revenue growth (3y a year)−7.0%
Operating margin12.5%
Return on invested capital11.8%
Net debt / EBITDA0.4×

Fair value

Blended fair value$183.77 range $156 – $196
Versus priceFair+3% to fair value
Peer multiples$103.95
Fundamentals-adjusted multiple$167.93
10-year DCF (market-scaled)$279.43
Earnings power value (floor, not blended)$89.57
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

47/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 35% of sector peers
Valuation38
Growth34
Profitability52
Financial health60
Dividends57

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

41.5582.40123164205Fair value $1842021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

ExxonMobil is an integrated energy and chemicals business based in the United States. It finds and produces crude oil and natural gas, refines crude into fuels and lubricants, and makes petrochemicals used in plastics, packaging and industrial products. Its customers include governments, industrial companies, utilities, airlines and retail motorists. The business spans upstream production and downstream refining and chemicals, and it also works on carbon capture and hydrogen projects.

The company earns its revenue from the oil, gas, fuels and chemicals it produces and markets. Over the last twelve months revenue totalled $368.8 billion, while revenue growth over the last three years was -7.0% a year, which is a decline. The operating margin is 12.5%, and the business earns a profit of 12% on the capital invested in it. It has net debt of 0.4 times EBITDA. A dividend is paid, with a yield of 2.3%.

StocksXray gives ExxonMobil Holdings Corp an X-Ray Score of 47 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 35% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is financial health (60) and its weakest is growth (34).

Our fair value blend is $183.77 (range $156.32 to $196.19). At $178.98 the stock trades 3% below that blend, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

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ExxonMobil Holdings Corp (XOM)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$52.03$97.53$91.43$101.72$117.97$178.98
Market cap$222.4B$410.1B$370.5B$437.2B$507.9B$747.1B
P/E9.7×7.4×10.3×13.0×17.6×23.2×
EV / revenue0.9×1.0×1.1×1.3×1.6×2.1×
EV / EBITDA5.1×4.2×5.2×6.3×8.1×10.4×
Price / free cash flow6.2×7.0×11.1×14.2×21.5×24.5×
Free-cash-flow yield16.2%14.2%9.0%7.0%4.6%4.1%
Price / book1.3×2.1×1.8×1.7×2.0×2.9×
Dividend yield6.71%3.64%4.02%3.78%3.39%2.30%

Fundamentals checklist ● 3 Good · ● 7 Average · ● 5 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−5.8%Average
Free-cash-flow yield4.1%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score5.7×Good
Piotroski F-Score3 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−20.4%Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)−26.1%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)−7.0%Average
Growth consistency40%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio1.1×Average
Net debt / EBITDA0.4×Good
Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.0×Average
EBIT / EV yield5.9%Average

Profitability

Return on invested capital11.8%Average
Operating margin12.5%Bad
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ExxonMobil Holdings Corp (XOM)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue285,640413,680344,582349,585332,238368,757
Gross profit––––––
Operating income32,18178,55153,63249,86941,87146,129
Net income23,04055,74036,01033,68028,84432,757
Diluted EPS ($)5.3913.268.897.846.707.72
Free cash flow36,05358,39033,45030,71623,61230,553
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin11.3%19.0%15.6%14.3%12.6%12.5%
Net margin8.1%13.5%10.5%9.6%8.7%8.9%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets338,923369,067376,317453,475448,980464,482
Cash6,80229,64031,53923,02910,68110,588
Total debt47,42840,81441,56741,64743,50042,368
Equity168,577195,049204,802263,705259,386259,380
Dividend per share ($)3.493.553.683.844.004.08

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%6%13%19%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)83,13081,50685,29482,30885,138116,017
Growth vs a year earlier+0.1%−12.4%−5.2%−1.3%+2.4%+42.3%
Net income ($M)7,7137,0827,5486,5014,18314,525
Diluted EPS ($)1.761.641.76–1.003.48
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ExxonMobil Holdings Corp (XOM)

Peers in Integrated Oil & Gas

CompanyX-Ray
XOM · ExxonMobil Holdings Corp47
CVX · Chevron Corp52

Market Compass outlook for Energy: Favourable (87/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+5.9%
1 month+9.6%
3 months+21.4%
6 months+23.8%
1 year+65.0%
3 years+85.5%
5 years+243.1%

Technical summary

DailyBullish12 bullish · 0 neutral · 4 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish11 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 0 neutral · 1 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$163.57 / $150.39
52-week low / high$107.28 / $179.16
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 173.75 · S1 176.37 · P – · R1 180.38 · R2 181.77

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
17 Aug 2026$1.0300
15 May 2026$1.0300
12 Feb 2026$1.0300
14 Nov 2025$1.0300
15 Aug 2025$0.9900
15 May 2025$0.9900
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ExxonMobil Holdings Corp (XOM)

Strengths

  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 97% of its sector peers.
  • Net debt is only 0.4× EBITDA, ahead of 81% of its sector peers.
  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Energy peers (4.1%).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Energy peers (3 of 9).
  • Free-cash-flow growth (3y) is weak against Energy peers (−26.1%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Energy peers (40%).
  • Operating margin is weak against Energy peers (12.5%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
16 Oct 20268-K7.01
25 Sep 20268-K8.01,9.01
28 Aug 20268-K8.01,9.01
3 Aug 202610-Q
31 Jul 20268-K2.02,7.01
7 Jul 20268-K7.01

Recent XOM news briefs

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value blends three models and carries a typical error of about 40%, so treat it as a range. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 19 Oct 2026